Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 32 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Looks like the newer model is colder. Go with the model that ALWAYS shows the most cold/snow. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 That GFS run lays down 40-50” of snow at my house before November 10th. never gonna happen. 3 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: That GFS run lays down 40-50” of snow at my house before November 10th. never gonna happen. "IF, IF" it does, the entire NE U.S. is gonna need to be put on suicide watch. Bed checks every 10 mins. 1 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, ShawniganLake said: That GFS run lays down 40-50” of snow at my house before November 10th. never gonna happen. Id be legitimately surprised if there was any accumulating snowfall below 500’ outside of some very favored locations like the C-zone or any highs below 39-41 degrees. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Kolk1604 said: Is it a snow day if the kids are off? 3 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Oh.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Oh.... Suspense... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Suspense... Exactly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Nope. King EURO was a real dick tonight. Always a chance the EPS deviates after Day 6 and holds the block allowing the cold trough/arctic air to dig more favorably. Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Snowfall or snow depth? Because I can *maybe* see inches of snow falling and melting as it hits, but not accumulations for any kind of time outside of very special places. Snow in the air and melting on pavement still very exciting for early November though. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 its over 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: its over 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 8 - I almost vomited seeing this. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 The EURO is feeding us well tonight. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Very wet. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 8 - I almost vomited seeing this. Great mountain snow pattern. 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 If we can all manage a hard freeze, I'll call this event a success. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Jim disappeared pretty fast lol 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Great mountain snow pattern. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 9'er very wet, flooding rains 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Great mountain snow pattern. Yes it is, and then turns into a flood. It's a lot better than a ridge-fest or split flow. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 On second thought November 2014 might be a pretty high bar... 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: On second thought November 2014 might be a pretty high bar... Yeah I doubt this will be a major event or anything but November 2014 did have some record warmth after the first cold event. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Eugene finally sees some rain this run! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: On second thought November 2014 might be a pretty high bar... Even the early November 2017 outbreak which was a few days before this potential one seems like it’s pretty high tier itself. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Hey Rob, should I run for the knives now or wait until January 2nd? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 This run isn't terrible at all in my opinion, very wet and some decent mountain snows. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Hey Guys... 3 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, JSnowlin said: Hey Rob, should I run for the knives now or wait until January 2nd? Late January. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Hey Guys... Not bad 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. HUGE rains, floods, and piles of mountain snow. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Hey Guys... Chilly air for this time of year. 5 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Plenty of Cold Air in Canada and beginning to seep into Washington at the end 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 This looks like it could be really good for how early this is happening. I’m not expecting much because of how early in the winter it is but if we even get an inch out of this I would be happy along with some cold days and nights. 3 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Fascinating ECMWF run. That second chance shot is pretty impressive. 6 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by SouthHillFrosty,
Congrats Frosty!!!
Recommended by Meatyorologist
35 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by T-Town,
Incredible tornado footage.
Recommended by Meatyorologist
13 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.