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June Weather in the Pacific Northwest

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#51
TT-SEA

Posted 02 June 2018 - 08:32 AM

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12Z GFS took away quite a bit of the rain for next Saturday... returns to dry quicker as well. That is not a good sign for a region wide soaking. I am cheering for that by the way. 12Z GFS was a little disappointing.

#52
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 June 2018 - 08:36 AM

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This is unreal...Courtesy of Brian Schmidt

 

34145538_1941008455917542_53241897052127


  • Jesse and Frontal Snowsquall like this

Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#53
Farmboy

Posted 02 June 2018 - 08:39 AM

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Cheering for wall to wall sunny and warm...
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Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#54
TT-SEA

Posted 02 June 2018 - 08:40 AM

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This is unreal...Courtesy of Brian Schmidt

34145538_1941008455917542_53241897052127

Months below normal:

2014 - 2
2015 - 2
2016 - 3
2017 - 7

And already matched 2014 and 2015 this year in 5 months.

It's definitely trending colder overall.

And 5 of the last 9 months have been colder than normal!

And the top tier warm months appear to be winding down from the peak in 2014-2016.

#55
Farmboy

Posted 02 June 2018 - 08:45 AM

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Saw some mountain goats yesterday up at Lake Colchuck. One was acting a little aggressive...

Attached Files


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Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#56
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 02 June 2018 - 09:37 AM

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Months below normal:

2014 - 2
2015 - 2
2016 - 3
2017 - 7

And already matched 2014 and 2015 this year in 5 months.

It's definitely trending colder overall.

And 5 of the last 9 months have been colder than normal!

And the top tier warm months appear to be winding down from the peak in 2014-2016.

 

North/South trend in temp and precip. Oregon has been way warmer and drier than you guys over the past handful of years.


Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 54 (Oct 5)
Coldest low: 35 (Oct 15)
Total snowfall: 0"
Last accumulating snowfall: February 21-22, 2018
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1985

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall : March 6, 2017
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#57
TT-SEA

Posted 02 June 2018 - 09:40 AM

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North/South trend in temp and precip. Oregon has been way warmer and drier than you guys over the past handful of years.


I was summarizing the PDX stats above.

#58
Jesse

Posted 02 June 2018 - 09:43 AM

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12z ensembles trended a little warmer/drier.

First ten days of June should easily end up warmer and drier than average for the western lowlands.

#59
Jesse

Posted 02 June 2018 - 10:57 AM

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12z Euro shows a trough dropping in toward next weekend.

Looks a lot like the one that was progged for the next few days. That one ended up getting completely washed out. 



#60
Jesse

Posted 02 June 2018 - 10:58 AM

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PDX could make a run at 85 today.
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#61
ShawniganLake

Posted 02 June 2018 - 11:08 AM

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12z Euro shows a trough dropping in toward next weekend.

Looks a lot like the one that was progged for the next few days. That one ended up getting completely washed out.

Almost totally dry on the 12Z for Oregon

Attached File  E9CEF273-FF5B-4976-B80B-700BDD98FA22.png   202.08KB   0 downloads
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#62
Jesse

Posted 02 June 2018 - 11:11 AM

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Almost totally dry on the 12Z for Oregon

attachicon.gifE9CEF273-FF5B-4976-B80B-700BDD98FA22.png

 

Looks good from Seattle north. Too bad the system couldn't have just a little more punch to slide some of those higher totals south.



#63
TT-SEA

Posted 02 June 2018 - 12:06 PM

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Some scenic clouds at times today... currently 75 degrees.

 

20180602_130831.jpg


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#64
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 June 2018 - 12:38 PM

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Working on clearing the lower end of the pasture today. Gorgeous day.

 

34318314_648061688384_263052969483907891

34191036_648061603554_251617738458398720


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Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#65
Frontal Snowsquall

Posted 02 June 2018 - 12:41 PM

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This is unreal...Courtesy of Brian Schmidt

34145538_1941008455917542_53241897052127


Thanks for sharing. Illustrates the last several years well.

#66
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 02 June 2018 - 04:35 PM

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This place is a ghost town.  Been going back through old threads from way before I joined.  February, 2014 and December-January, 2016-17 are particularly enjoyable reads and bring back a lot of nostalgia from the last significant snow events we had here way back in 2017 (already feels like forever ago).


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Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 54 (Oct 5)
Coldest low: 35 (Oct 15)
Total snowfall: 0"
Last accumulating snowfall: February 21-22, 2018
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1985

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall : March 6, 2017
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#67
El Nina

Posted 02 June 2018 - 04:39 PM

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Some scenic clouds at times today... currently 75 degrees.

20180602_130831.jpg

Those are some very scenic chemtrails, are the frogs gay yet?
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#68
MossMan

Posted 02 June 2018 - 08:15 PM

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What a fantastic day! Broke in the new BBQ!
Quickly cooling off this evening however.

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#69
Deweydog

Posted 02 June 2018 - 09:42 PM

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Last 80 of the year today???
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#70
jcmcgaffey

Posted 03 June 2018 - 07:24 AM

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CPC Long Range ChangesAttached File  976D1E93-3E47-4A25-921B-1BE18EABFA50.gif   42.68KB   0 downloadsAttached File  B6849F6F-1319-4B1F-9E43-082BA1AE7F2E.gif   44.46KB   0 downloads

#71
jcmcgaffey

Posted 03 June 2018 - 07:26 AM

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6-10 outlookAttached File  87F1C1FF-58A8-46FD-A473-B0E6FBA898D4.gif   43.15KB   0 downloadsAttached File  F5CAA4CA-19F4-41DE-B73D-7060C7DC6914.gif   43.88KB   0 downloads

#72
puyallupjon

Posted 03 June 2018 - 08:24 AM

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Ha!  The CPC.  They are about as accurate as I am when I throw darts at the weather map.


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#73
Deweydog

Posted 03 June 2018 - 08:35 AM

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That rain band is taunting us.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#74
Jesse

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:00 AM

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Looking at the 500mb pattern it’s almost like there is a force field keeping troughing from digging too deep into the west.

Four corners high seems to be flexing its muscles early, which is part of it. Maybe we will get lucky and it will be displaced a bit eastward this season.

#75
jcmcgaffey

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:03 AM

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Ha! The CPC. They are about as accurate as I am when I throw darts at the weather map.


They are good with the general weather pattern. Sometimes they are a little early with their predictions.

#76
Deweydog

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:17 AM

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Looking at the 500mb pattern it’s almost like there is a force field keeping troughing from digging too deep into the west.

Four corners high seems to be flexing its muscles early, which is part of it. Maybe we will get lucky and it will be displaced a bit eastward this season.


That "force field" may prove to be a better rain maker if things line up right.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#77
Jesse

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:26 AM

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That "force field" may prove to be a better rain maker if things line up right.


Was thinking the same thing. Although the lining up right is the hard part.

#78
Jesse

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:29 AM

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That rain band is taunting us.


The force field is not lining up right for us this morning.

#79
Deweydog

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:34 AM

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We need the force to awaken. Maybe if we're lucky we can score a rogue one. If not, our rivers are gonna be so low.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#80
TT-SEA

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:39 AM

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The 12Z GFS is warm and ridgy after our little excursion troughville next weekend.



#81
Deweydog

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:41 AM

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The 12Z GFS is warm and ridgy after our little excursion troughville next weekend.


We'll be due...

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#82
TT-SEA

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:42 AM

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We'll be due...

 

Its a MJJ summer.

 

August will be very wet.   Take to the bank!  



#83
Deweydog

Posted 03 June 2018 - 09:43 AM

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Its a MJJ summer.

August will be very wet. Take to the bank!


...and cold.

Creating a certain kind of box...

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#84
Jesse

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:06 AM

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...and cold.

