December Weather In the PNW

[snow_wizard]

OMG!  A white Christmas looking likely and a tremendous improvement in the long range.  The new GFS solutuion is backed up by the MJO forecasts which have been great the past couple of days.

[Geos]

NAM is really healthy for northern King County.

 

 

3km. Still some snow after this hour.

 

[snow_wizard]

?

 

Maybe I should have said GOA / Aleutians.  Whatever it looks excellent.  850mb temps are already quite cold at the end and the pattern is just starting to get good.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

If the GFS verifies the next week looks quite cold in spite of an unimpressive 500mb pattern.

 

The 0z GEM would give us a nice conclusion. The 0z GFS would bring slowly warming temperatures and greying skies then when the precipitation started it would start as rain.

 

[Blizzard777]

Holy s**t!  The longer range GFS looks fantastic.  Major blocking setting up over the GOA.  This is getting good now!

That’s it! I. I’m logging out with that news before someone depresses me conflicting models!

 

Snow Wizard, I always enjoy your optimism as the models unfold

 

Jim

[snow_wizard]

28!

 

No doubt there is going to be enough cold air to pull this off.  Dp's in the teens in the north interior.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Holy s**t! The longer range GFS looks fantastic. Major blocking setting up over the GOA. This is getting good now!

Doesn't look all that impressive here TBH

[snow_wizard]

That’s it! I. I’m logging out with that news before someone depresses me conflicting models!

 

Snow Wizard, I always enjoy your optimism as the models unfold

 

Jim

 

Somebody has to do it.  The pessimism on here has been inexplicable the past couple of days.

[Geos]

RGEM at hour 48

 

 

[umadbro]

Doesn't look all that impressive here TBH

Its not all about you.

[Deweydog]

Maybe I should have said GOA / Aleutians. Whatever it looks excellent. 850mb temps are already quite cold at the end and the pattern is just starting to get good.

Modest height rises at 384 hours being presented as breaking news seems very CNN-ish.

[snow_wizard]

Doesn't look all that impressive here TBH

 

It would be great for all of us as it unfolds.  At any rate I'm just excited about the trend toward another bunch of strong positive anoms setting up over the GOA again.

[snow_wizard]

Modest height rises at 384 hours being presented as breaking news seems very CNN-ish.

 

I think you are understating it.

[Geos]

This storm is going to impact a lot of local travelers no doubt going to Christmas Eve plans. Looks like by some models, that area especially up a couple 100 feet and over might be able to pull off higher than 10:1 ratios.

[Deweydog]

I think you are understating it.

384 hour 500mb maps can never be understated.

[Perturbed Member]

You beat me to it!  

 

Nice totals for King County for sure. 

 

It is definitely moving toward the ECMWF with the sharp cut off to the north... that was not on previous WRF runs but the ECMWF has been showing that since yesterday.  

 

 

Yeah, the position of the low is a clear step towards the ECMWF too. 

[TT-SEA]

I think you are understating it.

 

There is no understating 384 hours!

 

It always works out as shown.   Particularly when the 3-5 day has been swinging wildly with each run.   

[Frontal Snowsquall]

RGEM at hour 48

 

 

Interesting that it forms a smaller low from the main low.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Interesting that it forms a smaller low from the main low.

Its the parent lows child.

[ShawniganLake]

A boring 42 here.

You should Move!

[ShawniganLake]

There wasn't arctic air in SW BC in December 2013?!

It was kind of forgettable for most. No snow. I’d say January 2012 went arctic though. Abbotsford had a 16/5 day.

[The Swamp]

It would be great for all of us as it unfolds.  At any rate I'm just excited about the trend toward another bunch of strong positive anoms setting up over the GOA again.

 

I follow TT SEA posts.  He usually graces our presence with a dose of reality.

 

For every Snowgasm map you can post he posts a map that shows rain or the goods going north or the goods going south or it being SUNNY SUNNY SUNNY all day for Christmas.  yup yup

[Blizzard777]

My foot of snow is heading towards me!

Currently 35

 

Jim

[wxmet]

The fact that the models are showing snow over the Pugent Sound is a good indication of snow levels all the way down to the surface.

[WeatherMan101]

[Timmy]

To bad it won't got more North

two

[MossMan]

two

Notches

[WeatherMan101]

two

Honestly my sentence made no sense, I blame the whisky.

[Bryant]

Would like the Euro to trend north and give me some hope for Whatcom County... but I'm sure it will go south once again and I'll see more obnoxious GIFs from Mr. Change your name every month

[Perturbed Member]

 

 

 

Still doesn't look much like a snow sounding

 

[Timmy]

Would like the Euro to trend north and give me some hope for Whatcom County... but I'm sure it will go south once again and I'll see more obnoxious GIFs from Mr. Change your name every month

Would like the euro to trend more south.

[MossMan]

Would like the Euro to trend north and give me some hope for Whatcom County... but I'm sure it will go south once again and I'll see more obnoxious GIFs from Mr. Change your name every month

Haha! I leaked a little of my drink when I read this!

[Bryant]

Would like the euro to trend more south.

No Sherlock

[Deweydog]

Would like the Euro to trend north and give me some hope for Whatcom County... but I'm sure it will go south once again and I'll see more obnoxious GIFs from Mr. Change your name every month

No Sherlock.

[Blizzard777]

My snow shower dissipated....looks interesting down by Olympia now on the radar

[TT-SEA]

I follow TT SEA posts.  He usually graces our presence with a dose of reality.

 

For every Snowgasm map you can post he posts a map that shows rain or the goods going north or the goods going south or it being SUNNY SUNNY SUNNY all day for Christmas.  yup yup

 

I have posted endless snowfall maps.   Don't be stupid.   I have also posted a few cloud maps for Christmas because Matt has been cheering on a sunny Christmas for 2 weeks now.   He still has a shot!  

 

Sun on Christmas Day does not mean it did not snow 6 inches on the night before. 

[Blizzard777]

Showing snow shower and 33, Olympia

[Bryant]

No s**t Sherlock.

Thanks for being original!

[Timmy]

Temp up to 34! Wrf gave me 1-2” tonight fwiw. Doesn’t look like it will verify. Light rain.

[Perturbed Member]

Temp up to 34! Wrf gave me 1-2” tonight fwiw. Doesn’t look like it will verify. Light rain.

 

This is at 1500 ft?