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12/26 - 12-28 Winter Storm


Tom

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Yea amounts are updated to 6-10”in my forecast grids. NWS Hastings mentioning blizzard conditions.

 

Oddly, updated map appears to have only 4-6? (not like that hasn't happened with my own office tho)

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Pure rippage out there right now. Nice fatty flakes stacking up quickly. Should have no issues getting several inches before the switchover to rain around 3am.

 

Was gonna post that the front-end thumpage looked legit. Glad for ya

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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HRDPS = wowzers death stripe thru Central Neb!

 

Border to border monster:

 

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/Radar/usa.gif

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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That's some pretty cold and dense air just NE of Georgian Bay. If that's a little bit more difficult to budge, could help the UP of Michigan quite a bit with their expected switch over to RN tomorrow.

 

acttemp_1280x720.jpg?v=ap&w=1280&h=720&a

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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HRDPS = wowzers death stripe thru Central Neb!

 

Border to border monster:

 

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/Radar/usa.gif

Ton of moisture..wow. Can you imagine all that headed our way as snow?!

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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NWS Hastings update.

 

.UPDATE...

Issued at 851 PM CST Wed Dec 26 2018

 

The 18Z and 00Z mdls have nudged the snow a little further E since

4 PM fcst package.

 

Am very concerned that the RAP/NAM/GFS/EC are all indicating a

core of 45-50 kt winds at 850 mb developing on the back side of

the low after 09Z. MOS winds hv been shown to be 5-8 kt too low

in these situations. I incrsd winds above MOS...but fear I may

not hv incrsd winds enough. Nonetheless...we are now advertising

gusts up to 50 mph.

 

We contemplated issuing a Blizzard Warning but after coordinating

with neighboring WFO`s and in-house collaboration here...decided

instead to beef-up the wording in the Warning/Advisory areas to

include blzd-like conds. It is going to be nasty traveling thru

this band on I-80 tomorrow.

 

Even where snow accums will be less significant...we are still

concerned about blzd-like conds.

 

Based on the magnitude of the winds and accumulating snow inching

more to the E...svrl more counties hv been added to the Warning

and Advisory areas.

 

&&

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Wow, that wind is REALLY cranking outside.  It's gotta be gusting upwards of 40 mph.  I can definitely see why the blizzard warnings have been hoisted.  This is a very impressive system.  I've had over an inch of rain from it so far and might squeeze out several inches of snow.  Another disappointment in that regard.  This is the 2nd system that soaked me with over an inch of rain this December.  Ridiculous.  I'm beyond over these 2 inch snowfalls and that's all I've had this season.

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Still in SE TX, but I'm gonna hijack this thread cuz it's the same system. QLCS (Seems more like an MCS actually) is moving thru now. This line isn't as severe as originally anticipated, but it is instead more dense return-wise and way slower. Leading edge just passed over here. This is the kind of stuff that always brings flooding problems to here. Gross. There also appears to be weak widescale rotation.

 

Flying back to Lincoln today.

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Winter Weather Advisories have been expanded to include areas just west of Omaha now, including Lincoln and Fremont. This is mainly for freezing rain, sleet and 1-2 inches of snow.

 

Temps are crashing here in Southwest Omaha... was around 50 at 8:30 this morning, now at 38. Seems that the models underplayed the speed of the cold air intrusion along with missing how far to the east this storm tracked.

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Blizzard continues here. Back to .25 visibility. Most places are closed. Obviously no school is in session until January. Many holiday basketball tournaments are being postponed.

Get some pics if you can, your really gonna cash in on this! Your seasonal snow total continues to climb for sure. I received 2.1” of rain along with sleet and freezing rain. Remains to be seen if I get any snow from this.

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Get some pics if you can, your really gonna cash in on this! Your seasonal snow total continues to climb for sure. I received 2.1” of rain along with sleet and freezing rain. Remains to be seen if I get any snow from this.

I sure will. Will be really tough to measure with the blowing and drifting. My guess is we have gotten 5-8” so far but that is a just an estimate from standing on my deck, obviously not official and maybe I am off a little one way or another. I did see someone posted on Twitter 7” and climbing. We’ll see.

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I picked up 1.36" of rain overnight, at the high end of the expected range.  I would love to hear some thunder later, but I'm not counting on it.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I picked up 1.36" of rain overnight, at the high end of the expected range.  I would love to hear some thunder later, but I'm not counting on it.

I enjoy thunder in the Winter during a major snowstorm, when suddenly, once you hear the boom go off, the snow really gets hvy. Its awesome stuff.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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