Hawkeye Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Currently sitting at 1.3 inches after a couple nice bands moved through. We should certainly reach 2 inches, but not sure about 3. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 MKE and parts of Sheboygan seeing some Lake Effect... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Should be snowing pretty good out in the western burbs ...on radar, I like the way the bands are pivoting...N IL may be in a good spot for this one...some redevelopment happening near the center of the low over SE IA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Flurries starting to fly here. Radar looks really good - better than I expected with trends last night. I think 2.5-3" should be easy to achieve at these temperatures. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Synoptic snow has finally started in force. Should not be long before moderate snow starts falling here. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Finally getting some wind whipped powda with nice dendrites...had to wait till mid February this year, better late then never... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Synoptic snow has finally started in force. Should not be long before moderate snow starts falling here.Based on radar imagery, looks like the main forcing should pivot right over N IL... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yerf Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Low visibility and moderate snow. Roads covered. 18 degrees here. I love Sunday snow days 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Based on radar imagery, looks like the main forcing should pivot right over N IL... I see the 17z HRRR is pushing the 0.20" line into NE IL now. Have built into a light snow already. Should be one of the better powder events this winter. Visibility really down at Fox Lake. Man, it's really coming down now. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Low visibility and moderate snow. Roads covered. 18 degrees here. I love Sunday snow days Same here. In fact the temp did fall off three degrees.High end moderate snow here right now. 20 minutes after the snow started everything is covered already. Probably 20:1 ratio Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 You guys are obsessed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Only 1.9 inches here in Cedar Rapids, so the lousy snow season continues. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 You guys are obsessed You're not exempt from that! lol When you haven't seen much powder during the winter, every bit of it is exciting.I could't live in a location that didn't get snow as part of a normal winter. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 HRRR showing 0.20" here now. About an inch so far. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 1.276 inches here. Fluffed up good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 ^ A heavy area of snow that is over the Quad Cities is forecast to slide towards Chicagoland by sunset. 0.8" here as of 1:45. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Very nice Valentine's snowfall. Perfect temp where everything gets covered and flake size decent 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Have not had a chance to look at maps this weekend so how is the next clipper looking Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 1.7" here. Yipee. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Today's snowfall reminds of the winter days back in 2013-2014...non stop Clipper's and fluff...brings back some good memories... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Have not had a chance to look at maps this weekend so how is the next clipper looking GFS south a bit and the GEM. NAM is coming north now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 They had 6-12" across most of north central to northeast South Dakota. My old hometown of Gettysburg was the winner with 12" it looks like Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 The next wave. NAM moisture. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 The next wave. NAM moisture. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160214/18Z/f69/48hqpfmw.pngJudging by how it handled this system should max out at .1 qpf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Interesting watch returns get beat up as they approach lake michigan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Over 2" here easy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 It's been continuously snowing here even though the radar is showing breaks. Low level moisture off the lake is helping a bit.Your're going to get 3" without a doubt Tony. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 My final precip total was only 0.14". In addition, the NWS talked about a snow to liquid ratio in the 15-17 to 1 range, but mine was only 13.5 to 1. In my experience, ratios often end up lower than expected. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 1.3" here so far. Ratios aren't living up to what was predicted. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 1.5" here...prob end up with a little over 2" of powder... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Joke of a winter continues. Wwa for 3-5" total as of now....maybe 1.5". On to the next blizzard! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Probably the wind is shattering the snow flakes in the atmosphere, thus leading to lower ratios. Would have had more snow accumulation if the wind would have stayed light. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 2 inches.or so here ratios had to.be 25:1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 DMX take on the 16th Clipper-.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...ISSUED AT 336 PM CST SUN FEB 14 2016ONE MORE QUICK SHORTWAVE LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BEFORE AMUCH ANTICIPATED WARMUP TOWARDS THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AND INTONEXT WEEKEND. CONTINUED LEANING TOWARD A BLEND OF THESREF/GFS/ECMWF AS NAM REMAINS THE OUTLIER BEING TOO FAR NORTH WITHTHE SURFACE LOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND THUS HAVING MOREPRECIP TYPE ISSUES.MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE STATEDURING THE DAY MONDAY BUT QUICKLY SHIFTS EAST TO MAKE ROOM FOR AVERY FAST MOVING ALBERTA CLIPPER INTO THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT.COMPACT SYSTEM WITH DEEP AND STRONG FORCING PUNCHES INTO NORTHWESTIOWA B/T 03-06Z TUESDAY AND MOVES ESE ACROSS THE CWA B/T 06-15Z.THE DEEP QG FORCING RAPIDLY EXITS THE CWA B/T 15-18Z AND SHOULDEND ALL PRECIP BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. POTENTIAL FOR GOODFRONTOGENETICALLY INDUCED SNOW BAND TO SET UP FROM NW TO SEOVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...WITH STRONG OMEGA...ROUGHLY15-20 UBAR/S WITHIN THE DENDRITIC LAYER...CAN EXPECT A QUICK BURSTOF SNOW IN THIS AREA. NAM WANTS TO BRING IN A WARM LAYER ALOFTMONDAY NIGHT...BUT THINK THE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING TOO QUICKLY FORTHIS WARM LAYER TO MAKE AN EFFECT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHTINTO TUESDAY MORNING. PLUS...THE WARM LAYER COOLS BELOW FREEZINGOR NEAR FREEZING ONCE THE DEEP MOISTURE ADVECTION PUNCHES INTO THESTATE OVERNIGHT. HENCE...LOW CONFIDENCE WITH MUCH MIXED PRECIPBUT CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE IT OUT AT THE ONSET B/T 03-06Z TUESDAY.HAVE A MENTION OF FZRA ACROSS THE WEST DURING THIS TIME BUT WITHNO ICE ACCUMULATION. THE FORCING IS STRONG ENOUGH TO OVERCOME ANYABOVE FREEZING SURFACE TEMPS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA EXCEPT ACROSSTHE SOUTHWEST. HERE...LEFT A MENTION OF RA/SN AS WARM BOUNDARYLAYER SHOULD BE DEEP ENOUGH TO MELT THE FALLING SNOW. ALSOMENTIONED PATCHY BLSN ACROSS THE NORTH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITHDECENT CAA DEVELOPING BEHIND THE CLIPPER SYSTEM. PLUS THE WINDSHAD NO TROUBLE BLOWING SNOW AROUND TODAY AND WINDS TUESDAYAFTERNOON LOOK A BIT STRONGER. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Where are the 80's and sun Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Where are the 80's and sunCome to AZ...I just booked my flight...leaving Wednesday... There are your 80's even 90's and sun... http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=33.427799&lon=-112.003465#.VsEKlfkrLIU Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 2.7 here. just glad to see that brown grass gone Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Maybe 1.5" here. Way less than what the models were showing, except maybe the Euro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Maybe 1.5" here. Way less than what the models were showing, except maybe the Euro. Wow, I thought you were going to come out on top or near it. Is your ratio low? Still some snow pivoting in from the WSW. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yerf Posted February 14, 2016 Report Share Posted February 14, 2016 Where are the 80's and sunAustralia 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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