Tom Posted February 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 28, 2015 Interesting write-up on Wx Bell from JB using the SST's in March 2015 vs March 2012: http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/sst_anom_seasonal_sm.gif vs. http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/prescomp_W87d8bd3MF.png It will be quiet interesting to see if the SST's in the Pacific that caused a record warm March 2012, do the complete opposite in 2015. Just look at it, almost complete opposite of where we stand now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 28, 2015 Report Share Posted February 28, 2015 Interesting note from Tim McGill @WGN "Boston's astounding month of snow a 1-26,315 year occurrence" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 28, 2015 Report Share Posted February 28, 2015 Interesting note from Tim McGill @WGN "Boston's astounding month of snow a 1-26,315 year occurrence"How exactly do they calculate that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 28, 2015 Report Share Posted February 28, 2015 How exactly do they calculate that?Here is the Washington Post article with more details http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/02/25/bostons-astounding-month-of-snow-a-1-in-26315-year-occurrence/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 28, 2015 Report Share Posted February 28, 2015 Grand total of one inch with this storm. Which brings my final season total, barring a miracle, to thirteen inches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 28, 2015 Latest updated CPC Outlook for March. It has below normal temps now pulling back farther into the Plains. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/off_temp_small.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 Pretty wild look... bye bye SE ridge? http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 Heaviest snow all season right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 Latest updated CPC Outlook for March. It has below normal temps now pulling back farther into the Plains. At least a little below normal March weather would be a heck of a lot warmer than way below normal February weather. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 At least a little below normal March weather would be a heck of a lot warmer than way below normal February weather.10-15F below normal in Feb feels whole lot different in March! Meantime, 00z GFS keeps trending colder for early the following week and wants to bring a Clipper into the Great Lakes on March 9th. Meantime, 00z GFS says bye bye to the long awaited "warm up". I remember last week the GFS had a huge warm up for the central CONUS that was going to start next Monday. A week has gone by and now we are seeing a trough where there was a ridge being forecast. Just another reason why I still believe Spring isn't coming here anytime soon. Spring to me is sustained temps in the 50's/60's, not 20's/30's with frozen precip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 10-15F below normal in Feb feels whole lot different in March! Meantime, 00z GFS keeps trending colder for early the following week and wants to bring a Clipper into the Great Lakes on March 9th. Meantime, 00z GFS says bye bye to the long awaited "warm up". I remember last week the GFS had a huge warm up for the central CONUS that was going to start next Monday. A week has gone by and now we are seeing a trough where there was a ridge being forecast. Just another reason why I still believe Spring isn't coming here anytime soon. Spring to me is sustained temps in the 50's/60's, not 20's/30's with frozen precip. I agree that it's not prudent to buy into the warmth the long range was showing for awhile. On the Ensembles, we were talking warmth not coming in until 240 hours or so, and we've seen that much of this winter only for it to frequently be a mirage. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 Wouldn't be surprised to see an Omega Block develop this month say around day 10-15 like we had in December. Could see some bowling ball type systems after the 10th-12th of the month. Sometime around March 17th-20th period we will see the Super Bowl storm cycle through. Very curious to see what happens during this cycle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 Wouldn't be surprised to see an Omega Block develop this month say around day 10-15 like we had in December. Could see some bowling ball type systems after the 10th-12th of the month. Sometime around March 17th-20th period we will see the Super Bowl storm cycle through. Very curious to see what happens during this cycle. I'm ready for spring, one storm over 4" here and it looks to stay that way. I think you're going to be the one of the only ones pushing for storms mid March and beyond Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 Still thinking March ends up around average in terms of temps. Just my opinion though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'm ready for spring, one storm over 4" here and it looks to stay that way. I think you're going to be the one of the only ones pushing for storms mid March and beyondBowling Ball systems do not necessarily mean Snowstorms, but I wouldn't be surprised to see one or two if they show up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 EURO races the cold air out of here by hour 114 or so. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 About dang time! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 1, 2015 Report Share Posted March 1, 2015 The real mild air doesn't arrive until beyond day 10, but all the models are showing it. We may not be getting the big snow this weekend and midweek like models were suggesting last week, but now when the mild air moves in we won't have to melt nearly as much snow. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 The real mild air doesn't arrive until beyond day 10, but all the models are showing it. We may not be getting the big snow this weekend and midweek like models were suggesting last week, but now when the mild air moves in we won't have to melt nearly as much snow.Ya looks like quite a boring stretch coming up after this storm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 2, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Next weekend may finally "feel" like Spring around here when clocks Spring Forward an hour (which also means models will come in 1 hour later) and temps should climb back to "normal"! I bet that will feel a whole lot better after another frigid couple days this coming Wed/Thu. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wednesday night will be the last sub zero low of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 2, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wednesday night will be the last sub zero low of the season.Don't jinx yourself! Earlier last week you wanted no more sub-zero temps and we got 2 more and another one possible Wednesday night! J/K...haha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 2, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 1st day of Meteorological Spring and 63.4% of the nation covered by snow. Every state except FL has snow on the ground. Very impressive. http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201503/nsm_depth_2015030105_National.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 1st day of Meteorological Spring and 63.4% of the nation covered by snow. Every state except FL has snow on the ground. Very impressive. http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201503/nsm_depth_2015030105_National.jpgsome of it will be melted by this week into next week and beyond so the snowpack will dwindlled awat by april. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 2, 2015 Author Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Using the East Asian Theory, we might have to be on the look out for a major trough Week 2...right around the 14th. GFS has been showing this pattern near Japan for a few days now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 some of it will be melted by this week into next week and beyond so the snowpack will dwindlled awat by april.It will be April, of course all the snow will be gone by then for most areas.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 1st day of Meteorological Spring and 63.4% of the nation covered by snow. Every state except FL has snow on the ground. Very impressive. http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201503/nsm_depth_2015030105_National.jpg I don't know how they get their info, but except for left-over drifts and snow piles in parking lots, it's as dry and brown as can be in the Omaha area. Same as it has been nearly all winter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 384 hours of nothingness on the GEFS GFS and EURO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Still need about 18 inches of snow to reach normal here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 So much for winter going out with a bang. Last week's impressive model predictions for the weekend and midweek systems dropping huge snow on Iowa were ridiculously wrong. Now it's looking pretty dead for the next week or two. There was a lot of talk about the February into March pattern being very active with a lot of potential for some good storms, but the arctic blaster was too strong and the pattern too suppressed. Maybe if the cold comes back later in the month there can be a biggie somewhere around here. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Birds were chirping like crazy this mornin, man I hope spring is on its way! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 From Tim McGill@WGN Season snowfall total at O'Hare 43.6 inches. This more than doubles Anchorage, AK at 20.5 inches. Anchorage is running 40" below for the season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Still thinking March ends up around average in terms of temps. Just my opinion though.Still think chicago gets as warm as nebraska? Lakes area gonna be stuck in crap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLIZZARD09 Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Time for the fat lady to sing for this winter, Except for the ghd blizzard it has been a cold and boring season . Is it just me or can anyone remember a winter where the models kept holding out such promise and the weather delivering so little? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 GGEM and GFS both look nice next week hope it holds on. GGEM warms it up quick. I think its to quick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Is what it is. I'd love more snow but I'm not gonna complain if it gets to 70 soon and we get t-storms 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 Our brown winter looks to continue. I didn't think it could be worse than last year but I was wrong. Our storm predicted over a week ago gave us 0 again. Need a pattern shift for more moisture or the drought will come back again. Really frustrated like most Nebraskans and now it sounds like others on the board. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 The nice thing about it being dry in winter is having a deficit in precip really isn't that detrimental especially compared to no rain in spring/summer. Also of course, having a dry winter doesn't correlate with a pattern or precip amounts in the spring/summer as we saw last year here. We were fine moisture wise. Still a disappointing winter for sure. Those warm temps next week have me excited though! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2015 Report Share Posted March 2, 2015 GEFS basically on board as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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