December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Deweydog]

We have reached the stage where Tim claims he is completely innocent. Let's see if history can clue is in to what happens next...

We’ve also reached the stage once again where someone has managed to make Tim seem like the sanest one during one of these clusterfucks.

[TT-SEA]

We have reached the stage where Tim claims he is completely innocent. Let's see if history can clue is in to what happens next...

 

 

You will keep attacking me for conversations about the weather today that had nothing to do with you?    That seems about right.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I'm kind of liking what I'm seeing.  Various runs of the different models keep making it cold at some point over the next couple of weeks.  Right now the trough just after Christmas looks like it could easily be a lowland snow maker.  It's pretty intriguing to see the GFS have two runs show an exploding GOA ridge in early January.  That one has been shown to be something potentially major.  Right now the parallel model looks really chilly mid / late next week.

 

Currently 38 and raining here after a 47 - 32 range today.  Much more wintry than previous days.

 

41/29 here today which is about exactly average as now through the first week of January is statistically the coldest time of the year. Even though our average low only bottoms out at 29, our average low will stay 32 or lower through most of March, it is a slow warmup on the other side up here.

 

Anyways, you are right about the FV-3. I feel like I have about a 50/50 chance of seeing a nice dusting up here at some point next week.

 

[BLI snowman]

We’ve also reached the stage once again where someone has managed to make Tim seem like the sanest one during one of these clusterfucks.

 

Yeah, I'm not even sure what this latest garbage is about. Tim's comments today appeared wildly innocuous. Time for folks to put on their big boy pants and move on.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 with snow at Hood River. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Jesus Snoqualmie is getting smashed.

[Deweydog]

Jesus Snoqualmie is getting smashed.

Who’s he and why is he drinking so heavily?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Who’s he and why is he drinking so heavily?

Antichrist.

[Gradient Keeper]

Who’s he and why is he drinking so heavily?

Yeah, no kidding. or SHE. I googled Jesus Snoqualmie because I have too much time on my hands and this is the first person that popped up along with pretty waterfall pictures. Frightening! Looks like she just got back home from a jolly ole Antifa rally.

 

http://snoqualmie.cementhorizon.com/archives/post-3-thumb.jpg

[Deweydog]

Yeah, no kidding. or SHE. I googled Jesus Snoqualmie because I have too much time on my hands and this is the first person that popped up along with pretty waterfall pictures. Frightening! Looks like she just got back home from a jolly ole Antifa rally.

 

http://snoqualmie.cementhorizon.com/archives/post-3-thumb.jpg

Looks like she’s had to be treated more than once for sudden stratospheric warming.

[Gradient Keeper]

Looks like she’s had to be treated more than once for sudden stratospheric warming.

Good diagnosis.

 

00z ECMWF in 3 minutes!

6z GFS in 3 hours 45 minutes

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

It is snowing all around me.

BTW, not trying to "rub it in", I really hope all of you get some snow this winter.  I remember last Christmas many of you got more snow than I did, and that was fine, I was really happy for all of you who had a white Christmas.  We already had a fair amount of snow, and only got an inch or so Christmas Eve, so it was definitely your time to score.    

[ShawniganLake]

Couple of rogue members on the ensemble going arctic after New Years.

[Deweydog]

Euro!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3 - Through Day 3 energy held back slightly further than the GEM.

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/072/500h_anom.na.png

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/096/500h_anom.na.png

[TigerWoodsLibido]

44 after some light rain.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/120/500h_anom.na.png

[luvssnow_spokane]

Day 4

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/096/500h_anom.na.png

Is it just me or does that block look a tad better?

[Gradient Keeper]

EURO very similar through Day 5 one exception the GEM was developing the Kona Low by now.

[TT-SEA]

Total snow with Wednesday system:

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 5

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/120/500h_anom.na.png

Bummer

[luvssnow_spokane]

Day 5

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/120/500h_anom.na.png

Still chilly 850’s

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Wow check out the 00z FV3 Day 5

http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs_fv3/2018122300/120/500h_anom.na.png

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 6

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/144/500h_anom.na.png

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 6

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/144/500h_anom.na.png

Model comparison. Day 6 00z GEM

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2018122300/144/500h_anom.na.png

[luvssnow_spokane]

Wow check out the 00z FV3 Day 5

http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs_fv3/2018122300/120/500h_anom.na.png

Here are the 850’s for the FV3.

 

[Requiem]

Been reading some past comments- who's Yev?

[Gradient Keeper]

Another perspective. Day 6

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Been reading some past comments- who's Yev?

He use to post on Mark's blog, I don't know if he still does. Don't worry, you're not the only one who has been mistaken for him. Everybody thought I was him 2 Winters ago haha.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/168/500h_anom.na.png

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/168/500h_anom.na.png

00z GEM Day 7 comparison

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2018122300/168/500h_anom.na.png

[Gradient Keeper]

Another perspective Day 7

 

 

[luvssnow_spokane]

00z GEM Day 7 comparison

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2018122300/168/500h_anom.na.png

Hmmm am I seeing some alignment ..?.

[HighlandExperience]

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/192/500h_anom.na.png

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Day 7

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/168/500h_anom.na.png

00z GEM Day 7 comparison

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2018122300/168/500h_anom.na.png

The EURO and GEM look similar at day 7. Unlike the GFS and FV3-GFS.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018122300/192/500h_anom.na.png

00z GEM Day 8 comparison

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2018122300/192/500h_anom.na.png

[luvssnow_spokane]

The EURO and GEM look similar at day 7. Unlike the GFS and FV3-GFS.

Go team EURO/GEM!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

GEM has a stronger southeast ridge, otherwise quite similar.