VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 00z! Best run in hours! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 A couple pictures from one of the wineries in Ellensburg this afternoon... the contrast in dormancy over there is striking but the weather was gorgeous and warm. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Woah mama..850s approach -50C @ 132hrs over Quebec, with surface temperatures close to -70*F over Greenland. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Woah mama..850s approach -50C @ 132hrs over Quebec, with surface temperatures close to -70*F over Greenland. Brrr...for them. 46 degree drizzle for us! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Woah mama..850s approach -50C @ 132hrs over Quebec, with surface temperatures close to -70*F over Greenland. What’s the big deal? That’s not on our side of the globe. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Moderate rain since about 2pm...we are slowly drowning up here. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 What’s the big deal? That’s not on our side of the globe.Neither is phil 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 What’s the big deal? That’s not on our side of the globe.Weather happens everywhere. And perhaps most importantly, the weather that happens elsewhere can affect the weather in your backyard. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The 00Z GFS shows dry weather starting on Friday for about 8 or 9 days. Believe it when I see it. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The gem is pretty darn cold at day 5. Worlds different than the gfs. And looks really decent at day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The manifesting tracers suggest the NAM (AO) will tank during the third week of February, following the SSW. I feel bad for the models right now. Going to be a brutal stretch for them. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Enjoying this early warmth. Outdoor batting cages followed by fishing. Its spring time fellas and the 00z gfs agrees. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Woah mama..850s approach -50C @ 132hrs over Quebec, with surface temperatures close to -70*F over Greenland. Yikes, would that be an all time record low temperature for them? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Not weather related, it felt like a shockwave hit the house this evening; looks like it was a relatively shallow 3.2 quake just to the NE of here in the Gulf Islands. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 A nippy 52 here this morning... woke up to rain pounding on the roof. 42 at the pass now with heavy rain. There was lots of ponding on the road up there last night. We also saw many roaring waterfalls of melting snow when we came through earlier in the daylight. That is common in April and May up there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 A couple pictures from one of the wineries in Ellensburg this afternoon... the contrast in dormancy over there is striking but the weather was gorgeous and warm. Bleh. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Bleh.Yeah... looks like the front range of Colorado in many ways. I prefer the landscape on this side but like being able to get to reliable sunshine quickly over there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The manifesting tracers suggest the NAM (AO) will tank during the third week of February, following the SSW.I feel bad for the models right now. Going to be a brutal stretch for them. this has been a brutal winter for the models as a whole not a good fall winter period by them by any stretch of the imagination that for sure.but if this ssw does varfi it maybe good in the longer term we need some sort of shake up in what has been a persistent regem since 2012 it like watching groundhogs day on a mean map lol for the past 6 years or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The precip has moved just to the north of me finally! Think I might pull the jetski out and have some fun in my driveway... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Yeah... looks like the front range of Colorado in many ways. I prefer the landscape on this side but like being able to get to reliable sunshine quickly over there. Was just about to say the same thing. Much of eastern WA reminds me of Colorado. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Nevermind...it’s dumping again. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Nevermind...it’s dumping again. Yeah... these warm fronts are interesting. When the radar shows strong returns over me then visibility is improved and the wind is light but when it looks like the rain has moved out then it immediately turns into heavy, wind swept mist with very low visibility. Take your pick... but the precip never stops here. The Tiger Mountain traffic cam shows this well... there is nothing on the radar over this area right now. This is the wind swept, heavy mist phase... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Yeah... looks like the front range of Colorado in many ways. I prefer the landscape on this side but like being able to get to reliable sunshine quickly over there.I dont like that area for 2 reasons. To windy and not many trees. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 I dont like that area for 2 reasons. To windy and not many trees. I agree on the wind... it seems like its always windy there. It was quite windy yesterday right in town but it was basically calm south of town on our hike. I think the wind is funneled right down I-90 like it does in offshore flow situations in North Bend... but if you get out of the funnel then its much more calm and the sunny weather is more enjoyable. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 What’s the big deal? That’s not on our side of the globe.1950! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 12z gfs has turned markedly colder in 5 days and way colder with deep deep wraparound trough out 12 days. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/npac/850_temp_mslp_precip/gfs_npac_372_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 the 06z showed positive 850mb temps now negative 3 . A nice improvement closer to GEM> http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/npac/850_temp_mslp_precip/gfs_npac_129_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The ECMWF shows basically the same pattern even 10 days out... major cold over the center of Canada while leaving us caught between the ridge to the south and the cold to the northeast in a perpetual warm front pattern. Totally crap. This pattern has been so hard to break. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The ECMWF shows basically the same pattern even 10 days out... major cold over the center of Canada while leaving us caught between the ridge to the south and the cold to the northeast in a perpetual warm front pattern. Totally crap. This pattern has been so hard to break. Seems to have been the theme of the past year. Persistent patterns that won't change. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Seems to have been the theme of the past year. Persistent patterns that won't change. I know I will be accused of looking past some sort of improvement at 5 days... but its minor and really just provides a day or two break in the rain (if it even happens). The real surprising thing to me is that this same ugly pattern pops right back up again and it seems almost inevitable based on how things have gone over the last month. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The ECMWF shows basically the same pattern even 10 days out... major cold over the center of Canada while leaving us caught between the ridge to the south and the cold to the northeast in a perpetual warm front pattern. Totally crap. This pattern has been so hard to break. I think the SSW will kill it off during the final 10 days of February. It’s common to get a tightening of the bottom half of the TPV before it self-destructs. Globally, the storm track starts shifting equatorward during the third week of the month (on all guidance), with a retraction of the Hadley Cell networks starting around February 20th. While it will depend on the exact evolution of the SSW/tropics, this could actually be a bigger system wide shake up than 2013 was, based on the early evidence. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Yeah... looks like the front range of Colorado in many ways. I prefer the landscape on this side but like being able to get to reliable sunshine quickly over there.More trees around here. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 More trees around here.Same general brown landscape though... and there areas around there with more trees. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 1950!Still paying for it! 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Same general brown landscape though... and there areas around there with more trees.It is very brown around here during the fall/winter (when there is no snow). That's part of why spring is my favorite season here... everything finally turns green and the weather is the most active. But with the Rockies basically right in our backyard and significantly more trees, I wouldn't say the landscape of the Front Range is all that similar to much of eastern WA. We go basically straight from the flatness of the Great plains to the mountains, not much I'm the way of rolling hills like you see around Ellensburg, etc. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Well at least the dogs don’t really care that we are slowly drowning. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Yeah... these warm fronts are interesting. When the radar shows strong returns over me then visibility is improved and the wind is light but when it looks like the rain has moved out then it immediately turns into heavy, wind swept mist with very low visibility. Take your pick... but the precip never stops here. The Tiger Mountain traffic cam shows this well... there is nothing on the radar over this area right now. This is the wind swept, heavy mist phase... Looks like a more defined front is pushing through now. I bet the afternoon will be better most places. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 It is very brown around here during the fall/winter (when there is no snow). That's part of why spring is my favorite season here... everything finally turns green and the weather is the most active. But with the Rockies basically right in our backyard and significantly more trees, I wouldn't say the landscape of the Front Range is all that similar to much of eastern WA. We go basically straight from the flatness of the Great plains to the mountains, not much I'm the way of rolling hills like you see around Ellensburg, etc.The northern half of eastern wa reminds me most of Colorado Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The northern half of eastern wa reminds me most of ColoradoWhat part of Colorado? The eastern part of Colorado is completely flat and basically treeless... there is a small transition zone near the foothills and then its instantly the Rocky Mountains. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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