CentralNebWeather Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 I saw that. He is singing in most of his videos. Guy loves weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 who is Jim Flowers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Channel 3 in Omaha meteorologist. On his Facebook page he posts a lot of videos about storms. Seems like a great guy. I don't get that station but I look at Facebook for his updates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Channel 3 in Omaha meteorologist. On his Facebook page he posts a lot of videos about storms. Seems like a great guy. I don't get that station but I look at Facebook for his updateshe's good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Checking in after sawing wood all day. Looks like all models look decent for here except the GFS. Any other year I would be feeling good about that. Not th is year though. Personally feelit will be a track Chicago and the tip of Lake Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 998 on Nam at 31 hours. Located near Grand Canyon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Very in depth and explains his rationale. Loves the euro over other computer models when he talks about a storms potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Very in depth and explains his rationale. Loves the euro over other computer models when he talks about a storms potential He loves the Euro to a fault! But, have to give it to him for sticking to his guns in December, albeit wrong 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Very in depth and explains his rationale. Loves the euro over other computer models when he talks about a storms potentiali like Barbs Rule. I should follow it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Mentions her before most snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 He loves the Euro to a fault! But, have to give it to him for sticking to his guns in December, albeit wrongand you could throw out barbs rule to in that case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 12z fim fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 I must say this page has been entertaining over the last week.yeah, you're contributing to the entertainment well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 whats the FIM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Checking in after sawing wood all day. Looks like all models look decent for here except the GFS. Any other year I would be feeling good about that. Not th is year though. Personally feelit will be a track Chicago and the tip of Lake Michigan. Tip of Lake Michigan track and you might be ok as long as the system doesn't slow down too much. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 whats the FIM? A vertically flow-following, icosahedral-grid model for medium-range and seasonal prediction http://fim.noaa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Seems a tad faster compared to 12z run, as of the 45 hr mark on the 0z...maybe 100 miles further east, if that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 A vertically flow-following, icosahedral-grid model for medium-range and seasonal prediction http://fim.noaa.gov/welp, in FIM we trust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 At 54 hours, looks like center of Low on Instant weather near the Stillwater, OK area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Yeah it's coming out faster for sure. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 That's almost straight east from the kick out point along the front range. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Central MO at hr 66; looks to head to near Hannibal, MO; and it seems to be weaker than previous runs at 69 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 nam performed very poorly on dec storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 lovin' me some NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Definitely A LOT further SE than the GFS, doesn't seem to be cutting either..moving more easterly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 nam performed very poorly on dec stormthats because its the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 This has the border area and S WI written on it over here. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 The NAM shows accumulating snow all the way into northern MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 E. CO and W KS are the winners on this run. Don't think we have too many members from there on here. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Its weird seeing the Nam on the weaker side of guidance. A lot of times its on steroids, especially in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 http://i.imgur.com/nKd7E3D.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 This has the border area and S WI written on it over here. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160131/00Z/f63/crefptypeconus.pngtoss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 NAM is out to lunch imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Weak sauce there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 NAM is out to lunch imho. NAM takes 18 hour lunch breaks! Once every four runs it is on to something. HA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 toss If this was the only model not excited about the wave tomorrow, then I would say toss. Can't ignore it though. The weakening trend is something to watch. There's no sharp baroclinic zone in place to amp this up. That high of 1028 mb only mediocre. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 It's all relative. Many areas get six to nine inches on the NAM and we consider it weak. Just goes to show you how amped up we, and many were to expect 12 inches or more. May not happen but we should still be happy with 6 to 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 00z NAM doesn't even close off the low at 500mb like the other models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 31, 2016 Report Share Posted January 31, 2016 Lol GFS is way NW and NAM way SE. Lets just meet in the middle and have it track just South of Chicago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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