February 2014 in the PNW

[brody]

Has Tim left for Hawaii for good? Errr I mean yet?

[epiceast]

Has Tim left for Hawaii for good? Errr I mean yet?

Tim is always checked in Hawaii no matter where he is.

[TT-SEA]

Tim is always checked in Hawaii no matter where he is.

 

 

Heading out tomorrow.

 

The mobile page for this site is the first bookmark on my phone.   It take 2 minutes of down time to check in from anywhere on the planet.  

[TT-SEA]

Tim is always checked in Hawaii no matter where he is.

 

 

Heading out tomorrow.

 

The mobile page for this site is the first bookmark on my phone.   It take 2 minutes of down time to check in from anywhere on the planet. 

[brody]

Heading out tomorrow.

 

The mobile page for this site is the first bookmark on my phone.   It take 2 minutes of down time to check in from anywhere on the planet.  

I and many others would expect nothing less of you 

 

NO smiley for you

[TT-SEA]

I and many others would expect nothing less of you 

 

NO smiley for you

 

Here is an extra one...

 

 

 

Side note... I see a few gusts into the 40s now around the Sound.

[epiceast]

Here is an extra one...

 

 

 

Side note... I see a few gusts into the 40s now around the Sound.

 

this is one of the best east wind events at the passes. The strong warm front could not even make it rain at Snoqualamie pass.

[KMartin]

Lightning at the KLGX radar site and down the NW OR coast

[GHweatherChris]

Little thunder overhead here, and a fairly vigorous squall almost here looking at the radar.

[KMartin]

There's the lightning bolts on the tracker

 

http://www.theweatherspace.com/floaters/forum17.jpg

[TT-SEA]

Lightning at the KLGX radar site and down the NW OR coast

 

 

Good call.

[TT-SEA]

 

this is one of the best east wind events at the passes. The strong warm front could not even make it rain at Snoqualamie pass.

 

 

Yeah... SEA-EAT was running about -9 all day.

[KMartin]

I would say the PSCZ would fire more cells off tonight, yes?

[GHweatherChris]

Some lightning and some thunder is not surprising with a front like this.

 

The NWS has been talking about the chance the last two days, and the models have shown the chance, so it was expected.

[KMartin]

Some lightning and some thunder is not surprising with a front like this.

 

The NWS has been talking about the chance the last two days, and the models have shown the chance, so it was expected.

That's not the point.  I don't look at NWS , I forecast custom.  I wouldn't know what they or any news outlets say ... And yes, models do show the chance, models are guidance tools ... What I used to forecast thunderstorms up there ... Every forecaster uses models... ... just matters how one interprets them I suppose.

[KMartin]

The earlier image showed the PVA causing the lift - I won't be up to see it but I'm gathering on a flow like this the PSCZ will help spark more overnight. - night

http://www.theweatherspace.com/floaters/forum15.jpg

[GHweatherChris]

The earlier image showed the PVA causing the lift - I won't be up to see it but I'm gathering on a flow like this the PSCZ will help spark more overnight. - night

 

http://www.theweatherspace.com/floaters/forum15.jpg

It might.

 

But the bursts of heavy rain and wind will outweigh any thunder/lightning.

 

If this was during the day with some sunbreaks, then we could be talking about some good storms with copious hail as well.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

SOme pretty gusty winds this evening.

[BLI snowman]

Got up to 52mph at BLI. Calm now.

[MossMan]

Very windy here right now, had a few gusts near 50mph from the sounds of it. Power has been flickering but haven't lost it yet.

[Parksvillewx]

South of me must have had it a lot worse. Pretty calm here now

 

Currently 7,300 customers without power.

 

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v204/batman7150/hydro.jpg

 

 

[seattleweatherguy]

calm here

[seattleweatherguy]

just heard a small gust.,

[brody]

just heard a small gust.,

I farted

 

Want another gust?

[Weather101]

Getting really windy here

[umadbro]

Congrats Kevin. There were 4 lightning strikes.

[Guest Monty67]

Now this is fun to watch... Campbell River airport is now solidly all snow and accumulating.    The live stream makes it sort of fun.

 

http://www.crairport.ca/webcam.php

 

Check out the bottom one... the top one is now caked in snow.

I am sad I wasn't around earlier to chime in on the Campbell river snowstorm freak out.

 

The airport is much higher and inland, and averages around 43" of snow per year. Much of the town is lower elevation and closer to the water, average snowfall there is probably closer to 20 inches.

