Scott26 Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 18Z 4km NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Still snowing at hr 60 too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 18z rgem has a 972 L just east of GB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 LA crosse leaving the forecast as is. Riding the euro hard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Aweful disco by Milwaukee. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Aweful disco by Milwaukee.I agree... not mentioning the chance for something more substantial is ridiculous. That is why I liked the Lacrosse AFD because they mentioned all of the models and all of the possible outcomes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 LSE said the euro has been. "consistent" even though the 0z last night showed quite a bit of snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Ya la crosse did a nice job covering the bases. Nothing wrong with riding the fence one more shift 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 LSE said the euro has been. "consistent" even though the 0z last night showed quite a bit of snowI think they are riding it to hard but if you are gonna ride a single model I guess that's the one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Weenie run for money on the gfs . might of had some feedback issues early in the run? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Aweful disco by Milwaukee. What are you in 'awe' about? Lol jk. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 GFS isn't loading for me yet stuck at hr 30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 You will like it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Looks like it almost had some connective feedback issues though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 18z GFS... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 18z GFS...I would take that. It gives us around 1-3 inches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Really odd how the low jumped east when it was near STL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Really odd how the low jumped east when it was near STLMoney, where exactly are you in Wisconsin? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Really odd how the low jumped east when it was near STLYep only ? I have on the run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Just to the north of Fond du Lac or like 60 miles NW of MKE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 Parallel should be interesting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 It's fun tracking this storm and reading all the posts while putting up the Christmas lights outside! Gotta say, it sure feels warm out there today after what we have been through. Meanwhile, 18z GFS Par.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted November 22, 2014 Report Share Posted November 22, 2014 18Z RGEM... looks like it corrected to the north a bit with the snowfall from the last run which is obviously not surprising. Still well south of the NAM with the snow placement, but looks pretty similar to the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Aweful disco by Milwaukee. Foolish of them not to at least mention the possibility of a higher snowfall with blowing and drifting. In addition to rapidly deteriorating road conditions on Monday most likely. LSE said the euro has been. "consistent" even though the 0z last night showed quite a bit of snow They must be blind if they didn't notice the difference between the 12z and 0z. Only similarity is the strength of the low. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 18Z RGEM... looks like it corrected to the north a bit with the snowfall from the last run which is obviously not surprising. Still well south of the NAM with the snow placement, but looks pretty similar to the GFS. It's not a very compact low on that model. Delays the CAA, thus it doesn't put down any snow in the eastern 2/3rds of WI. Like the looks of the Parallel GFS. Yeah putting Christmas lights and watching wx models today has been fun! Hopefully it won't rain all day tomorrow, need a couple hours to finish. 2 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Nam gonna cut it way left Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Nam gonna cut it way left No kidding and not as strong. 985mb just west of Money's area. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Thinkin no to that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Something goofy happened with the low placement on the NAM. I think you saw it Money! lol I don't think it initialized correctly. Very odd looking. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Something goofy happened with the low placement on the NAM. I think you saw it Money! lol nam_precip_mslp_mw_13.png nam_precip_mslp_mw_14.png nam_precip_mslp_mw_15.pngIt almost looks like the low moved backwards a bit from 36 hours to 39 hours lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 00Z 4km NAM... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Nam pretty weak on the phase Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Through 24 hr doesn't look like the rgem will dissapoint in the moisture department Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 So nam gives eastern wi like 2 inches while 4km nam is 6+ K Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 It almost looks like the low moved backwards a bit from 36 hours to 39 hours lol That's exactly what it did! lolI'd toss that run out. At this point in time, it should be closer to its counterpart, the 4km. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 RGEM further east this run and strong. ...well maybe slightly further east. The low cuts over NW lower MI. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 Sref for Cedar Rapids http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20141122&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=CID&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=41.86695070847224&mLON=-91.45902362514066&mTYP=roadmap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 SREF for Madison low 0 high 17.5 mean 6ish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 23, 2014 Report Share Posted November 23, 2014 GFS down to 974 at hr 36 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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