Jan. 22nd-23rd Winter Storm

[jcwxguy]

18Z GFS slightly slower and south

[Money]

Gfs actually strengthens it quite a bit as it crosses WI compared to previous runs that weakens it

 

Down to 999 over MKE

[jcwxguy]

Through 42

[Iowawx]

Wow, that’s a good run for CR

[hlcater]

You know what happened with these 18z runs? They all proved that the King is King for a reason.

Big win for the NAM too. It had always been south. If this trend is real that is. Still looks to have been to skimpy on QPF, but it had consistently the right idea with track.

[Money]

Man GFS is a great solution for pretty much most of the posters here..

[Madtown]

Gfs caved big time on that run!

[Madtown]

Mkx just put out a graphic lowering totals too?

[Minny_Weather]

3km NAM with ~4" of snow on top of 0.1" of ice. Roads will be a disaster tomorrow if that pans out.

[gosaints]

Split kuchera and 10:1 and still pretty....

[Money]

The difference between 18z hr 42 and 12z hr 48 is hilarious

[Stormhunter87]

Wpc ain't buying this change. Hmmm. I love it but I really hopes this pans out.

[Madtown]

what's mr euro say....is this thing gonna turn into a legit storm?

[jcwxguy]

what's mr euro say....is this thing gonna turn into a legit storm?

almost 2hrs before 18z euro

[Madtown]

I know...just was trying to drum up some excitement

[East Dubzz]

18z rgem fwiw

I could be remembering wrong, but I believe that’s a slightly southern shift from its 12z run.

[jcwxguy]

Fv3 slower and south as well, stronger at 500mb. Ill have the pivital one up later

[james1976]

DMX goin with Warning for frz drz and 4-6" of snow. Hope the changeover doesnt take forever.

[jcwxguy]

Surprised no afd from gid or Oax yet. Woner if they are waiting on the 18z models

[Stormhunter87]

Local guys sticking with ice and 1-3. I wonder if they will change with the 18z runs following the euro. Edit: honestly I think oax will stay the same they are going to play this very cautious.

[gosaints]

Models getting wetter.... Weird

[bud2380]

The cutoff on the GFs is unreal. 10 miles north of me 10”. Only a couple IMBY. Thankfully I’m not buying it. Would be the second time this year I missed on heavy snow by 10 miles.

[jcwxguy]

Fv3

[Stormhunter87]

It appears the euro wins again. Lol

[erburns18]

Omaha NWS still has .1-.2 of ice followed by 1-2 inches of snow

[james1976]

More juice. Keep it comin

[Stormhunter87]

Omaha NWS still has .1-.2 of ice followed by 1-2 inches of snow

Yeah they just updated they are sticking with GFS and CMC. Playing this cautious and I think they are not counting the 18z runs.

[Money]

Usually a good sign when models trend wetter as the event gets closer

[Grizzcoat]

OAX going with 12Z GFS and CMC. Saying EURO is an outlier. --- going to be an interesting 12 hours and see what the short range guidance does.

[Minny_Weather]

HRRR is wanting to make dry air a problem. And the beat goes on.

[Minny_Weather]

Ratios shouldn't be an issue if RAP has any say in it, at least not a couple hours after the changeover. Wind may be a problem still but at least we'll have decent temps aloft.

[WBadgersW]

Weird to see this trending wetter. Hopefully the trend continues.

[GDR]

[CentralNebWeather]

Freezing drizzle has begun here. Streets are very slick.

[bud2380]

21z RAP looks like 18z Gfs but it’s so hard to tell without a zoomed in picture

[East Dubzz]

18z GFS looks great! Lol. Let’s lock that one in!

[Stormhunter87]

21z RAP looks like 18z Gfs but it’s so hard to tell without a zoomed in picture

18z GFS has better snow bands. Rap keeping the freezing rain/drizzle longer

[Stormhunter87]

Gridded output has at 27 in an hour. It's currently 20 that is one heck of a warm up.

[Hawkeye]

DVN's updated graphic

 

I'd be ok with 2-3".

 

[dubuque473]

I guess I could accept 6