MossMan Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Snowing and 34 now. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 EURO not really on board. Yea Euro is definitely rain on MY parade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Snowing and 34 now.Sticking yet? Picked up about 1/4" here with flurries. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Sticking yet? Picked up about 1/4" here with flurries. Still a whole lot of nothing in Victoria. The nearly westerly flow right now isn't even a strong shadowing direction but none of these showers have any staying power once they hit the VI landmass. Could also be that there's some sort of divergence going on where the Strait opens up and that's tearing the showers apart. This certainly isn't the first time I've noticed it. I'm starting to think our best shot for snow may once again fall on the Monday in the form of some sort of cold secondary low. It sure seems to have happened a lot this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 33F and snowing here under the convergence zone. Temp is dropping like a rock. 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Just a few snowflakes in the air (Burlington). Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Still a whole lot of nothing in Victoria. The nearly westerly flow right now isn't even a strong shadowing direction but none of these showers have any staying power once they hit the VI landmass. Could also be that there's some sort of divergence going on where the Strait opens up and that's tearing the showers apart. This certainly isn't the first time I've noticed it. I'm starting to think our best shot for snow may once again fall on the Monday in the form of some sort of cold secondary low. It sure seems to have happened a lot this year.I like the chances for at least an inch or 2 up here on Sunday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 I like the chances for at least an inch or 2 up here on Sunday morning. The advertised deformation zone that's been showing up in the GFS and now in some of the mesoscale models early Sunday morning is pretty promising. But based on how things things have gone with these in the past I'd still say it has a high bust potential for Victoria; your location will do better with terrain enhancement and being a bit further north. It is looking better than the one last Sunday morning so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 I'd hate to bet against the euro but one model is going to be dead wrong up here in the next 48 hours, euro shows about 2", hires wrf shows over 12" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Really curious how much snow South Lake Whatcom area has... and Wickersham. Steady snow for the past 3 hours per radar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl Bonner Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Wow. GFS has plenty of cold onshore flow headed our way for the next 10 days or so. This could bury the foothills in areas around 1600 feet. I'm considering removing the fork. My yard and lawn are still completely dormant. Nothing growing at all. I haven't seen that for years this late in the year. Hey everyone - I'd like to see some yard/lawn/tree photos from west of the Cascades, to judge how far delayed this spring season is gonna be. (How do you upload photos from your computer?) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 I'd hate to bet against the euro but one model is going to be dead wrong up here in the next 48 hours, euro shows about 2", hires wrf shows over 12" WRF is completely out to lunch. It was showing 2-4" here today by 4pm, no way. There wont be accumulating snow here before this evening. The airmass isn't even cold enough for snow here until about 8-9am this morning. WRF is showing 16-20" here by the time this is over. Probably won't get over half that. 6-8" is most likely. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Hey everyone - I'd like to see some yard/lawn/tree photos from west of the Cascades, to judge how far delayed this spring season is gonna be. (How do you upload photos from your computer?) I will upload a pick of my daffodil progress later. Sn/sleet mix and 33. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 29F with flurries. About 1/2" overnight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Hey everyone - I'd like to see some yard/lawn/tree photos from west of the Cascades, to judge how far delayed this spring season is gonna be. (How do you upload photos from your computer?)Just gently turn your computer upside down and shake it softly, loosening up desired contents and dumping them into this website. Make sure this site is directly underneath you computer when you do this, preferably set up on a table or something, or else the pictures might get all over the floor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 WRF is completely out to lunch. It was showing 2-4" here today by 4pm, no way. There wont be accumulating snow here before this evening. The airmass isn't even cold enough for snow here until about 8-9am this morning. WRF is showing 16-20" here by the time this is over. Probably won't get over half that. 6-8" is most likely.I just woke up to a light dusting... wasn't expecting anything until tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Sticking yet? Picked up about 1/4" here with flurries.Never ended up sticking other than a slight slush coating on my deck. Now it's just cloudy and 35. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Taking a stroll around Facebook this morning it appears we have snow on on the ground on Camano Island, around Mt Vernon, and around the town of Snohomish. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 I just woke up to a light dusting... wasn't expecting anything until tonight. The 528 thickness line made it through your area probably around 4-5am. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Sunday night/Monday morning still looking good for snow to the surface. GFS and RPM are on board at least. http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/RPM_72_SNOW_12z.jpg Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 What the GFS continues to advertise would be historic for the 2nd week of March. