Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
Different forest types, too. Lots of lodgepole pine near Merritt. There is no such thing as a gentle, ground fire in a lodgepole pine forest. The trees grow close together, have thin bark that cannot survive fires, build up lots of leaf litter on the forest floor, and keep their lower branches. When a lodgepole pine forest catches fire, it is an all-consuming conflagration.
Most of their cones can’t even open absent fire. They only open after being toasted by one, scattering the seeds for the next generation of lodgepole pines (which germinate best in bare mineral soil, rich in ash).
FWIW I think I will be wrong about late May troughing. The EPS has slowed the MJO transit across the pacific such that dateline forcing now establishes late month (as opposed to completing late-month).
So what looked like a troughy pattern after the 25th now gets pushed back a couple weeks into June. Though it’s possible the EPS is once again over-bullish on the WPAC/dateline MJO (which has been the case thus far) MJO and it’ll end up being a speedy CCKW type wave, which would render the ridging inconsequential.
It's how fascism works. Fascists live almost exclusively in the realm of feelings, not reason or logic.
The leader worship, the disdain for democratic norms (even long-held ones that, per the principles of conservatism, would be respected), the ambiguity between what is trolling and what is really being advocated, we all have seen it before in Italy and Germany.
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