Perturbed Member Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Yep... its destined for Medford it seems. A lot of times these lows tend to come in a bit further north than modeled...well I'm just grasping at straws at this point. Marginal precip and marginal cold is not usually a good recipe for snow in PDX. Hopefully we get a decent transition event at the end of this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 I just stumbled across this. I thought you guys(and gals?) would like this. I'd think this could play a major role in dislodging the PV and shoving a huge chunk of bitter air southward into Yukon, NWT. What say you? Is there any SSW going on at 10mb? or.... http://i.imgur.com/4PlNZIQ.jpg 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 I just stumbled across this. I thought you guys(and gals?) would like this. I'd think this could play a major role in dislodging the PV and shoving a huge chunk of bitter air southward into Yukon, NWT. What say you? Is there any SSW going on at 10mb? or.... http://i.imgur.com/4PlNZIQ.jpgPhil?? Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Phil??Yeah, I'd love to know his thoughts. I'd assume temps up there 70 degrees below normal are a bit rare and could dramatically shake things up. Minor tweaks anyone? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 I just stumbled across this. I thought you guys(and gals?) would like this. I'd think this could play a major role in dislodging the PV and shoving a huge chunk of bitter air southward into Yukon, NWT. What say you? Is there any SSW going on at 10mb? or.... http://i.imgur.com/4PlNZIQ.jpgDang.....sure glad I am stock piling pellets for my pellet stoves. Also just invested in one of those nifty Kohler automatic generator deals that kick on when the power goes out..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Sure does look like snow clouds currently looking out my window at work...too bad it won't amount to anything.And holy crap, what a graphic from DJ! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 I just stumbled across this. I thought you guys(and gals?) would like this. I'd think this could play a major role in dislodging the PV and shoving a huge chunk of bitter air southward into Yukon, NWT. What say you? Is there any SSW going on at 10mb? or.... http://i.imgur.com/4PlNZIQ.jpgLows in the 80's in SE Portland??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 So there's a cut off low on last two euro runs... Is it going to be completely dry? Also it forma over CA and tracks NNE or north. Seems very unusual to me, usually those things break off from a trough first. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Lows in the 80's in SE Portland???I think you must have read the legend wrong 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 So there's a cut off low on last two euro runs... Is it going to be completely dry? Also it forma over CA and tracks NNE or north. Seems very unusual to me, usually those things break off from a trough first. 12Z ECMWF is totally dry with that cut-off. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Temps falling through the 38's here. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Temps falling through the 38's here.Too much low cloudiness... need it to lift a little so it can freeze up here. Still 32.5 after a high of 34. The snow cover has compacted from 10 inches down to 7 or 8. Need to lock it down! Wonderfully low dewpoints coming... always have that mush day waiting for it come. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Too much low cloudiness... need it to lift a little so it can freeze up here. Still 32.5 after a high of 34. The snow cover has compacted from 10 inches down to 7 or 8. Need to lock it down! Wonderfully low dewpoints coming... always have that mush day waiting for it come.I'm praying hard for your snow consistency! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Amazingly the ECMWF weeklies show below normal 850mb temps over the NW for days 18 through 32. Looks like we have a decent shot at a reasonably cool January. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 I'm praying hard for your snow consistency! your faith isn't strong enough. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Amazingly the ECMWF weeklies show below normal 850mb temps over the NW for days 18 through 32. Looks like we have a decent shot at a reasonably cool January. How did you think you would have kept any snow you got yesterday through today? Even if you got 3 inches... it would be gone now. Don't feel bad about not having snow yesterday because you had no chance going into the inversion. Not a fan of this type of day after snowfall but its most common. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 I just stumbled across this. I thought you guys(and gals?) would like this. I'd think this could play a major role in dislodging the PV and shoving a huge chunk of bitter air southward into Yukon, NWT. What say you? Is there any SSW going on at 10mb? or.... http://i.imgur.com/4PlNZIQ.jpgNo SSW yet, but there's a notable wave-1 push ongoing w/ a second round likely in mid-Jan. Eventually, the PV should get taken out later in the month. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Amazingly the ECMWF weeklies show below normal 850mb temps over the NW for days 18 through 32. Looks like we have a decent shot at a reasonably cool January.Looks like most of the cold is focused over the East/Southeastern U.S. They look fairly Niñoish w/ a good -NAM signal. