TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 It's February now, btw. Good point **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Good pointI think you and Rob have been simultaneously analyzing the same run on separate monthly threads this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 5.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Now we find out if we just see a secondary shot of chilly air, or an actual blast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Block at Day 5.5 is significantly more amplified than 6z, 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Now we find out if we just see a secondary shot of chilly air, or an actual blast.Will be good to finally get that nailed down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 6 522 thickness into Bellingham Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 6.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 The Arctic front is nearly to Williams Lake now, Shawnigan must be experiencing quite the blizzard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Here are last night's 00z EPS loops out to day 15. Very strong signal for continued PNW cold through at least the first half of February. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 The WRF continues to be aggressive in filling northern areas with cold low level air as early as Saturday. Any precipitation on Sunday should be of the frozen variety if that's the case. The GFS seems to be doing some catchup on this: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 The Arctic front is nearly to Williams Lake now, Shawnigan must be experiencing quite the blizzard.Really? That seems faster than modeled. That COULD be a good thing. Hmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChilliwackBCwx Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 The Arctic front is nearly to Williams Lake now, Shawnigan must be experiencing quite the blizzard.To be precise the Arctic front is located just south of Quesnel now they dropped from 32f to 18f in 3 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 12z GEM Day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 GEM has finally caught up with the westward trend in the other models for the initial system. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChilliwackBCwx Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 And Prince George which is north of Quesnel had the Arctic front go through there last night at 10p.m. they went from 32f and is currently 8f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChilliwackBCwx Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Noticed that. Quite a bit less snow than the 00z. Lots can change in 48 hours right?Yeah if you believe in horseshoes and hand grenades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Looking at pressure gradients the arctic front has passed south of Quensel, BC(YQZ). Pressure rises indicated. I also see it's just north of Williams, Lake BC(YWL). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Noticed that. Quite a bit less snow than the 00z. Lots can change in 48 hours right? Probably not much at this point. The models have finally locked in a solution. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 12z GEM Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 12Z GEM also looks weaker and warmer with the reload later in the week compared to its 00Z run. But the GEM at that range is pretty much pointless. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 ICON definitely supports the idea of a 2nd trough later in the week. It is pretty snowy from Salem/north. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Never thought I’d be jealous of California, but here we are. Their storm is bigger than anything we’ve seen in at least three years and won’t bust unlike most of our stuff. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 No dice with 12z GEM for secondary cold shot. That could change on future runs. I think it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 44* and raining.37 precipitation Stats for last month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 GFS pretty chilly late next week too. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Jim bolted when things turned bad 36 hours ago. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 How do max temps look for Seattle Sunday through the end of next week? Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 GFS pretty chilly late next week too. Regardless of what individual runs might show... troughing is going to keep forming over the west for at least the first half of February. The EPS has not wavered once. Chilly weather is absolutely a given for the next couple weeks and maybe beyond. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 To be precise the Arctic front is located just south of Quesnel now they dropped from 32f to 18f in 3 hoursOnly a 9 hour and 28 minutes drive if I leave now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 FV-3 looks a "notch" better early next week. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 ICON definitely supports the idea of a 2nd trough later in the week. It is pretty snowy from Salem/north.Yeah, the 12z ICON shows good snow this coming Thursday night. Good overall run, I'd be a happy camper if it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Jim bolted when things turned bad 36 hours ago. He posted last night in the January thread. He said he was disappointed in the initial trough but very encouraged by the long-term cold opportunities. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Jim bolted when things turned bad 36 hours ago. He was here lamenting last night. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Icon always gives false hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Jim bolted when things turned bad 36 hours ago.He posted just a bit ago although disappointed how things our unfolding short term he has hope as do I for the longer term. I still have hope for the short term though and not giving in yet. Weather doesn’t follow models so I’m expecting the unexpected!!! I also may drive to Portland pending where the Low goes to increase my chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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