Creating a certain kind of box...


I would be willing to bet you a crisp Andrew Jackson that August doesn’t end up cold. At PDX or regionally.

#85
TT-SEA

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:08 AM

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I would be willing to bet you a crisp Andrew Jackson that August doesn’t end up cold. At PDX or regionally.


I will take that bet on wet!

#86
TT-SEA

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:17 AM

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Nice thing about troughing to the north and west is that it keeps the marine layer from locking down. This week looks quite sunny and pleasant. Troughing to the south and east tends be very cloudy in May and June.

#87
Jesse

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:34 AM

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Nice thing about troughing to the north and west is that it keeps the marine layer from locking down. This week looks quite sunny and pleasant. Troughing to the south and east tends be very cloudy in May and June.


Actual long wave troughy patterns definitely tend to be cloudier.

#88
TT-SEA

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:38 AM

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Actual long wave troughy patterns definitely tend to be cloudier.

 

Also having a ULL slowly meander from California to Montana... locks in the marine layer away from the water.   

 

Nothing like that shown this week on the ECMWF surface maps.   Every day this work week is quite sunny.   Highs are still around 80 on Friday afternoon before the rain moves in on Saturday morning.   The weekend looks fairly showery though... from Portland northward at least.   More rain for the Oregon Cascades as well on this run.



#89
Jesse

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:39 AM

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Also having a ULL slowly meander from California to Montana... locks in the marine layer away from the water.

Nothing like that shown this week on the ECMWF surface maps. Every day this work week is quite sunny. Highs are still around 80 on Friday afternoon before the rain moves in on Saturday morning. The weekend looks fairly showery though... from Portland northward at least.


Cool troughy June working its magic.

#90
MossMan

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:53 AM

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Wet!!

#91
VancouverIslandSouth

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:55 AM

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Believe it or not, It's actually raining here.



#92
TT-SEA

Posted 03 June 2018 - 10:55 AM

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Wet!!

 

Partly and sunny dry here... very nice morning.    



#93
Deweydog

Posted 03 June 2018 - 11:13 AM

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I would be willing to bet you a crisp Andrew Jackson that August doesn’t end up cold. At PDX or regionally.


You're thinking with your emotions. If June ends up even modestly warm and July is pretty hott, August will have some real room to work.

Make it a Grover Cleveland and you have a deal!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#94
Jesse

Posted 03 June 2018 - 11:18 AM

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You're thinking with your emotions. If June ends up even modestly warm and July is pretty hott, August will have some real room to work.

Make it a Grover Cleveland and you have a deal!


You are being patronizing as usual. It’s generally a pretty tall order these days, regardless of what June and July do. We’ll see who’s right. There was a very similar discussion last summer.

#95
Deweydog

Posted 03 June 2018 - 11:22 AM

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You are being patronizing as usual. It’s generally a pretty tall order these days, regardless of what June and July do. We’ll see who’s right. There was a very similar discussion last summer.


B+!!!

I'll donate blood if it'll help.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#96
MossMan

Posted 03 June 2018 - 11:36 AM

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Partly and sunny dry here... very nice morning.

Been moderate rain now for almost 2 hours...everything is getting a nice soaking!
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#97
Deweydog

Posted 03 June 2018 - 11:37 AM

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Been moderate rain now for almost 2 hours...everything is getting a nice soaking!


F*ck you!!!!
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#98
ShawniganLake

Posted 03 June 2018 - 11:40 AM

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Believe it or not, It's actually raining here.

Dry here. Sun breaking thru

#99
Phil

Posted 03 June 2018 - 11:49 AM

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12z ECMWF is troughalicious. Enjoy!
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#100
Phil

Posted 03 June 2018 - 11:54 AM

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Misting and 57 degrees here at 4pm, and we’ve spent the entire day outside enjoying it. Best June weather we’ve had in years. Plan is to jog to the Potomac and light up later this evening. #paradise
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history