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Looks like most of the cold is focused over the East/Southeastern U.S. They look fairly Niñoish w/ a good -NAM signal. I agree it certainly looks like minus AO. I was just talking about what the 850mb anomalies are shown to be over the NW. Not bad at all with this kind of a Nino. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Even though we all know I love the warm weather for outdoor activities, the longer it can stay cooler the better so the snow pack lasts longer into the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 BTW...I don't buy for a minute it's going above freezing on the North Pole anytime soon. I suppose the mid levels could go that high, but no way at the surface. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Even though we all know I love the warm weather for outdoor activities, the longer it can stay cooler the better so the snow pack lasts longer into the year. Why would you like warm weather in the winter? Yuck! 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Just got back from a very snowy hike in the Multnomah Creek Basin to Nesika Lodge. Beautful area up there with 6-8" on the ground at the 2,000' level. Slushy snow started at the Multnomah Falls trailhead and only got deeper from there. MOS guidance has PDX hitting freezing tonight, but I'm not sure I'm buying it with all the lingering clouds. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 BTW...I don't buy for a minute it's going above freezing on the North Pole anytime soon. I suppose the mid levels could go that high, but no way at the surface.Yeah, definitely no surface temps above freezing up there this time of year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Just got back from a very snowy hike in the Multnomah Creek Basin to Nesika Lodge. Beautful area up there with 6-8" on the ground at the 2,000' level. Slushy snow started at the Multnomah Falls trailhead and only got deeper from there. MOS guidance has PDX hitting freezing tonight, but I'm not sure I'm buying it with all the lingering clouds. We definitely need to get this damp air scoured out. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 How did you think you would have kept any snow you got yesterday through today? Even if you got 3 inches... it would be gone now. Don't feel bad about not having snow yesterday because you had no chance going into the inversion. Not a fan of this type of day after snowfall but its most common. 2" here yesterday and it held up just fine with 38F and cloud cover this afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 2" here yesterday and it held up just fine with 38F and cloud cover this afternoon. Not sure how. There was 2 inches down in North Bend this morning but after a high of 37 with a dewpoint of 37... there was not even a trace of it left this afternoon. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Not sure how. There was 2 inches down in North Bend this morning but after a high of 37 with a dewpoint of 37... there was not even a trace of it left this afternoon.I guess it was just some pretty dense stuff. Even the asphalt driveways still had about 1.5" left this afternoon. Unfortunately the trees were all cleared off with the drizzle yesterday evening and last night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 The new gfs puts moisture just north of Portland tomorrow evening. Would be snow for me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Wrf actually give me an inch tomorrow morning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Looks like tomorrow should be a beautiful drizzly day for Portland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 The WRF is showing a lot of showers over the San Juans and southern Vancouver Island later tonight. Wonder if it might snow here! Currently 32.9F and cloudy. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/ww_pcp24.24.0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 How did you think you would have kept any snow you got yesterday through today? Even if you got 3 inches... it would be gone now. Don't feel bad about not having snow yesterday because you had no chance going into the inversion. Not a fan of this type of day after snowfall but its most common. It does make me feel slightly better. I thought the cold / dry air would take hold a little more quickly. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Looks like tomorrow should be a beautiful drizzly day for Portland.Major deformation drizzle. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 The WRF is a notch colder with 925mb temps tonight and tomorrow as opposed to the 12z. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Appears I have made it down to freezing... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Hmmm, some decent clearing here and my temp dropped 2 degrees in 30 minutes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Not that anyone noticed, or cared, but we are now over 100k posts and today we hit the most users logged in since the site transition. 129 pages this month leading up to lots of lowland rain/snow mix and 1,000 foot snow levels! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 Busy night on the forum, must be an epic inversion coming! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2015 Report Share Posted December 29, 2015 So much for not making it to freezing tonight. Several locations in Gresham and near Powell Butte in SE PDX down to 33-34 now. There is a lot more clearing than expected. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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