Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Everyone in on the fun! 6 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 55 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: The ICON usually does really good on precip type up this way. I certainly trust it more than the Goofus. As things stand, I expect rain IMBY this weekend. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Doinko said: Just your average 15"+ snowstorm for the Willamette Valley Just wait for the north trend... 1 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Conflicting reports! And you forgot to charge your phone last night. If that were Celsius it would read “0” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 If we get cold and dry, which is what it looks like, then snow, it is going to stick so well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Clown range GFS eye candy. -10 degrees in Salem after a 18" snowstorm 2 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Doinko said: Clown range GFS eye candy. -10 degrees in Salem after a 15" snowstorm MBG 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Clown range GFS eye candy. -10 degrees in Salem after a 18" snowstorm Lock it in right?? lmao 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 14 minutes ago, Doinko said: Just your average 15"+ snowstorm for the Willamette Valley Nothing is off the table this year. Be awesome to see. 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 55 minutes ago, joelgombiner said: Tough year for photosynthesis, with a late onset to warm spring temperatures, and a dry summer and early fall. I suspect trees hung on to their leaves longer than normal in an attempt to achieve their energy quotas for the year. Fascinating stuff which led me to this as I was getting a little info on trees Do trees poop? Yes, in their own way Plants give it off through stomata – little tiny pores – and through root cells. And they give off extra water from respiration or guttation, secreting little drops of moisture on the tips of leaves. Some plants store waste in leaves that will fall off with the seasons and some exude saps and resins and the like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Nothing is off the table this year. Be awesome to see. DONT LOOK AT IT!! 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 12z sez january cums early! 1 3 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 unreal 12z. Enter the freezer big time. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, Snownerd3000 said: unreal 12z. Enter the freezer big time. Finally seeing something to match the ensembles, expecting a killer EPS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Count the 12Z GEM in as well for snow around Hood Canal and on Vancouver Island on Saturday... 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 hours ago, TacomaWx said: It was a pretty solid 8 day run…but hopefully during the next round of winter weather we can manage some sub freezing highs. This event wasn’t particularly cold or in the top tier especially considering some events we’ve had in recent years…but still pretty solid. 11/28-40/35 11/29-40/31 0.7” 11/30-41/29 1.2” 12/1-34/25 0.8” 12/2-38/24 1.2” 12/3-44/33 0.2” 12/4-39/33 1.1” 12/5-39/34 It's pretty amazing how different it can feel based on location. If this is it for the winter (not likely, but still) it will go down as the most forgettable and second or third worst winter for snowfall up here this century. The lack of snowfall, cold temperatures, and subfreezing highs would make it comparable with some of the worst Niño winters. Up here you tend to know it's a bad winter if we fail to hit the teens and my lowest temperature so far is 21F. Meanwhile, SEA has more snowfall already than 11 of the 18 winters since '04-05 and its 37F minimum high temperature is comparable to many winters in the last couple decades. So the winter could end today in the Central/South Sound and from a stats prospective it probably wouldn't look too bad. I know it's only early December and we still have loads of time (and things look promising), but I'm really hoping we get multiple more opportunities (and based even on climo we should). 5 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 12Z GEFS shows sprawling high pressure across all of Canada and Alaska late next week... just a crazy pattern. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Once you pop the fun dont stop 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 (edited) 10 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said: From my cousin in Anchorage this morning…. Edited December 7, 2022 by Brennan 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: It's pretty amazing how different it can feel based on location. If this is it for the winter (not likely, but still) it will go down as the most forgettable and second or third worst winter for snowfall up here this century. The lack of snowfall, cold temperatures, and subfreezing highs would make it comparable with some of the worst Niño winters. Up here you tend to know it's a bad winter if we fail to hit the teens and my lowest temperature so far is 21F. Meanwhile, SEA has more snowfall already than 11 of the 18 winters since '04-05 and its 37F minimum high temperature is comparable to many winters in the last couple decades. So the winter could end today in the Central/South Sound and from a stats prospective it probably wouldn't look too bad. I know it's only early December and we still have loads of time (and things look promising), but I'm really hoping we get multiple more opportunities (and based even on climo we should). As I have written before: The weather that happens in your own backyard is always the most important weather. 3 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Once you pop the fun dont stop Will actually be better than shown for DEC, weeklies didn't show this cold pattern last run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 28 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I certainly trust it more than the Goofus. As things stand, I expect rain IMBY this weekend. Yep. Unless there’s some fresh cold air from the interior, even what the gfs is showing would typically be mostly rain for most of the lower elevations. East island can cash in on these setups with some cold air damming and higher precip rates. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: As I have written before: The weather that happens in your own backyard is always the most important weather. Yeah people get mad at me when I mention that I care most about what is falling outside my window, and even though I really like 99.9% of the forum members from any of the western states but when it comes down to it…I want the goods! A regional dump would be amazing where every single forum member gets nailed, but that is so rare that I have to root for either a northward or southward trend so my area is in the sweet spot. Guess that makes me selfish…What can I say…I am not far off from a Jim like snow obsession! 7 3 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Looks almost like last friday. 3 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z GEFS shows sprawling high pressure across all of Canada and Alaska late next week... just a crazy pattern. I think something similar happened in 2005. Cant be sure though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, MossMan said: Yeah people get mad at me when I mention that I care most about what is falling outside my window, and even though I really like 99.9% of the forum members from any of the western states but when it comes down to it…I want the goods! A regional dump would be amazing where every single forum member gets nailed, but that is so rare that I have to root for either a northward or southward trend so my area is in the sweet spot. Guess that makes me selfish…What can I say…I am not far off from a Jim like snow obsession! It’s been a case of bad luck for Whatcom and Skagit counties so far this season. There was a storm that favoured cold air damming and upsloping against the North Shore Mountains (basically Vancouver’s own version of the Hood Canal effect, though it takes winds from a different direction to achieve it) and that is when I scored. Then came a bunch of south-based events. Whatcom and Skagit unfortunately ended up in the screw zone for them all. I don’t expect that pattern to hold for the rest of the winter. Odds are there will be storms that favour more northerly regions in general, as is typical. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Looks almost like last friday. Looks like a dot of blue right over the family lake house…Might need to run out there as my house is in the white. 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Better and better Ensemble runs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 22 minutes ago, Brennan said: From my cousin in Anchorage this morning…. Pics from the PNW soon enough 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: I think something similar happened in 2005. Cant be sure though. This was the 2005 pattern at its most favorable, right before it committed suicide. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: It’s been a case of bad luck for Whatcom and Skagit counties so far this season. There was a storm that favoured cold air damming and upsloping against the North Shore Mountains (basically Vancouver’s own version of the Hood Canal effect, though it takes winds from a different direction to achieve it) and that is when I scored. Then came a bunch of south-based events. Whatcom and Skagit unfortunately ended up in the screw zone for them all. I don’t expect that pattern to hold for the rest of the winter. Odds are there will be storms that favour more northerly regions in general, as is typical. Generally in a Niña, the northern areas will eventually catch up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Sun is coming out through a broken and thin cloud deck... definitely the nicest day of the week here. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Good god. 3 3 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Generally in a Niña, the northern areas will eventually catch up Was 2016/17 a Nina? 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: Good god. A high of 20 just 2 days before Christmas 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, MossMan said: Was 2016/17 a Nina? Yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Ensemble improvement after ensemble improvement. Plenty of reason to be excited about upcoming cold. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Dewpoints right before precipitation results in little to no cooling on the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 It’s coming!!!! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Woah! What's this? Definitely some model confusion on temps. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts