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August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest


Geos

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Quite a difference in SSTAs across the high latitudes and the west-Pacific warm pool compared to this time last year:

 

jHeNjpz.gif

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Christmas event was basically Woodburn north and the Feb event dropped a very slushy inch (honestly probly less) on the grass which melted within 2 hrs. Places closer to Corvallis and Albany had nothing.

Oh I see, in the back of my mind I thought you did a little better. I'm thinking this upcoming winter everybody will do well. Probably a winter where we get lots of snow regionally. I have lots of reasons for thinking so that I'll share later but a quick one is that since the winter of 03/04 every 5 years since then we've had good/great winters with either lots of snow or extreme events at least for PDX. I think you've also done well 03/04, 08/09 and 13/14.

 

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Oh I see, in the back of my mind I thought you did a little better. I'm thinking this upcoming winter everybody will do well. Probably a winter where we get lots of snow regionally. I have lots of reasons for thinking so that I'll share later but a quick one is that since the winter of 03/04 every 5 years since then we've had good/great winters with either lots of snow or extreme events at least for PDX. I think you've also done well 03/04, 08/09 and 13/14.

As I will be moving to Springfield full time in October I am beginning to shift my focus towards the south Willamette Valley. As far as those years go, all of them delivered wonderful events here. I think 13-14 was the best for Eugene/Springfield as the early December event dropped 6"+ here before going into the ice box and the early February 2014 event dropped about 8". Obviously the potential exists for a 1969-type scenario but those are very rare. Maybe a 1/100 chance of happening in a given year.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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The D15 EPS has a heavy load of continental air building across NW-Canada.

 

This is a classic boreal autumn solar minimum look, as far as placement is concerned.

 

UsSL7S9.png

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The D15 EPS has a heavy load of continental air building across NW-Canada.

 

This is a classic boreal autumn solar minimum look, as far as placement is concerned.

 

UsSL7S9.png

So is it unusual to have it happen this early?

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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The euro solution will probably happen. Troughs follow me everywhere.

 

You're welcome, Jesse.

I was right about the ridge following me. We’ve been in a ridge-west/trough-east pattern since I’ve been here, and it will probably reverse when I leave.

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Looks like almost the entire northern part of the country will be affected by the fires in NorCal and Oregon on Monday.  :mellow:

 

trc1_int_f36.png

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Some pretty-looking cumulus over the south Oregon coast range.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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I have a bad feeling the fire situation is going to get a lot worse this coming week.

It sure as shitt isn't going to get better...

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Looks like almost the entire northern part of the country will be affected by the fires in NorCal and Oregon on Monday.  :mellow:

 

trc1_int_f36.png

 

D*mn

 

Noticed the thunder heads going up over the Cascades a little while ago. Not good...

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Decent cell just SE of Bend/La Pine. You can see the anvil top from Springfield. Several strikes already. Oh brother...

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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