January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[HighlandExperience]

It is raining really hard right now. How interesting/disappointing. I'm missing out on some really heavy snow.

 

 

 

Why would it go from sleet to snow to rain? Aren't the upper levels cooling down tonight?

Where you live?

[Deweydog]

It is raining really hard right now. How interesting/disappointing. I'm missing out on some really heavy snow.

 

 

 

Why would it go from sleet to snow to rain? Aren't the upper levels cooling down tonight?

I'm guessing some of the initial snow was associated with the immediate wet bulb with the dry layer that moved in just ahead of the first big push. Pretty complicated setup. Seems to have a convective element to it.

[epiceast]

Memba' when we used to get stoked when other PNW members got snow even if it wasn't IMBY? I Memba! So Seattle members please don't play debbie downer for PDX snow, you might get the favor returned later this winter or some other time.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Memba' when we used to get stoked when other PNW members got snow even if it wasn't IMBY? I Memba! So Seattle members please don't play debbie downer for PDX snow, you might get the favor returned later this winter or some other time.

I'm rooting hard for puyallup!

[epiceast]

I'm rooting hard for puyallup!

Me too, as always!

[Deweydog]

I see the NWS left us out of the WSW. Nicely done.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow 33 at SLE...with rain!

[MikeInEverett]

Memba' when we used to get stoked when other PNW members got snow even if it wasn't IMBY? I Memba! So Seattle members please don't play debbie downer for PDX snow, you might get the favor returned later this winter or some other time.

It's becoming hard to be happy for that when PDX has beaten Seattle in terms of snow so much over the last 4-5 years.

[FroYoBro]

Wow 33 at SLE...with rain!

Yep. 33 with heavy rain here. My trace of snow has melted. 

[Jesse]

Seems that dry slotting isn't a big issue here yet. Winds aren't super crazy, and we had some of the biggest snowflakes and heaviest snow I have seen this winter so far, aside from the snow band on Sunday morning, just a little bit ago.

 

Have a solid 1/4" on the ground now. That huge area of precip moving up this way should be interesting.

[HighlandExperience]

It's becoming hard to be happy for that when PDX has beaten Seattle in terms of snow so much over the last 4-5 years.

I'm not sure Seattle is capable of snow.

[Kayla]

It is raining really hard right now. How interesting/disappointing. I'm missing out on some really heavy snow. 

 

 

 

Why would it go from sleet to snow to rain? Aren't the upper levels cooling down tonight? 

 

You'll switch back shortly, upper levels are continuing to drop. Remember you were not even supposed to be see anything until 7-9pm. 

[Goducks09]

Yep. 33 with heavy rain here. My trace of snow has melted. 

 

 

Still ahead of schedule no matter how you slice it.  You'll get plenty overnight.

[Deweydog]

Seems that dry slotting isn't a big issue here yet. Winds aren't super crazy, and we had some of the biggest snowflakes and heaviest snow I have seen this winter so far, aside from the snow band on Sunday morning, just a little bit ago.

 

Have a solid 1/4" on the ground now. That huge area of precip moving up this way should be interesting.

Yeah, it's pretty interesting. Very convective nature to it so far.

[Jesse]

I'm guessing some of the initial snow was associated with the immediate wet bulb with the dry layer that moved in just ahead of the first big push. Pretty complicated setup. Seems to have a convective element to it.

We had a very brief period of sleet here earlier. Definitely some interesting upper level dynamics with this one.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Horse creek at 3300' is 34 degrees now, 33 here with a mix.

[FroYoBro]

You'll switch back shortly, upper levels are continuing to drop. Remember you were not even supposed to be see anything until 7-9pm. 

 

Oh, I'm sure it will eventually be snow here. I'm just bummed that I am missing this epic band of snow right now.

 

It seems I'm only a couple of miles from snow in Beaverton. Weather is crazy yo. 

[Jesse]

Gotcha. My old roommate lives off NE 74th St in Vancouver. I don't know the area at all honestly, and he asked me how much I think he'll get. No idea what to tell him lol. Best of luck down there!

Thank you. NE 74th sound like the heights area maybe? I imagine they will do well, probably even a little better than here. A conservative 2-4".

[Blizzard777]

Anyone up near the Longview area? How is it going there. Seems like the roads are remaining clear PDX area.

[Jesse]

We just drove through that intersection like 25 minutes ago.

Same here. Seems like we keep crossing paths lately. Two ships in the night.

[Deweydog]

Same here. Seems like we keep crossing paths lately. Two ships in the night.

My son was desperate for a trip to Game Stop. Worked out well because it started snowing while we were in there.

[Front Ranger]

I'm guessing some of the initial snow was associated with the immediate wet bulb with the dry layer that moved in just ahead of the first big push. Pretty complicated setup. Seems to have a convective element to it.

 

Yeah, this is going to be a very fascinating storm to watch unfold.

 

Some surprising juice thus far, and slight wobbles in temps and track of the low over the next 12 hours will make a big difference for many.

[Jesse]

Just started dumping here.

[James Jones]

Oh, I'm sure it will eventually be snow here. I'm just bummed that I am missing this epic band of snow right now.

 

It seems I'm only a couple of miles from snow in Beaverton. Weather is crazy yo. 

 

I just switched over from rain to snow in the last couple minutes here in West Linn, I would guess you're about to change over as well.

[Deweydog]

Yeah, this is going to be a very fascinating storm to watch unfold.

 

Some surprising juice thus far, and slight wobbles in temps and track of the low over the next 12 hours will make a big difference for many.

Very east coast feel to it at the moment.

[Front Ranger]

Is that really .20" for Puyallup?  I've seen frost thicker than that.

 

Bullish. More than you're expecting/predicting. I'm crazy like that.

[Jesse]

My son was desperate for a trip to Game Stop. Worked out well because it started snowing while we were in there.

I was picking up lotion for the fiancée at Walgreens on the way home from work. All the cold dry air this winter has been tough on the skin.

[Front Ranger]

It's becoming hard to be happy for that when PDX has beaten Seattle in terms of snow so much over the last 4-5 years.

 

Not really. Just 2013-14 before this winter.

[FroYoBro]

I just switched over from rain to snow in the last couple minutes here in West Linn, I would guess you're about to change over as well.

 

Cool. Thanks for the info!

 

It currently sounds like a summer thunderstorm out there. 

[TT-SEA]

Did an ODOT cam tour... traffic flowing nicely it seems.   No panic in streets and people abandoning cars yet.    I expected to see people running down the freeway lanes with their hands in the air.  

[Blizzard777]

Clackamas county getting hammered!

[FroYoBro]

Clackamas county getting hammered!

 

This is a top 10 post of all time.

[Blizzard777]

Brother down there just informed me news is now on live storm coverage.

 

Also winter storm warning now posted for you guys.....sweeeet

[epiceast]

This is a top 10 post of all time.

Definitely, upside down image adds a signature to it.

[Front Ranger]

Virga intensifying south of Puyallup.

 

Don't say I didn't warn you...

[Perturbed Member]

That's the way to do it PDX NWS. Wait until it starts snowing for the WSW. 

 

They going for 2-6 inches now. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Virga intensifying south of Puyallup.

 

Don't say I didn't warn you...

Yeah It is just marching along, kinda surprised and it's hard not to think that when the low gets closer and south it wont send moisture even further north.

[Goducks09]

Absolutely dumping in Downtown!

[The Swamp]

Virga intensifying south of Puyallup.

 

Don't say I didn't warn you...

I see that. I still think the moisture will back to the south if here.

[BLI snowman]

Thundersnow maybe?