Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 That might have been the worst betfor him it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 you have paypal?Yeah I never use it so I'll see if I can log in yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 CMC stretching out that low after it gets into MO. Convection could be the reason too. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 0z ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/models/ggem/20160201/00Z/f066/acckucherasnowmw.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Money and Geos, are these models to be believed or is something off with them. They all show Madison and most of south central/west with with some big accumulations now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 FORECAST MODELS GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: LNK LAT= 40.85 LON= -96.75 ELE= 1188 00Z FEB01 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK MON 00Z 01-FEB 2.4 -1.0 1013 79 17 548 538 MON 06Z 01-FEB 1.0 -0.7 1015 70 15 0.00 550 537 MON 12Z 01-FEB -0.6 -0.5 1016 72 41 0.00 550 537 MON 18Z 01-FEB 3.4 -2.3 1017 67 98 0.00 550 536 TUE 00Z 02-FEB 1.6 -2.9 1012 83 99 0.08 548 539 TUE 06Z 02-FEB 1.0 -3.7 1008 91 99 0.17 546 540 TUE 12Z 02-FEB 0.7 -3.0 999 95 99 0.58 536 537 TUE 18Z 02-FEB 0.2 -4.1 999 94 65 0.18 532 532 WED 00Z 03-FEB -1.4 -7.5 1006 89 99 0.06 532 526 WED 06Z 03-FEB -5.4 -7.6 1016 88 91 0.02 536 Snowlover--- as long as your throwing money away,, I need beer money for tomorrow after work. I don't always get free beer, but when I do, I prefer Dos Equis!!! 2 The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 CMC went south a good 50 miles once it approached NW IN. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Money and Geos, are these models to be believed or is something off with them. They all show Madison and most of south central/west with with some big accumulations now. I would definitely give those models credit, they're not moving NW. If there was a chance at a NW trend, we would see it by now. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 the guy who lives in Lincoln does realize that EVERY MODEL except for the GFS give Lincoln a ton of snow, doesn't he? NAM, 4k NAM, Euro, Canadian, RGEM, Euro Parallel, GEFS..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 what a storm5-10 inches possibly, $25, and a weatherbell monthly subscription for free 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 GGEM will not budge with that southern track. 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 FORECAST MODELSGFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: LNK LAT= 40.85 LON= -96.75 ELE= 1188 00Z FEB01 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK MON 00Z 01-FEB 2.4 -1.0 1013 79 17 548 538 MON 06Z 01-FEB 1.0 -0.7 1015 70 15 0.00 550 537 MON 12Z 01-FEB -0.6 -0.5 1016 72 41 0.00 550 537 MON 18Z 01-FEB 3.4 -2.3 1017 67 98 0.00 550 536 TUE 00Z 02-FEB 1.6 -2.9 1012 83 99 0.08 548 539 TUE 06Z 02-FEB 1.0 -3.7 1008 91 99 0.17 546 540 TUE 12Z 02-FEB 0.7 -3.0 999 95 99 0.58 536 537 TUE 18Z 02-FEB 0.2 -4.1 999 94 65 0.18 532 532 WED 00Z 03-FEB -1.4 -7.5 1006 89 99 0.06 532 526 WED 06Z 03-FEB -5.4 -7.6 1016 88 91 0.02 536Snowlover--- as long as your throwing money away,, I need beer money for tomorrow after work. I don't always get free beer, but when I do, I prefer Dos Equis!!!that the parallel gfs or op? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 the guy who lives in Lincoln does realize that EVERY MODEL except for the GFS give Lincoln a ton of snow, doesn't he? NAM, 4k NAM, Euro, Canadian, RGEM, Euro Parallel, GEFS.....The GFS has been super good all winter though. Cant bet against it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 FYI UKMET came in way NW. 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 FYI UKMET came in way NW.The Euro usually follows what the Ukie shows so this isn't good. good for my bet though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 GGEM will not budge with that southern track. Gone even farther south to where it was a couple days ago.You guys in eastern NE and the top NW 2/3 rd's of Iowa are just fine. GFS over does the warm air advection aloft. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 The Euro usually follows what the Ukie shows so this isn't good. It does? good for my bet though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Reg GFS The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Euro splits the difference to the tip of lake Michigan. That's my call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 The Euro usually follows what the Ukie shows so this isn't good.It does? good for my bet though I guarantee the Euro goes well NW with its 0z run later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Weak turd and southeast might win out but I am guessing this one isnt done with the curveballs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 FYI UKMET came in way NW. But look at where it takes the low - via Mexico! Something tells something didn't get initialized correctly. It does correct and follows the GFS mostly. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Check out hr 36 and 42 it goes south from that spot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 good God thats a bad model I take back what I said earlier. I still think the Euro goes well NW though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 The ukie has seemed to be.virally infected for weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 The ukie has seemed to be.virally infected for weeksYeah something's up with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Yeah something's up with itThe ec blizzard put it into a state of shock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 good God thats a bad model I take back what I said earlier. I still think the Euro goes well NW though. You've said that the last 6 euro runs. dude we're good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Looking more and more like a 6 inch event around here given tonight runs. I take that back I am.riding the NMM. 18 inches easy with more to come. Edit number 2... It feels like we have tracked this for 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 What a ridiculous hobby. Been watching this for over a week and here we are 1.5 days out and still details are far from certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Jim Cantore is in Omaha. I think you Nebraska posters are going to be fine haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 I am too drunk to recognized anything.nits Mardi gras in Iowa. Night before caucus. Lots of beads around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Am I gonna Win or lose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 I am too drunk to recognized anything.nits Mardi gras in Iowa. Night before caucus. Lots of beads around It must be a real circus there. 1 Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 Euro has started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 I am too drunk to recognized anything.nits Mardi gras in Iowa. Night before caucus. Lots of beads aroundI suppose the username fits right about now, huh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/ecmwf/20160201/00Z/f024/sfcmslpconus.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2016 Report Share Posted February 1, 2016 12z euro para fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts