Deweydog Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 The 12Z GFS is warm and ridgy after our little excursion troughville next weekend.We'll be due... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 We'll be due... Its a MJJ summer. August will be very wet. Take to the bank! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Its a MJJ summer. August will be very wet. Take to the bank!...and cold. Creating a certain kind of box... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 ...and cold. Creating a certain kind of box...I would be willing to bet you a crisp Andrew Jackson that August doesn’t end up cold. At PDX or regionally. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 I would be willing to bet you a crisp Andrew Jackson that August doesn’t end up cold. At PDX or regionally.I will take that bet on wet! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Nice thing about troughing to the north and west is that it keeps the marine layer from locking down. This week looks quite sunny and pleasant. Troughing to the south and east tends be very cloudy in May and June. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Nice thing about troughing to the north and west is that it keeps the marine layer from locking down. This week looks quite sunny and pleasant. Troughing to the south and east tends be very cloudy in May and June.Actual long wave troughy patterns definitely tend to be cloudier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Actual long wave troughy patterns definitely tend to be cloudier. Also having a ULL slowly meander from California to Montana... locks in the marine layer away from the water. Nothing like that shown this week on the ECMWF surface maps. Every day this work week is quite sunny. Highs are still around 80 on Friday afternoon before the rain moves in on Saturday morning. The weekend looks fairly showery though... from Portland northward at least. More rain for the Oregon Cascades as well on this run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Also having a ULL slowly meander from California to Montana... locks in the marine layer away from the water. Nothing like that shown this week on the ECMWF surface maps. Every day this work week is quite sunny. Highs are still around 80 on Friday afternoon before the rain moves in on Saturday morning. The weekend looks fairly showery though... from Portland northward at least.Cool troughy June working its magic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Wet!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Believe it or not, It's actually raining here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Wet!! Partly and sunny dry here... very nice morning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 I would be willing to bet you a crisp Andrew Jackson that August doesn’t end up cold. At PDX or regionally.You're thinking with your emotions. If June ends up even modestly warm and July is pretty hott, August will have some real room to work. Make it a Grover Cleveland and you have a deal! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 You're thinking with your emotions. If June ends up even modestly warm and July is pretty hott, August will have some real room to work. Make it a Grover Cleveland and you have a deal!You are being patronizing as usual. It’s generally a pretty tall order these days, regardless of what June and July do. We’ll see who’s right. There was a very similar discussion last summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 You are being patronizing as usual. It’s generally a pretty tall order these days, regardless of what June and July do. We’ll see who’s right. There was a very similar discussion last summer.B+!!! I'll donate blood if it'll help. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Partly and sunny dry here... very nice morning.Been moderate rain now for almost 2 hours...everything is getting a nice soaking! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Been moderate rain now for almost 2 hours...everything is getting a nice soaking!F*ck you!!!! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Believe it or not, It's actually raining here.Dry here. Sun breaking thru Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 12z ECMWF is troughalicious. Enjoy! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Misting and 57 degrees here at 4pm, and we’ve spent the entire day outside enjoying it. Best June weather we’ve had in years. Plan is to jog to the Potomac and light up later this evening. #paradise 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Misting and 57 degrees here at 4pm, and we’ve spent the entire day outside enjoying it. Best June weather we’ve had in years. Plan is to jog to the Potomac and light up later this evening. #paradiseSo jealous. Our Junes used to have days like that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 12z ECMWF is troughalicious. Enjoy!Two days with meaningful rain out of 10. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 If it was guaranteed very hot and humid all summer... I could enjoy a 57 degree drizzly day too. We all want we don't get very often. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Nina Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 If it was guaranteed very hot and humid all summer... I could enjoy a 57 degree drizzly day too. We all want we don't get very often.Some of us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Misting and 57 degrees here at 4pm, and we’ve spent the entire day outside enjoying it. Best June weather we’ve had in years. Plan is to jog to the Potomac and light up later this evening. #paradise What's your strain? Been enjoying banner and lemon kush lately. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 What's your strain? Been enjoying banner and lemon kush lately.Just ACDC for me tonight since I’ll need my head tomorrow, but my favorites are trainwreck and white russian. My gf usually goes with purple haze or sometimes sour diesel. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 The D7 12z EPS is something out of Jesse’s wildest dreams. Though, as expected, the return to ridging begins during the third week of June, as the NPAC jet extends under the influence of diabatic heat release from WPAC forcing. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 FWIW, the tropical forcing is propagating somewhat faster than originally indicated (the wave is shallower). So while this troughy period might end ~ 5-6 days ahead of schedule, the warm/ridgy episode from late June to mid-July is looking less impressive as well. And if the -AMO/-AMM cell (equatorward IO/ATL ITCZ) sustains into August, then you can bet on some legitimate late summer troughing. We haven’t had a legit -AMO/-AMM August since the middle 1990s, and nothing like this since the 1970s/80s. So if this actually happens, you can toss all post-1995 analogs for the month of August. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 FWIW, the tropical forcing is propagating somewhat faster than originally indicated (the wave is shallower). So while this troughy period might end ~ 5-6 days ahead of schedule, the warm/ridgy episode from late June to mid-July is looking less impressive as well. And if the -AMO/-AMM cell (equatorward IO/ATL ITCZ) sustains into August, then you can bet on some legitimate late summer troughing. We haven’t had a legit -AMO/-AMM August since the middle 1990s, and nothing like this since the 1970s/80s. So if this actually happens, you can toss all post-1995 analogs for the month of August.Troughing in August is not possible, you goof. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Troughing in August is not possible, you goof.Well . Why didn’t you tell me that earlier? Dickface. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Well s**t. Why didn’t you tell me that earlier? Dickface.It's in the bible. Old and new testament. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 FWIW, the tropical forcing is propagating somewhat faster than originally indicated (the wave is shallower). So while this troughy period might end ~ 5-6 days ahead of schedule, the warm/ridgy episode from late June to mid-July is looking less impressive as well. And if the -AMO/-AMM cell (equatorward IO/ATL ITCZ) sustains into August, then you can bet on some legitimate late summer troughing. We haven’t had a legit -AMO/-AMM August since the middle 1990s, and nothing like this since the 1970s/80s. So if this actually happens, you can toss all post-1995 analogs for the month of August.Hopefully all this atmospheric shuffling can get us back into the feel of the pre-1996 winter era where, at least to me, it felt like lowland snow was way more common. I feel like I vaguely remember numerous regional snow events in the early 1990s from my childhood. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Troughing in August is not possible, you goof.Troughing in August is very possible. The last few decades tell us that a below average August region wide is very difficult to achieve, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Surprised to see some echoes making it into the west metro. Likely won’t amount to much but maybe enough to settle the dust/pollen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Juggernaut!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 The D7 12z EPS is something out of Jesse’s wildest dreams. Though, as expected, the return to ridging begins during the third week of June, as the NPAC jet extends under the influence of diabatic heat release from WPAC forcing. You need to cut down the hyperbole a little buddy. The troughing that is moving over us currently looked just as impressive at that range. The end result is looking like highs dropping to near average (low 70s) for a few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 Dry here. Sun breaking thru No sun here, but the rain hasn't amount to much, only around 0.04". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2018 Report Share Posted June 3, 2018 No sun here, but the rain hasn't amount to much, only around 0.04". Radar looks active here... but just sprinkles with the sun visible through the clouds. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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