Timmy Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 new RPM brings back snow!http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/RPM_SNOW_18z.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 I know! We have been talking about that for the last couple years... deciding whether to thin them out or top them. I think topping them looks ugly. Just cut them down. They will be that size again in a few years anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 So the red in this map are non-sticking snow areas, the blue is cold 33 degree rain...Valid 6am tomorrow morning. http://oi65.tinypic.com/2mfmyp2.jpg Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 The 18z models are showing a pretty significant event across NW oregon. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 All rain in Beaverton near Highway 26. Troutdale is still 35F even with a strong east wind. It will take a few more hours for the CAA to really take hold in the Columbia basin and then to spread west to us. 6-8PM might be when we all change over. I haven't seen anything but a few wet flakes under some heavy precip earlier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 18z GFS shows an atmospheric river event into NW Oregon in a week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luterra Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 I've flown out a couple of times in snow/ice and never been delayed more than an hour.I'm flying out tomorrow 10:55 am, hoping for the best. Probably equal chances that the shuttle gets stuck in traffic until the flight leaves, or the flight is cancelled... 995 mb (29.38") in Corvallis now, still falling, low coming onshore around Coos Bay 992-993 mb. North winds down the valley but 5 mph or less and gradients will be lessening as the low moves overhead. Not much in the way of cold air advection here. 700 mb closed low/circulation center seems to be taking shape over far NW corner of Oregon, as modeled and now evident in radar circulation. If 4km NAM/HRRR are correct that feature will remain stationary through tomorrow morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Just cut them down. They will be that size again in a few years anyway. Indeed. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Troutdale is still 35F even with a strong east wind. It will take a few more hours for the CAA to really take hold in the Columbia basin and then to spread west to us. 6-8PM might be when we all change over. I haven't seen anything but a few wet flakes under some heavy precip earlier. My magic numbers are 28 at TDS 24 at Pendleton. Pendleton is there, The Dalles needs to cool a bit first. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 I'm flying out tomorrow 10:55 am, hoping for the best. Probably equal chances that the shuttle gets stuck in traffic until the flight leaves, or the flight is cancelled... 995 mb (29.38") in Corvallis now, still falling, low coming onshore around Coos Bay 992-993 mb. North winds down the valley but 5 mph or less and gradients will be lessening as the low moves overhead. Not much in the way of cold air advection here. 700 mb closed low/circulation center seems to be taking shape over far NW corner of Oregon, as modeled and now evident in radar circulation. If 4km NAM/HRRR are correct that feature will remain stationary through tomorrow morning. Starting to feel a little more confident Corvallis will see some snow. Likely less than an inch, but I would be surprised if you don't get a good dusting. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 18z GFS shows an atmospheric river event into NW Oregon in a week. river of snow of rain? If it's not a river of snow I don't want it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 My magic numbers are 28 at TDS 24 at Pendleton. Pendleton is there, The Dalles needs to cool a bit first. The Dalles is at 30F now, so not too far off then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 I'm bored with this weather...lets hurry up and get the AR in here and get this pattern reset! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 I picked the right winter to buy a generator and transfer switch! Over 24 hours without power this week. Over 50 for the winter soFar 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Precip looking spotty so far. Hopefully that changes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Snowing here in South Gresham elevation over 500 feet. I didn't expect this so early. Heading out to the store before it gets too bad out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Dew point down 10 degrees in two hours at Larch. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goducks09 Posted January 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Precip looking spotty so far. Hopefully that changes. This isn't supposed to be the main round of precip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Looks like Mark finally came to his senses for highs later this week. Mid-upper 30s. Lows in the teens still wouldn't surprise me though, especially if we score some decent snowcover. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Dew point down 10 degrees in two hours at Larch.Good sign for a change over soon. But hoping the dry air doesn't gobble up all of our snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Precip looking spotty so far. Hopefully that changes.Pretty weak deformation signature so far. Should fill in soon. If not by 6-7pm I'd start to be concerned. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luterra Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Some area SLPs:North Bend (OR) 29.30", up from 29.29" an hour agoNewport 29.35"Corvallis, Eugene, Roseburg all 29.36"Salem, Redmond 29.38"Portland 29.45"The Dalles 29.65" Not much for gradients away from the gorge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goducks09 Posted January 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Light flurries downtown right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Icy cold wind in swamp. Moisture lifting from the south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goducks09 Posted January 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Light flurries downtown right now. No rain - all snow at street level. Albeit, very light at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Sheesh. My bad. It's 40. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 70mph gust near Bellingham. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Sheesh. My bad. It's 40. Get rid of that Kmart Meter friend. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Sheesh. My bad. It's 40.Have you installed your state of the art mercury thermometer yet? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Good sign for a change over soon. But hoping the dry air doesn't gobble up all of our snow.Yeah, the wheels are turning. The downslope will obviously be a factor with what is not particularly deep moisture, but hopefully not as bad with prior events. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Get rid of that Kmart Meter friend.Hey i'm sure it was a blue light special at Kmart back in 1987 when he purchased it...they built quality s**t back then! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 PDX up to 38. DP down to 28 though. Hopefully that spike isn't thanks to downsloping. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Some flakes are mixing in here now. 37F 33 dp. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Pretty weak deformation signature so far. Should fill in soon. If not by 6-7pm I'd start to be concerned. Watching the radar loop... I think its in the early stage of development now. Seems to be coming together as it pivots. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 I am getting mad at all of the warm reports from Puyallup john. Private message me your address john so i can mail you a good one. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Watching the radar loop... I think its in the early stage of development now. Seems to be coming together as it pivots. I agree. We're basically in no man's land right now between the deformation and the baroclinic leaf. Very east coast-ish. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 I'm bored with this weather...lets hurry up and get the AR in here and get this pattern reset!Watch out, Timmy will ask you if you're mad! "U mad bro?"... something my cousin in middle school says all the time 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Final Forecast PDX metro: 2-4" Salem area: 1-3" Albany: T-1" Above 1000' 3-6" Clark County: T-2" Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 70mph gust near Bellingham.Was in town just a little while ago, winds were quite impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 One thing is for sure, the basin is gonna have a lot of snow cover. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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