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Sun is now shining through the clouds, feels good on my face. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 My mind is blown! The GFS continues to advertise the second (and deeper) wave of cold weather late next week. Many locations were up there with the coldest Dec - Feb since 1968-69 and now we could be on course for a very cold March. It's just like somebody flipped the switch from warm to cold on December 1. The only period that really compares for such drastic shifts with such little notice is the 1930s. Really exciting stuff! The remainder of this decade has potential for greatness IMO. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Woke up to 3" new, although temp is rising fast. Up to 37° and snowing currently 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 What the GFS continues to advertise would be historic for the 2nd week of March. Really incredible. Very rare company if it happens. 1867, 1870, 1897. No doubt we have entered a regime we haven't seen for a very long time. Even the mean position and shape of the mid winter blocking was just different. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Woke up to 3" new, although temp is rising fast. Up to 37° and snowing currently Wow! I figured your early bad luck was just a fluke. I sure hope we can score down here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Wow! I figured your early bad luck was just a fluke. I sure hope we can score down here.Seen quite a few overnight snowfalls lately in the 2-4" range, but it's gone by days end unfortunately Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Woke up to 3" new, although temp is rising fast. Up to 37° and snowing currentlyNice! Ended up with just over 1" here. Seems like your location is starting to perform a little more to your liking. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 My mind is blown! The GFS continues to advertise the second (and deeper) wave of cold weather late next week. Many locations were up there with the coldest Dec - Feb since 1968-69 and now we could be on course for a very cold March. It's just like somebody flipped the switch from warm to cold on December 1. The only period that really compares for such drastic shifts with such little notice is the 1930s. Really exciting stuff! The remainder of this decade has potential for greatness IMO. As much as I'd love to see the pattern progression of the GFS, it has, and continues to have zero agreement amongst the other models. Until the Euro/GEM gets on board I'm afraid this is all just dreams. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Wow! I figured your early bad luck was just a fluke. I sure hope we can score down here. Hope we can get one more decent snowfall down here. Would really make this winter special. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 As much as I'd love to see the pattern progression of the GFS, it has, and continues to have zero agreement amongst the other models. Until the Euro/GEM gets on board I'm afraid this is all just dreams. Hard to ignore the ensemble agreement. If it wasn't for that I would quite skeptical. The WeatherBell snowfall show a ridiculous 12 to 14 inches of snow for King County over the next 10 days. We certainly have a decent shot at one of the all time snowiest Feb - Mar on record form many areas. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 As much as I'd love to see the pattern progression of the GFS, it has, and continues to have zero agreement amongst the other models. Until the Euro/GEM gets on board I'm afraid this is all just dreams. This is true. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Hope we can get one more decent snowfall down here. Would really make this winter special. At this point we have multiple chance in the believable range. I would be amazed if we ended up with none. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Hard to ignore the ensemble agreement. If it wasn't for that I would quite skeptical. The WeatherBell snowfall show a ridiculous 12 to 14 inches of snow for King County over the next 10 days. We certainly have a decent shot at one of the all time snowiest Feb - Mar on record form many areas. Yet the Euro shows 2-4" over the next 10 days with good ensemble support. Long ways to go to get to the GFS level of greatness. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 The WRF shows the coast getting slammed this weekend. Really impressive. Looks like good snow threats for the Central Puget Sound late tonight and late tomorrow night. Right now my money is on very early Monday morning. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 The WRF gives Portland some pretty good snow Sunday night/Monday morning. That time period looks like our best shot for lowland snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Hard to ignore the ensemble agreement. If it wasn't for that I would quite skeptical. The WeatherBell snowfall show a ridiculous 12 to 14 inches of snow for King County over the next 10 days. We certainly have a decent shot at one of the all time snowiest Feb - Mar on record form many areas. You mind posting the wxbell map? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 Looking at the 700mb and 850mb level winds over the next 48 hours King County won't have to worry about being blocked by the Olympics. Good news! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 4, 2017 Report Share Posted March 4, 2017 As much as I'd love to see the pattern progression of the GFS, it has, and continues to have zero agreement amongst the other models. Until the Euro/GEM gets on board I'm afraid this is all just dreams.Yup, right now the GFS is on its own with a semi- historic pattern. Would be nice for the other models to jump on board. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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