luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 So people are upset that we are going to see a bit of snow before it warms up? lol that's how it works around here, If that upsets you then you should move.harsh... 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I think Jim beat the tar out of him. Yeah he's over in the political banter thread losing his mind over Trump. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 So people are upset that we are going to see a bit of snow before it warms up? lol that's how it works around here, If that upsets you then you should move. The thing is it might get cold again fairly quickly right afterward again. Nothing to be unhappy about at all right now. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 There just isn't a whole lot of mystery at this point. Mystery drives this place, not atmospheric reality.Monday and Thursday could both still go either way. Up to 3" of snow seems like a realistic possibility still for either day. Not going to be a major event but that doesn't make it an easy call snoozefest. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 00z looks like it is trending just a bit colder for Monday-Wednesday. Nice to see in the home stretch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Look closely at this image. A small hole over downtown Portland... Swamp part 2? Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Yeah he's over in the political banter thread losing his mind over Trump. He just can't wrap his head around it. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 He just can't wrap his head around it. Trump should have become president years ago! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 The thing is it might get cold again fairly quickly right afterward again. Nothing to be unhappy about at all right now.I couldn't agree more. I am super stoked with the pattern over the next two weeks! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Monday and Thursday could both still go either way. Up to 3" of snow seems like a realistic possibility still for either day. Not going to be a major event but that doesn't make it an easy call snoozefest. What I like to call a warning shot. Pretty common stuff in our great winters. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 He just can't wrap his head around it. It makes me laugh. I saw CNN today said Stein is dropping the recount in PA. I think we told Tim that a week ago, but he wouldn't believe it until CNN said so. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 The CFS was pretty much cool through mid-February tonight. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Trump should have become president years ago! Who would have thought that was all it would take? 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 What i like to call a warning shot. Pretty common stuff in our great winters.True... but not completely uncommon in our winters that never completely deliver. NOT a prediction just an observation... I have faith it will deliver in the coming months. NOT a prediction just wishful thinking. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 00z ECMWFBegins in.... 13 minutes C'mon cold and snow! Let's see how the 6-10 day period unfolds. It would be amazing to see anything resembling the bitter cold 12z showed. I wouldn't expect it, but who knows right. Yeah. Feel free to play along(You may need to refresh pages)Northwest view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=nwus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197North American view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=namer&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197North Pacific view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=npac&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197Alaska view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=ak&pkg=T850&runtime=2016112912&fh=0 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 The CFS was pretty much cool through mid-February tonight. A lot of great runs from that model lately. The mean of the past 7 days runs shows colder than normal for us Dec - Feb. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Monday and Thursday could both still go either way. Up to 3" of snow seems like a realistic possibility still for either day. Not going to be a major event but that doesn't make it an easy call snoozefest.Not sure I'd go that far about Monday, but the overrunning event does have some wiggle room. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 The short warm up late Thursday may not even happen. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 00z ECMWFBegins in.... 13 minutes C'mon cold and snow! Let's see how the 6-10 day period unfolds. It would be amazing to see anything resembling the bitter run 12z showed. I wouldn't expect it, but who knows right. Yeah. Feel free to play along(You may need to refresh pages)Northwest view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=nwus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197North American view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=namer&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197North Pacific view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=npac&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197Alaska view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=ak&pkg=T850&runtime=2016112912&fh=0 I might be in the minority here but I have a feeling the upcoming run of the 00z KING EURO will look similar to what it showed in it's 12z run today! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Not sure I'd go that far about Monday, but the overrunning event does have some wiggle room.For early December a 1 to 3" event works for me Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Not sure I'd go that far about Monday, but the overrunning event does have some wiggle room.I'm speaking more for my backyard than for Portland. I don't expect PDX to see more than a slushy dusting on Monday. Whatever, don't live there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 True... but not completely uncommon in our winters that never completely deliver. NOT a prediction just an observation... I have faith it will deliver in the coming months. NOT a prediction just wishful thinking. Context is very important. 1. Super Nino to weak Nina transition winter2. Extremely wet Oct / Nov combo3. Super torch November after a reasonably cool July - Oct (especially at the 850mb level)4. Propensity for high heights over the GOA mid June through early Oct And those are just some of the things going for us. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 The short warm up late Thursday may not even happen.I have hope in King Euro that it shows us staying cool(erish)... Fingers crossed but according to many mets on here it will not verify. So I am hesitant Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parksvillewx Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Whoa..shows my location getting 12"+.. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 The short warm up late Thursday may not even happen. Looking at surface pressure / thickness maps you could be right for the most part. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Context is very important. 1. Super Nino to weak Nina transition winter2. Extremely wet Oct / Nov combo3. Super torch November after a reasonably cool July - Oct (especially at the 850mb level)4. Propensity for high heights over the GOA mid June through early Oct And those are just some of the things going for us.Oh I agree with these and have shared that all they back in mid November... BUT does not mean it truly delivers but at this point all cards are in play and it is quite exciting. Gonna be fun to watch... 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Whoa..shows my location getting 12"+.. tmp_7672-wa_snow48.48.0000842945533.gif Holy . 3" for me. I'll take it! Best run so far. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Whoa..shows my location getting 12"+.. tmp_7672-wa_snow48.48.0000842945533.gifThis is beautiful.. But has to be overdone ? Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Me sorry I tried to like this but I used them all up again! Crap!!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Looking at surface pressure / thickness maps you could be right for the most part. Oh wow that is the best WRF run since we began tracking this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I tried to like this but I used them all up again! Crap!!!Should have unlimited likes!! Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Looking at surface pressure / thickness maps you could be right for the most part.Its going to be close.Any more shift to the south of that low and will stay offshore flow. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm speaking more for my backyard than for Portland. I don't expect PDX to see more than a slushy dusting on Monday. Whatever, don't live there.I'm talking the valley in general. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Holy s**t. 3" for me. I'll take it! Best run so far.Still really shadowed down here. Honestly this setup traditionally does shadow us in the swamp but I am quite okay with it. At least I am looking at a trace to maybe a few inches. Better than nothing. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm talking the valley in general.He s being so selfish like me.... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Should have unlimited likes!!bonus likes for you!! I really "like" that statement!!! Lots!!!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm talking the valley in general.Definitely less than promising south of Portland, nothing unusual there. Again, not quite my area though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Another closer in view with additional snow from the convergence zone. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Wow. The forum exploded with activity finally. It's pretty clear what caused it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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