January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[SpaceRace22]

Just now, RCola said:

Anyone have the 6z Euro operational yet? Does hr 144 match the EPS?

The 6z operational does not go out to hr 144. It stops at 90.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

-14 in Seattle.   Yep.   Makes sense.

It’s a true climate emergency. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is probably what January 1930 or 1950 looked like on the models.

[RCola]

9 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

The 6z operational does not go out to hr 144. It stops at 90.

Ahh my bad. I knew it was shorter than 12z and 0z, but forgot where it ended. Any big changes at hour 90 from the 0z?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

CFS is not on board. 

[SpaceRace22]

6 minutes ago, RCola said:

Ahh my bad. I knew it was shorter than 12z and 0z, but forgot where it ended. Any big changes at hour 90 from the 0z?

Nah it looks good, but basically identical to the 00z. Just a little too early to tell any meaningful differences yet on this one. It will come into range soon!

[RCola]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

CFS is not on board. 

Perfect.

[snow_wizard]

Everything on track this morning!

[TacomaWx]

lol it’s gonna be national news for sure if theres snow all the way down into the Bay Area. I think things will back off and moderate atleast bit in the coming days…but confidence in some winter weather is starting to get real. Hopefully it’s an event that’s truly top tier. 

[snow_wizard]

26 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

CFS is not on board. 

It was on the run I looked at about 6 hours ago.

[SpaceRace22]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Everything on track this morning!

Jim I need you to make sure you are sitting down and have someone nearby in the room before you get to the end of the 06z GFS.

[Phishy Wx]

7 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Good lord...you must work for someone back east.

I do have a customers in EST and CST and HQs is in PA.  oof

[Phishy Wx]

so every thing held serve?

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, catnip said:

lol mars

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Currently 30 at Prince George. Let’s check back in a week. 

[Cold Snap]

Just when you thought the models couldn’t get any better the 06z spits out that lol.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

3 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Final snow totals lol.

 

2 hours ago, SpaceRace22 said:

You really should look at the full 384 hour run snowfall maps and the 24 hour minimum 2m temp at hour 384 on the 06z GFS. I can tell you haven't seen that part yet by this post. 

I just saw the 06z GFS. The January 1969 El Niño says hello! It’s been 55 years and I’m back guys!

[Minion]

It's going to get cold guys 

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Woke up at 4 and laid in bed trying to go back to sleep but finally couldn’t resist any longer and grabbed my phone and went to the kitchen to check the forum. Good lord we are going to be zombies by the end of this thing…I will probably be a zombie by the end of this weekend lol! 

Lol,  same

Christmas morning feel to it….Ya wanna  get up and open the presents!

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Holy cow, goodmorning, what a run to wake up to! Widespread insane snow totals in oregon. It is our turn!

[Phishy Wx]

there's got to be some sort of moderation/pull back, right?

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

there's got to be some sort of moderation/pull back, right?

Perhaps. When was the last time it looked better and better as we got closer? I feel like if always gets worse, but this time it keeps D**n improving

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

What in the actual hell are these temperatures?! All-time record lows get SHATTERED west of the cascades, and eastern Washington getting records too!

[Snownerd3000]

I've been joking we were going to be like Hoth and if this verified I'd be right. Pure insanity. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Simply devastating trends for Team Pineapple overnight, I see.

I think I’ll try and spend as much of the day as possible offline. It’s gonna do what it’s gonna do regardless.

[SpaceRace22]

Just now, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

What in the actual hell are these temperatures?! All-time record lows get SHATTERED west of the cascades, and eastern Washington getting records too!

It gets colder than that. Put it on 6 hour or 24 hour minimum.

[Snownerd3000]

Just now, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

What in the actual hell are these temperatures?! All-time record lows get SHATTERED west of the cascades, and eastern Washington getting records too!

Like June 21

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

2 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

It gets colder than that. Put it on 6 hour or 24 hour minimum.

Pivotal+ is required for that

[Snownerd3000]

I'm heading to ocean shores this weekend for a guys get away. Aka lots of drinking and games. I'm gonna be an insufferable bastard talking about the weather. 

[SpaceRace22]

Worth noting that although this frame says it bottoms out at -43F east of the Cascades, the terrain resolution of the GFS can not adequately account for the cold valleys like Winthrop and Mazama. In this scenario, those locations would likely not just break the all time WA state record of -48F, they would absolutely obliterate it.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

I'm heading to ocean shores this weekend for a guys get away. Aka lots of drinking and games. I'm gonna be an insufferable bastard talking about the weather. 

Lol, it’s been hard to keep quiet about the potential to co-workers, friends and family. I’m sure I’ll be getting a lot of questions soon. My boss knows I’m a weather geek I think I’m probably going to atleast have to mention we need to start doing some freeze protection at our water treatment sites. 

[Timmy]

6 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

What in the actual hell are these temperatures?! All-time record lows get SHATTERED west of the cascades, and eastern Washington getting records too!

This may be enough to make Jesse a republican!

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

2 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Worth noting that although this frame says it bottoms out at -43F east of the Cascades, the terrain resolution of the GFS can not adequately account for the cold valleys like Winthrop and Mazama. In this scenario, those locations would likely not just break the all time WA state record of -48F, they would absolutely obliterate them.

Wtf -26 in salem, their record is -13. -42 in spokane, and I believe their record is -34. And -27 in Portland, their record is -3. The 06z shows them breaking their record by 24 degrees.... not going to verify, but if it did, wow....

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

7 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Worth noting that although this frame says it bottoms out at -43F east of the Cascades, the terrain resolution of the GFS can not adequately account for the cold valleys like Winthrop and Mazama. In this scenario, those locations would likely not just break the all time WA state record of -48F, they would absolutely obliterate it.

Yeah I can't imagine Mazama and Winthrop not breaking the record considering how cold Spokane is 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

19 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Holy cow, goodmorning, what a run to wake up to! Widespread insane snow totals in oregon. It is our turn!

Crazy run! But this happened during another El Niño January in 1969 so it will happen again.

[Snownerd3000]

I'm gonna be worthless this week. So effing distracted lol. 

[jakerepp]

3 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

I'm gonna be worthless this week. So effing distracted lol. 

Same, and I don't even live there anymore. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Idk how I’m going to make it through next week. 

[RCola]

January 5th and we're up to page 176!  Cold and snow may not be the only records that get broken. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Icon is not really having it.