 

It will probably snow some more there tomorrow as well.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just had a nice snow shower roll through and deliver a solid dusting of snow. Temp down to 33. 

 

Looks like 850's are only -3C right now. GFS had thickness hitting 528 from 1-7am. My general rule of thumb is that 528 thickness or below with onshore flow will deliver snow to my location, pretty much regardless of 850mb temps. Looks like it worked out again...

[TT-SEA]

An inch of snow here as well this morning.   I was very surprised.

 

The parameters are not favorable for my location and the flow is strongly onshore.    I did notice that we had almost no wind last night though... the angle must have been just slightly different than a normal frontal passage when its very windy here.    Any wind would have prevented snow but its dead calm out there now.   I also think there must have been heavy enough precip to artificially lower the snow level at some point because its 35 right now.

[MossMan]

An inch of snow here as well this morning.   I was very surprised.

 

The parameters are not favorable for my location and the flow is strongly onshore.    I did notice that we had almost no wind last night though... the angle must have been just slightly different than a normal frontal passage when its very windy here.    Any wind would have prevented snow but its dead calm out there now.   I also think there must have been heavy enough precip to artificially lower the snow level at some point because its 35 right now.

Was sure windy around here last night, was a nice change over the doldrums we have been having.

Have fun in Hawaii!

[MossMan]

Sooo...what is the status on potential snow next week in the lowlands? Looks like NWS Seattle is calling for 1,500ft on average snow levels next week. Did things warm up in the models?

[Guest Monty67]

Just had a nice snow shower roll through and deliver a solid dusting of snow. Temp down to 33.

 

Looks like 850's are only -3C right now. GFS had thickness hitting 528 from 1-7am. My general rule of thumb is that 528 thickness or below with onshore flow will deliver snow to my location, pretty much regardless of 850mb temps. Looks like it worked out again...

 

A coating of snow here this morning as well. 32F

[Timmy]

Just had a nice snow shower roll through and deliver a solid dusting of snow. Temp down to 33. 

 

Looks like 850's are only -3C right now. GFS had thickness hitting 528 from 1-7am. My general rule of thumb is that 528 thickness or below with onshore flow will deliver snow to my location, pretty much regardless of 850mb temps. Looks like it worked out again...

Got to love orographic lift, something my location severely lacks being on the east side of the coast range. It will be interesting to figure out a "rule of thumb" for my place in coming years. I am still getting flooring put in for the next week so I will likely miss this late season snow up there.

[TT-SEA]

Bad timing...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Got to love orographic lift, something my location severely lacks being on the east side of the coast range. It will be interesting to figure out a "rule of thumb" for my place in coming years. I am still getting flooring put in for the next week so I will likely miss this late season snow up there.

 

Don't worry it is beginning to look like this week will largely bust with the exception of perhaps Wednesday morning.

[Jesse]

Sooo...what is the status on potential snow next week in the lowlands? Looks like NWS Seattle is calling for 1,500ft on average snow levels next week. Did things warm up in the models?

 

Yeah, the models have completely gutted the troughy period next week. Looks like slightly below average temps at best.

[Jesse]

What a shame. Last night's 00Z GFS almost looked like it was moving in a good direction again. Pretty obvious it was an outlier.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah, the models have completely gutted the troughy period next week. Looks like slightly below average temps at best.

 

Yeah, it is to bad. My location went from looking like there would be multiple chances for decent accumulations down to 2 chances, NOW according to the 12z GFS only 1 chance.

[Jesse]

Yeah, it is too bad. My location went from looking like there would be multiple chances for decent accumulations down to 2 chances, NOW according to the 12z GFS only 1 chance.

 

Crazy how much ridging has sat over the west this winter. We can't seem to get more than a week or two at a time of active, troughy weather. I was really feeling late February/early March for an extended (3-4 week) period of cold onshore flow and low snow levels. Looks like that isn't in the cards.

 

Not that I'm complaining. It's been a good winter. The arctic air and snow earlier this month cemented that.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Crazy how much ridging has sat over the west this winter. We can't seem to get more than a week or two at a time of active, troughy weather. I was really feeling late February/early March for an extended (3-4 week) period of cold onshore flow and low snow levels. Looks like that isn't in the cards.

 

Not that I'm complaining. It's been a good winter. The arctic air and snow earlier this month cemented that.

 

For my location it hasn't been that great of a winter. Due to the cold maybe a B-.