PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[RentonHill]

Anyone giving odds??

 

[TT-SEA]

Looks crashy!  

[Nov1985]

On the bright side, weather .com has been locked into cool from around Dec 16/17 for almost a week now. 

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks crashy!  

It does. I know nothing....but D**n if you cant just envision our block setting up perfect for this. it wont happen this run but still! its what keeps us here. 

[LowerGarfield]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

It does. I know nothing....but D**n if you cant just envision our block setting up perfect for this. it wont happen this run but still! its what keeps us here. 

Intrigue to be sure.

Is your little one any better today?

[RentonHill]

Hr 129 vs 12z 

[Nov1985]

ECMWF Friday morning. 850T, past 4 runs.

[Kolk1604]

This is a good thing right? Check out how far north this extends 

[RentonHill]

Just now, LowerGarfield said:

Intrigue to be sure.

Is your little one any better today?

I think she finally turned corner last night. BUT her ear is still infected even after full round of antibiotics, and she has an ungodly amount of teeth coming in at the same time (including a molar which is early and probably painful), and her gut still hasnt recovered from the antibiotics totally wiping it out. So she swings from absolutely miserable to normal depending on how much ibuprofen or tylenol we've pumped into her. But dang if it she still isnt a princess and 100000x more enjoyable than my demon 4yo boy. Thanks for asking. 

[RentonHill]

Day 6

[RentonHill]

I need a longtimer to confirm this looks good. that isnt tim sorry

 

[Nov1985]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

This is a good thing right? Check out how far north this extends 

Looks kinda like the pumpkin I tried to carve with a dull knife back in October.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

I need a longtimer to confirm this looks good. that isnt tim sorry

 

Looks great for Indy.

[RentonHill]

[Nov1985]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Looks great for Indy.

Next weekend going to be epic in Nova Scotia, eh.

[Terreboner]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Looks great for Indy.

You guys act like that is what is really going to happen.  It will change 10 times before then.

[BLI snowman]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

I need a longtimer to confirm this looks good. that isnt tim sorry

 

Backdoor may be open a little later, but likely a bit too far east on this run.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

I need a longtimer to confirm this looks good. that isnt tim sorry

 

Dude... that is a majestic block.    Its a great sign.

[RentonHill]

That base just evaporates into thin air and our block starts to lift again. Day 7. poop

[Nov1985]

1 minute ago, Terreboner said:

You guys act like that is what is really going to happen.  It will change 10 times before then.

I don't come here to be rational. I come here to get my pepto fix.

[TT-SEA]

This run is wildly different than the 12Z run.   

[Kolk1604]

Block extends north and cold air begins working it's way west 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

30 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This also seems like a situation where a big event could show up within 5 days with no warning.    

Agree with this 1000%.

[TT-SEA]

Getting very close by Sunday morning... need block to hold longer. 

 

[RentonHill]

Day 8 

[Nov1985]

This

 

[Kolk1604]

Ridge Bridge? 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

7 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Block extends north and cold air begins working it's way west 

Wow. Won't be long now. 

[RentonHill]

Day 9. Double turd

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Day 8 

Gorgeous.  When this sucker gets in the sweet spot we're going to see some model runs like we've never seen before.  

[TT-SEA]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

Day 9. Double turd

That 500mb map is so close to going full zonal.   Usually that is the default... but I don't believe it this year.   

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

Just 10 days outᵗᵐ

[TT-SEA]

Also remember this run was vastly different than the 12Z run.    As long as that block is in play... the next run could easily deliver the mother load.  

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Just 10 days outᵗᵐ

No, it's 5. The timeframe is the same 

[Nov1985]

Monday 12/19 past 3 runs

 

[Kolk1604]

00z EPS Day 1-3 

[RentonHill]

Day 10 (ignore)

[SnarkyGoblin]

And just like that, the Euro throws us a bone.

[Kolk1604]

Day 4 

[Kolk1604]

@SouthHillFrosty

Snow for us on this run lol