Timmy Supercell Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Today will (hopefully, going by NWS) start a decent "stretch" for convection. This afternoon and much of next week could get exciting. Wunderground and other websites still refuse to mention any storms on their 10-days. That's to be expected though. Nothing new Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 SEA is at +0.6 for the month now. WFO SEA is also at +0.6 and Bellingham is at +1.3 OLM is at -0.8 So the same phenomenon is occurring in August where the stations in the Puget Sound region are warmer than places to the south. I am assuming places like Victoria and Vancouver BC are also warmer than normal. Different month... different pattern... same result in Western WA. YYJ (Victoria Airport) is running +1.3C (+2.3F) so far after finishing +1.1C (+2F) last month; YVR (Vancouver Airport) is running +0.3C (+0.5F) after finishing +0.8C (+1.4F) last month. The weak marine push yesterday afternoon cooled things down slightly but we still ended up with an above-average overnight low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 12Z ECMWF is just perfection. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 12Z ECMWF is just perfection. Some people may agree, disagree. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 SEA is at +0.6 for the month now. WFO SEA is also at +0.6 and Bellingham is at +1.3 OLM is at -0.8 So the same phenomenon is occurring in August where the stations in the Puget Sound region are warmer than places to the south. I am assuming places like Victoria and Vancouver BC are also warmer than normal. Different month... different pattern... same result in Western WA.What is PDX running? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Spent the day at Rainier yesterday. Got away from the heat for the most part. It was packed up there with people!Much more tolerable in the lowlands today. Reached 90° both yesterday and on Friday. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Record warm August on the way?? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Months without substantial rain have sure transformed the look of the landscape. The hot dry pattern coming up won't be much drier than it's been here for the past month, but we're getting closer to the time of the year where increased humidity and longer nights reduce the evaporation rate. Late April:http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_3371_zpsyae4zahp.jpg Today:http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_3585_zpskdfbtfgw.jpg 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abbotsford_wx Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Months without substantial rain have sure transformed the look of the landscape. The hot dry pattern coming up won't be much drier than it's been here for the past month, but we're getting closer to the time of the year where increased humidity and longer nights reduce the evaporation rate. Wow. Not quite so bad here, but still mighty dry. The last ground soaking rain was over a month ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Record warm August on the way?? Don't be mean. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Eugene could put together a ridiculously long streak of 90+ days if things go right. The next few days should be borderline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Months without substantial rain have sure transformed the look of the landscape. The hot dry pattern coming up won't be much drier than it's been here for the past month, but we're getting closer to the time of the year where increased humidity and longer nights reduce the evaporation rate. Late April:http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_3371_zpsyae4zahp.jpg Today:http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_3585_zpskdfbtfgw.jpg That's exactly how my yard ended up from April/May through the summer. Now my grass looks like hay. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trainwreck Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 That's exactly how my yard ended up from April/May through the summer. Now my grass looks like hay.Water it. I live in Redmond Or. and I have to water it everyday or it just gets brown within a few days. Soooooo dry here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 What is PDX running? +.1 Higher after today, of course. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 14, 2016 Report Share Posted August 14, 2016 Eugene could put together a ridiculously long streak of 90+ days if things go right. The next few days should be borderline. Looks like the longest they had last summer was 7 days. I imagine their record has to be at least a dozen, probably from 1967. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 That's exactly how my yard ended up from April/May through the summer. Now my grass looks like hay. Yeah that is pretty typical in the Willamette Valley too. It usually doesn't rain more than a couple days between July 4th and Labor Day weekend. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Water it. I live in Redmond Or. and I have to water it everyday or it just gets brown within a few days. Soooooo dry here. I'm in Bend. My lawn looked great in late spring, then died out pretty badly, but I've gotten it to come back. Two female dogs don't help matters. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Looks like the longest they had last summer was 7 days. I imagine their record has to be at least a dozen, probably from 1967.The record is 10, done in 1967 and 1974. The old downtown station had 11 in a row in 1938. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 The bad old days are back! Wake me up in a week and a half... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 We are at Anthonys waterfront in Olympia... had to drop off kids on Oregon coast for camp and need traffic to die down. I can report that it feels quite hot out here on the patio. Lovely day. