Timmy Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Losing stuff in the mid-range is never a good sign IMO. One reason I have never been on board with this one. Until things start improving in the 5-7 day range I couldn't really care less. The models have been watering down the mid range for well over a month now.Yeah it's pretty frustrating, I have watched borderline snow turn into 2500'-5000' snow levels in the last 2 weeks in that mid range Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Oh god Jesse. Did you get beat up black friday shopping?This is coming from the weenie king of course. I refuse to participate in that ridiculous holiday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 6z ensembles were pretty decent. I don't think we'll get a blast, but maybe a warning shot! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Yeah it's pretty frustrating, I have watched borderline snow turn into 2500'-5000' snow levels in the last 2 weeks in that mid rangeYeah, I have noticed that when the models are doing that the cold stuff in the long range usually doesn't mean much. It will just meet the same fate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Wow this overall 500mb pattern has so much incredible potential for multiple blasts and snow events. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 We love that 12z don't we!!! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 We love that 12z don't we!!!Turd sandwich? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Yeah, I have noticed that when the models are doing that the cold stuff in the long range usually doesn't mean much. It will just meet the same fate. Well with the most recent systems there have been a few issues. The troughs are digging enough, they are kind of hanging up with the trough axis staying offshore and to the north. Also not a lot of cold air on this side of the globe. That will be changing and hopefully can shake things up a bit. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Turd sandwich? It is actually really good. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Well with the most recent systems there have been a few issues. The troughs are digging enough, they are kind of hanging up with the trough axis staying offshore and to the north. Also not a lot of cold air on this side of the globe. That will be changing and hopefully can shake things up a bit.That would be nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Euro this morning will be telling, we need to see some good at day 9, not just 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Happy with seeing the pattern setting up upstream around day 7. Very consistent agreement for that. Hopefully future runs will show the Kona/Anchor low. IF so, look out we will see one hell of a December to remember. MBG Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Wow, the updated run of the 12z GEM is actually quite good. It will take enough of an over water trajectory to spin up moisture but still be cold enough once the Arctic Front drops on down. You can clearly see the Arctic Front on the maps. http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016112512/240/500h_anom.na.pnghttp://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016112512/240/850th_nb.na.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 12z GEM 500mb progression is excellent and bitter air spills south into BC/AB quickly. http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016112512/240/850th_nb.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Backdoor cold shot on 12z GEM day 7-8 looks chilly http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016112512/186/sfct.us_nw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 The sun is trying to come out! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Backdoor cold shot on 12z GEM day 7-8 looks chilly http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016112512/186/sfct.us_nw.pngThat's what I'm talking about. Give me improvement in the mid range. Move things up! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 That's what I'm talking about. Give me improvement in the mid range. Move things up! It is going to be nice having a cold snap right after all this mountain snow. This season feels very different than the last two. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 That's what I'm talking about. Give me improvement in the mid range. Move things up! No doubt. I need to see things moving up before I even start paying attention to the details. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 That's what I'm talking about. Give me improvement in the mid range. Move things up!You actually just took the words right from my fingertips. It appears the timing is moving up closer to the verifiable range. This is good. If the models can stay trending in this direction we should all see some action. Hopefully the block gods look down upon us with a smile. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 The sun is trying to come out!Mostly sunny here! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It is going to be nice having a cold snap right after all this mountain snow. This season feels very different than the last two.If we get one, it definitely would! And I will grant that it does. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Mostly sunny here! Filtered sun here... but its dried out and looks nice out there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Filtered sun here... but its dried out and looks nice out there.Since 9pm Wednesday I have been between 40-43 degrees! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It is going to be nice having a cold snap right after all this mountain snow. This season feels very different than the last two. Last December was spectacular for mountain snow. This was on 12/19/15 at Snoqualmie Pass... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 No doubt. I need to see things moving up before I even start paying attention to the details.Yeah the attention to details beyond day 7 or so is something I've never really understood. I think there are some who get a lot of enjoyment from simply tracking the models. Not that there's anything wrong with that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 12Z GFS not as "epic" as the 00z in the clown range, but it's plenty epic still. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 People are already going in full weenie mode and we are finally getting something interesting to track. It definitely looks like we have a decent shot at something interesting I'm the snow/cold department in the next two weeks. Calm down everyone (Jesse). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Last December was spectacular for mountain snow. This was on 12/19/15 at Snoqualmie Pass... Overall last year was fairly decent, but we have had much better ski seasons overall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Last December was spectacular for mountain snow. This was on 12/19/15 at Snoqualmie Pass... It's not late December. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Overall last year was fairly decent, but we have had much better ski seasons overall. I hope we can come close to the amount of snow in those pictures in 24 days. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 People are already going in full weenie mode and we are finally getting something interesting to track. It definitely looks like we have a decent shot at something interesting I'm the snow/cold department in the next two weeks. Calm down everyone (Jesse).I haven't done anything. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 People are already going in full weenie mode and we are finally getting something interesting to track. It definitely looks like we have a decent shot at something interesting I'm the snow/cold department in the next two weeks. Calm down everyone (Jesse). Jesse has been the most calm. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Last December was spectacular for mountain snow. This was on 12/19/15 at Snoqualmie Pass... Oh my God Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Bastardi just used the words "cold" and "west" in the same sentence. Jim will be pleased. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I haven't done anything.You seemed like you were having a little grumpy fit this morning. I was mostly just poking fun. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Bastardi just used the words "cold" and "west" in the same sentence. Jim will be pleased.We're f****d Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 12z ECMWFBegins in.... 3 minutes Feel free to play along(You may need to refresh pages)Northwest view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=nwus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112300&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=197North American view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=namer&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112300&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=197North Pacific view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=npac&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112300&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=197 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It's not late December.You sure woke up on the wrong side of the bed! It's fun tracking possibilities...Cheer up! Apple Cup in 3hrs!!!!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Bastardi just used the words "cold" and "west" in the same sentence. Jim will be pleased. Bastardi is a big Trump fan. That should make Jim happy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.