Grizzcoat Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 End of NAM has snow well into IOWA from 2nd wave- which I believe will become a biggie. This just screams potential.....Wheres the DGEX when you need it. Lol 2 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 0z NAM. Snow is still going on and really going strong in Southwest Nebraska. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Nam holding on to its prior runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 I'd pay some serious jing to witness -13F (-33 wci ) in DSM with accumulating snow falling- I believe that would be a record for KDSM for coldest accumulating snowfall. The -50F near Rugby,ND would be a bonus---- btw- the wind chill map is literally off the charts for colors--- it only goes down to -60F. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 0z RGEM. Snow ongoing at 84 hours 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 0z GFS through 108 hours 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 The UK has finally come north and lays down a few inches through Iowa. The GFS is now a dry outlier. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 00z Euro trending much better and for a lot of us across the I-80 corridor and into the GL's. Looks like the snow shield is more broad and covers a lot more real estate compared to previous runs. Solid 3-6" snowfall area wide with additional LES across SE WI/NE IL. The global models don't necessarily pick up the banding this far out compared to the CAM's. The Euro does, however, show the LES/LEHS signal 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 06 NAM 3KM- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 06z NAM...still looking aggressive for the Lower Lakes region... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 06z NAM 3km... Still snowing at end of run... I'm liking what I see wrt to the lake plume....it basically is stationary for about 12 hours straight into NE IL...hope it's onto something... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 06Z GDPS- 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 06z ICON Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 06z GFS through 108 hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 0z Euro through 120 hours 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 9z SREF 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 NAM showing 1-3" for parts of the area today. Then the stronger system tomorrow into Saturday. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z NAM 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 The trend is for the best snow today to be over northern Iowa and then tomorrow/Saturday over southern Iowa. Hopefully, the NAMs are correct that the waves will combine to produce 4+" here. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 NWS Hastings is saying 1-5" tomorrow, generally more north, but models this morning still have bands in different places. They haven't put out specifics yet for the Saturday night - Monday morning storm, but that one looks more impressive for my area. They say the heaviest will be southwest of the Kearney area towards NW, NC Kansas. I could see that being a 4"+ storm for our area. I'll look at the other models that are just coming in now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 06z GFS v16 through 102 hours. This model has had many issues with loading and missing data over the last week. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Both GFSs have been consistently dry here. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 3k NAM through 6pm Saturday when the run ends. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z RGEM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 The GFS continues to be mostly dry for tomorrow/Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, bud2380 said: The GFS continues to be mostly dry for tomorrow/Saturday. Award for worst model this winter 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Tony said: Award for worst model this winter as much as i want the GFS to be right for my area this week it has been completely wrong. On Monday it was saying we should have 8 inches of snow by now and we have only received maybe half a inch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z GFS through 93 hours. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: as much as i want the GFS to be right for my area this week it has been completely wrong. On Monday it was saying we should have 8 inches of snow by now and we have only received maybe half a inch. No matter how bad it is we still all look at it and post maps from it. If it shows something hot then its our model to go to but unfortunately it hardly ever pans out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z Canadian through 90 hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 GDPS shows 3.3" in Cedar Rapids today... Forecast is less than an inch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, bud2380 said: GDPS shows 3.3" in Cedar Rapids today... Forecast is less than an inch. Looks like some good snow in Northern/Northeast Nebraska on 511 site that will be heading towards Iowa. Not sure if dry air will be a problem your way or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 UK tomorrow into Saturday. Double these totals for sure. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Now that I've looked at all the models, except the 12z Euro, here's my prediction. I think my area may get 2", maybe 2.5" if we snow a little earlier or it lasts longer on Friday. I think the 2nd wave (Saturday night-Sunday night) will be a good snow producer for my area and southwest. I think we could hit 4-6" if everything lines up. If we could get 6" or a little more this weekend, I'd be happy. We'll see if I'm close or not. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z GFS v16 through 108 hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 30 minutes ago, bud2380 said: GDPS shows 3.3" in Cedar Rapids today... Forecast is less than an inch. I think it will depend on how far south the snow band gets. Some models keep it mostly north, just grazing Cedar Rapids. The GDPS sags it farther south. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Really coming down now. Could this over perform? Forecast was for under an inch. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 13 minutes ago, james1976 said: Really coming down now. Could this over perform? Forecast was for under an inch. This really looks a lot like the snow we got here on Monday. Just a small narrow band that really over performed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 The band around Hwy 20 looks like it's starting to dive south down to Hwy 30 and will hit Cedar Rapids. Looks like snow should start falling here in the next hour or so unless the dry air is winning out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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