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 The record is 10, done in 1967 and 1974. The old downtown station had 11 in a row in 1938. Well, I was right about 1967. Surprised it's not a little higher than that, isn't Portland's record around 10 also? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Well, I was right about 1967. Surprised it's not a little higher than that, isn't Portland's record around 10 also?Yeah, 10 in 2009. Eugene's record does seem a little weak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Lots of lake weather coming up. Excited to get out on Whatcom a few times. Been too busy and not ready for summer to be over yet! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Months without substantial rain have sure transformed the look of the landscape. The hot dry pattern coming up won't be much drier than it's been here for the past month, but we're getting closer to the time of the year where increased humidity and longer nights reduce the evaporation rate. Late April: Today: Would never have guessed that yard was one out of SW BC! You're really hurting for rain there.Grass is brown/yellow in spots around this area. I suspect it will dry out a lot more in the next week. 85° here today. Over performed a bit. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 You're a funny guy Jesse. I'm not a troll. Your calling me a troll when you were banned on this site a while back for trolling. Actually that was for pointing out the selective moderation of OT posts. But that's neither here nor there. Glad you decided against leaving us forever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Would never have guessed that yard was one out of SW BC! You're really hurting for rain there.Grass is brown/yellow in spots around this area. I suspect it will dry out a lot more in the next week. 85° here today. Over performed a bit.Southern Vancouver island is often the driest place in southern Canada during the summer. However, the dry season started very early this year. Basically April 1st. Lots of maple and alder trees have started to look stressed and are shedding their leaves now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Southern Vancouver island is often the driest place in southern Canada during the summer. However, the dry season started very early this year. Basically April 1st. Lots of maple and alder trees have started to look stressed and are shedding their leaves now. Just got home... I saw the alder trees shedding some leaves here as well. And its been relatively wet here The grass along the roads is still pretty green. The alder trees lose leaves early every year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Looks above normal for most of the next 2 weeks on the GFS ensembles: http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Thanks, I had to come back because of what's in store for us starting in about 3 months. Latest triple digits on record? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 00z ensembles seem to keep the hope alive for a quicker cool down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Anyone else ready for autumn? I'm like really, really craving it this year. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Anyone else ready for autumn? I'm like really, really craving it this year.I was born ready. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 I was born ready.Well, I'm quite confident you have a lot to look forward to. I honestly think if we can avoid a PV disaster (as in, a vertically stacked tornado from the mesopause to the middle troposphere), then you're in for the best winter since at least 2008-09, possibly since 1996-97. A multitude of factors are aligning magnificently. I'm willing to put money down on this one. Right now, the residual off-equator Pacific warmth (N/S of the Niña signature) is helping enhance lift over the Pacific given the ITCZ/convective max is currently N of the equator/over the warmer SSTs (boreal summer). So, the typical wave1 Niña forcing signature isn't holding consistently, hence the chaotic pattern fluctuations and warm surges. However, once we move into September/October/November, that ITCZ/convective latitude will propagate southward, over the cooler Equatorial waters (relatively speaking), and a more coherent Niña convertive signature will evolve. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Anyone else ready for autumn? I'm like really, really craving it this year. Its been a lovely summer here. I am sure if the weather was suffocating like it has been in DC then people would really be craving fall. But we never have that kind of weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 The new run of the 00z EURO shows a big time crash from Saturday to Sunday. PDX goes from 22C 850mb temps down to 12C just in one day. Credit goes to Phil if that happens. Not much ensemble support for that short cool-down late in the weekend... the 06Z GFS does not show it either. http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls04/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls04-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-H6MUD8.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Low to mid 90s fri yikes... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Fairly decent cool down early next week on the 12Z GFS... and also on the 12Z Canadian. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 ^Significant trough developing over AK and south. Edit: Then the ridge pops back up... Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Well, it's looking like the overall pattern for the country will end up different this month than many of us were thinking. Does this increase the chances of a below normal September? Stats coming soon...stay tuned. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 15, 2016 Report Share Posted August 15, 2016 Well, it's looking like the overall pattern for the country will end up different this month than many of us were thinking. Does this increase the chances of a below normal September? Stats coming soon...stay tuned.Summer perfection through December! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.