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December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

stuffradio

By stuffradio
in West of the Rockies

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MR.SNOWMIZER
MR.SNOWMIZER

Been a emotional day.. First time in 27 years i went and picked a Christmas tree without my woman but me and my son made the best of it and had a good time. Its been a real test as a father dealing wi

jaya
jaya

Well, I don't have access to everything that I'd like to look at. With that said, tonight will be tricky with the strong offshore flow. I've seen it go both ways. In one case in 2014 I believe, models

Gradient Keeper
Gradient Keeper

I wish you all a Merry Christmas. I hope you can find joy and happiness. Appreciate the ones you have with you during this Holiday season.   http://i.imgur.com/fhWgu21.jpg

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Definitely some ZR glazing now near Silverton. Roads are fine

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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jcmcgaffey Rising Star

jcmcgaffey

Posted
Posted

One item that I was thinking about was the timing of clouds and precip is not ideal in regards to time of day for the Seattle area.  The sun has been warming everything up here today and then the clouds are coming in just in time to cap in the warmth and not allow radiational cooling at all after dark.  I think every little bit helps in these scenarios and best timing would have been morning after things cooled down and cloud cover could trap the cold better.  Hopefully the north and east winds will help eliminate any trapped warmth.  I am probably just overthinking this and its a non-issue.

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Next Monday looking similar to last Monday. Maybe juicier up north

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Prairiedog Community Regular

Prairiedog

Posted
Posted

Getting some sleet now after a beautiful snowfall albeit not a lot of accum.  Maybe 1/4".  Too much hype by a few on this forum of the 3-5" and even the 2-4" never seemed realistic for most areas after models came out yesterday.  We all get excited, but hopefully with the next go around next week, we try to not hyperbolize too much.  This is the PNW.  This is the Portland area and north valley.  It's what usually happens at best unless it's slapping us in the face. Models as I saw them never supported that much snow.  Mark did a good job with this. He understands the micro climates here and he understands what climo is.  He's still king IMHO.  Not the Euro.  Not the GFS.  Not the NAM.  They're all useful but they don't live here. 

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Goducks09 Newbie

Goducks09

Posted
Posted

Getting some sleet now after a beautiful snowfall albeit not a lot of accum.  Maybe 1/4".  Too much hype by a few on this forum of the 3-5" and even the 2-4" never seemed realistic for most areas after models came out yesterday.  We all get excited, but hopefully with the next go around next week, we try to not hyperbolize too much.  This is the PNW.  This is the Portland area and north valley.  It's what usually happens at best unless it's slapping us in the face. Models as I saw them never supported that much snow.  Mark did a good job with this. He understands the micro climates here and he understands what climo is.  He's still king IMHO.  Not the Euro.  Not the GFS.  Not the NAM.  They're all useful but they don't live here. 

 

Yep - nailed it.  Back to moderate snow Downtown.  May be the last band for awhile before sleet/rain moves in.

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted

Getting some sleet now after a beautiful snowfall albeit not a lot of accum.  Maybe 1/4".  Too much hype by a few on this forum of the 3-5" and even the 2-4" never seemed realistic for most areas after models came out yesterday.  We all get excited, but hopefully with the next go around next week, we try to not hyperbolize too much.  This is the PNW.  This is the Portland area and north valley.  It's what usually happens at best unless it's slapping us in the face. Models as I saw them never supported that much snow.  Mark did a good job with this. He understands the micro climates here and he understands what climo is.  He's still king IMHO.  Not the Euro.  Not the GFS.  Not the NAM.  They're all useful but they don't live here. 

 

The hi-res NAM also did well for the Portland area. 

A forum for the end of the world.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Drunk uncle is gonna be extra drunk today..lol.

 

 

Focus on the NW and NE...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016120818/gfs_T850a_us_34.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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