March 7th Snow Potential

[erburns18]

Jim Flowers went with 3.25 - 3.5 for Omaha

[OmahaSnowFan]

0Z NAM keeps snow around much longer on Thursday but amounts aren’t too much higher except over in Iowa

[Grizzcoat]

GFS also more juicy for C to S IA

[jcwxguy]

GFS also more juicy for C to S IA

[jcwxguy]

Cmc

[Hawkeye]

Maybe we can squeeze a couple inches out of this after all.  I need 2.1" to hit 50" for the season.

[jcwxguy]

Ukie

[jcwxguy]

18z euro weaker

[jcwxguy]

Euro

[Craig-OmahaWX]

Looking like a solid 3-6 inches for east central Nebraska!

[Craig-OmahaWX]

The ECMWF is likely out to lunch with it being the driest model of all of them. 

[Grizzcoat]

DMX calling the EURO an outlier. WOW. ( can't remember the last time I heard that)  I wonder what the implications of this means down the road....

[Grizzcoat]

Such an outlier that the Euro has .07" qpf , yet DMX has 3-5" for my grids. Maybe? Even the king is a peon and gets couet'de day?

[bud2380]

Such an outlier that the Euro has .07" qpf , yet DMX has 3-5" for my grids. Maybe? Even the king is a peon and gets couet'de day?

 

Yesterday DVN said the same thing.  I thought it was interesting.

 

 

The ECMWF is an outlier and has little QPF, this is

likely due to the model resolution and it not being able to resolve

the compact wave correctly.

[gosaints]

This system is not the EURO specialty but the NAM definitely just pulled back from 0z 

[Hawkeye]

Maybe we can squeeze a couple inches out of this after all.

 

*Looks at 12z NAM*

 

Or not.

[bud2380]

ICON....paltry

 

 

[bud2380]

RGEM

 

[East Dubzz]

12z GFS just taking its sweet time today or what?

[CentralNebWeather]

12z GFS just taking its sweet time today or what?

The GFS FV3 is running but where is the GFS?  Maybe the cold finally got to it.

[gabel23]

The GFS FV3 is running but where is the GFS?  Maybe the cold finally got to it.

I seen a tweet by Ryan Maue mentioned it was running late and didn't know when it will be up and running. Mean while the FV3 GFS has the heaviest band moving right through my county. I'm not in any advisory though.....

[CentralNebWeather]

I seen a tweet by Ryan Maue mentioned it was running late and didn't know when it will be up and running. Mean while the FV3 GFS has the heaviest band moving right through my county. I'm not in any advisory though.....

The heaviest band doesn't seem to match with the advisory.  This has been the winter for that.  Many times we have not been put in advisories, then later in the game are added.

[FarmerRick]

[jcwxguy]

Euro

[OmahaSnowFan]

18Z HRRR coming in juicier for Nebraska. Still lightly snowing in Iowa at this time.

[Stormhunter87]

18Z HRRR coming in juicier for Nebraska. Still lightly snowing in Iowa at this time.

Long range hrrr has a terrible record but I won't complain about 6 and heaviest here lol.

[Minny_Weather]

18Z HRRR coming in juicier for Nebraska. Still lightly snowing in Iowa at this time.

Nearly 0" here, 3" 20 miles to the North. Nice.

[Grizzcoat]

RDPS went N

[DSM WeatherNut]

RDPS went N

Meaning more snow for Central Iowa-Des Moines?

[Grizzcoat]

Meaning more snow for Central Iowa-Des Moines?

Compared to 12Z-- yes-- but slightly.  3" to 4" for DSM

[Bryan1117]

Nearly 0" here, 3" 20 miles to the North. Nice.

 

The cut-off on the south side of this system is going to be sharp. Omaha right now is looking good for at least 3-5 inches of snow from this system. It will be nice to add a little bit more to the snowpack, before a lot of it gets nuked this weekend. 

[Minny_Weather]

The cut-off on the south side of this system is going to be sharp. Omaha right now is looking good for at least 3-5 inches of snow from this system. It will be nice to add a little bit more to the snowpack, before a lot of it gets nuked this weekend. 

Honestly I'm fine with nothing. The snowpack has to go away at some point soon, I'd rather have it all get nuked in one day with the rain on Saturday than having to watch it go away slowly next week as we warm up to more seasonable temps.

 

Edit: I should add that I wouldn't mind a half inch or so to pad the stats a bit. The later the last measurable snowfall the better.

[Wintersno]

Just by looking at radar it looks even further south, it's just west of Kearney. I know its early but models have trended south some today.

[jcwxguy]

18Z HRRR coming in juicier for Nebraska. Still lightly snowing in Iowa at this time.

since then each run has been drier and drier and and lastest run shows an omadome

[gabel23]

Not often my town gets mentioned in a graphic so I had to post it. Right now my plan is to leave in the morning for state basketball in my brand new Dodge Ram; I figure once I get to the interstate it should be smooth sailing. If the models/radar starts to trend back north then we will know the Platte River has done its job.....that's all I hear now from my assistant coach! Man is he a strong believer in that theory. 

[Minny_Weather]

HRRR drops 2.5" here. I'd take that and run with it considering we were supposed to get nothing.

[OmahaSnowFan]

And we’re down to under an inch with slightly heavier bands north and south splitting around Omaha. This overall appears to really be turning into a nothingburger. It looks like even if you miss out it’s going to be 2 or maybe 3” tops. Oh well, bring on the 35 and rainy season next!

[Minny_Weather]

Radar is setting up way South. Like, even South of here.

[Hawkeye]

02z HRRR has a narrow strip of 0.40" precip right through Grand Island and Lincoln.  There's a pretty heavy band through Grand Island right now.

 

[OmahaSnowFan]

Very impressive band setting up in central Nebraska and definitely south of where previous models had the snow. Looks like 0Z and later model runs have finally started to pick up on this. Lincoln looks pretty good