PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Way too much model flux and time out in the future for me to be excited about…but it’s always nice seeing it’s possible in the long range. Last week was really fun although it wasn’t a truly solid event like we’ve had several of in recent years. We did pull off a 34/25 day on 12/1 and several decent snow events with snow on the ground for a week. However I’d like to get a decent arctic outbreak with some sub freezing highs and some snow or a big snowstorm out of the next opportunity. 

The real bonus is it's going to be cold this coming week.  Then a decent chance of something more impressive for week two.  We are working on a cold month.

[Terreboner]

Finally into the 30's.  Dec 10th, 2022 snowstorm commencing soon!!!

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The real bonus is it's going to be cold this coming week.  Then a decent chance of something more impressive for week two.  We are working on a cold month.

This month is looking like it’ll be below normal at this point…but still 3 weeks left hard to say how much it’ll be by. Has been pretty chilly overall since late October. 

[Kolk1604]

Day 2 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Riding the ICON is a sign of weenie degeneracy. 

[Terreboner]

HRRR is showing upslope still going strong at noon tomorrow.  Someone is getting nailed.

[Kolk1604]

ICON is slow as poop 

Day 3 

 

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

ICON is slow as poop 

Day 3 

 

based on some of the Tidbits maps, its a step back from 18 but still better than 12. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

ICON is slow as poop 

Day 3 

 

It’s out to 144 hrs on tidbits 

[Phishy Wx]

who broke Pivotal?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, AlTahoe said:

I have had tons of concussions in my life and never noticed any long lasting effects outside of a couple of weeks. I have now had covid 3 times and wow my memory is garbage. Super noticeable and kind of alarming. That why did I walk into this room feeling? is happening enough to where I am concerned. I am 44 for reference. 

Oh, I’ve had a crap short-term memory my whole life and even as a child had the “why did I walk into this room?” feeling often. One advantage of it is I don’t have to worry so much about losing what I never had as I age.

[Kolk1604]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It’s out to 144 hrs on tidbits 

Makes sense. The ones you pay for are way behind 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

27 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The real bonus is it's going to be cold this coming week.  Then a decent chance of something more impressive for week two.  We are working on a cold month.

I will agree with the first part of that. Beyond then: “Here there be clown range.” It is an overall pattern fraught with possibility, that is all. Time will tell.

[RentonHill]

uh oh

[Phishy Wx]

Santa Cruz Mtns getting pounded with rain.  good for CA.  I use to live right up the road from this

 

 

[Cold Snap]

I have a feeling tonight is going to be very interesting and possibly very emotional.

[The Blob]

Hey sorry I've been MIA, probably haven't noticed. work has been crazy busy so I won't be on much till after Christmas. Please don't send a posy to my work, they won't let you in anyways.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Down to 37. We need a miracle to keep

our perfect December for freezes alive!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

uh oh

Devastating Trends again?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Oh, I’ve had a crap short-term memory my whole life and even as a child had the “why did I walk into this room?” feeling often. One advantage of it is I don’t have to worry so much about losing what I never had as I age.

I used to have an amazing memory. Then I had 5 kids, a wife, an ex wife, a job, etc… and that is gone. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, The Blob said:

Hey sorry I've been MIA, probably haven't noticed. work has been crazy busy so I won't be on much till after Christmas. Please don't send a posy to my work, they won't let you in anyways.

We miss you BLOB!

[RentonHill]

[Terreboner]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We miss you BLOB!

It's Blaub not Blob.  I know, it's a descriptive term!!!

[TT-SEA]

So much for that first system. 

[Terreboner]

6 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

It's Blaub not Blob.  I know, it's a descriptive term!!!

Name the TV show. 

[BLI snowman]

14 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Hey sorry I've been MIA, probably haven't noticed. work has been crazy busy so I won't be on much till after Christmas. Please don't send a posy to my work, they won't let you in anyways.

I have a feeling you'll find some time to come on the forum during the 11 degree blizzard that we're gonna get on the 23rd. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So much for that first system. 

You didn’t really need that snow anyhow.

[High Desert Mat?]

7 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

Name the TV show. 

It’s Salomon not Salmon!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I have a feeling you'll find some time to come on the forum during the 11 degree blizzard that we're gonna get on the 23rd. 

It seems a lot of regulars have moved to Montana without updating the locations in their profiles.

[Winterdog]

Looks like the GFS 0Z has gone bonkers.  Throw this one out.  It has to be a total outlier (I hope).

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not a lot of model agreement. 

[Timmy]

Just now, Winterdog said:

Looks like the GFS 0Z has gone bonkers.  Throw this one out.  It has to be a total outlier (I hope).

It will find a way, it always does.

[van city]

00z GEM 

[Timmy]

Gem has been consistent at this timeframe 

[Gradient Keeper]

The worst run in months from 500mb perspective. Well, that was fun. Huge east winds maybe damaging east of I-205, western Gorge due to very strong inversion and steep 850mb temp gradient +8c PDX, -7c The Dalles squashing east wind layer compressing it. High temps a few days near 32 PDX, colder east of I-205. Cold overnight temps.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

Looks like the GFS 0Z has gone bonkers.  Throw this one out.  It has to be a total outlier (I hope).

Bonkers as in boring as hell?

[LowerGarfield]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Speaking of Brian. He just posted this graphic about downsloping winds off the Blue Mtns today. 

Can confirm. Today was not cold and my six year old is down to underwear and says it's too warm lol.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

About as boring of run in winter you can get lol.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, LowerGarfield said:

Can confirm. Today was not cold and my six year old is down to underwear and says it's too warm lol.

I have to say it… 

winter cancel?!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Well the GEM is…

Different…