GHweatherChris Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 18z Euro looking just as snowy as the 12z. Maybe a little less overall but pretty close. Shows snow really picking up starting around 10PM tonight and continuing until 1PM tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 31.1* here now. Can see signs of slushy accumulation on the road now. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 18z Euro looking just as snowy as the 12z. Maybe a little less overall but pretty close. Shows snow really picking up starting around 10PM tonight and continuing until 1PM tomorrow. Can you post Oregon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 18z Euro looking just as snowy as the 12z. Maybe a little less overall but pretty close. Shows snow really picking up starting around 10PM tonight and continuing until 1PM tomorrow. Wow, add that to what I already have now and that would have me at about 6”. (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Can you post Oregon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Main snow period for King County is early tomorrow morning.Why is anyone talking about running out of moisture??I know. The low is just now coming off Vancuver island. Looks like chris should start to score around 7 or 8pm tonight according the the meso models. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Third runway looks like it’s kicking in at SeaTac. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 God, that's bad. Well, I guess I'll look forward to the snow pictures instead. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Burst of snow a little bit ago and now wet snow 36*Still a very light south wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Radar changed to all snow throughout Western WA in the last couple frames. Nice to have the complete changeover occur before the modeled time (on some models). That's pretty rare as normally models are too quick to bring in the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Test Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 You can see the band pivoting now and becoming a deformation zone. The returns up around the San Juan islands are moving to the SW and down here in central King County they are moving to the NE. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Snowing pretty hard and down to 36 now. Color me surprised the NWS didn't go with an advisory. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 God, that's bad. Well, I guess I'll look forward to the snow pictures instead. Yep, this one will be a Seattle special. GFS and Euro both shaft southern areas with it. Should be a non-event unless you believe the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 18z Euro looking just as snowy as the 12z. Maybe a little less overall but pretty close. Shows snow really picking up starting around 10PM tonight and continuing until 1PM tomorrow. I'll take 4" Grass is almost covered now here. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Still looking good for 2-4" here. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 No radar to work with but we can see it is starting to dump on the coast range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 So far non-event here,hoping later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 I see Seattle down to 34 with 18mph N wind now. Outstanding. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 The question is when will it stick to the cement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Yep, this one will be a Seattle special. GFS and Euro both shaft southern areas with it. Should be a non-event unless you believe the NAM. That's a recurring theme this season- Seattle getting all the stormy weather and major rain. I hope we can eek out an inch by the time this cold outbreak is over. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Ouch, the euro showed 6”+ here just 48 hours ago. Down looks like a dusting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Ouch, the euro showed 6”+ here just 48 hours ago. Down looks like a dusting... That map is only through 1 p.m. tomorrow **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Man this is an interesting low pressure position. Still dumping rain in Walla Walla... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Just started snowing here... huge flakes and dead calm. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Yep, this one will be a Seattle special. GFS and Euro both shaft southern areas with it. Should be a non-event unless you believe the NAM. Our best dynamics with the deformation zone may be after that. That map ends at 1pm tomorrow. That being said, more than an inch looks exceedingly improbable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Test Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Our best dynamics with the deformation zone may be after that. That map ends at 1pm tomorrow. That being said, more than an inch looks exceedingly improbable. I'll be happy to get a dusting at this point. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Snowing hard and sticking here. The ground is white already. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Radar changed to all snow throughout Western WA in the last couple frames. Nice to have the complete changeover occur before the modeled time (on some models). That's pretty rare as normally models are too quick to bring in the cold air. That's because the air coming off the ocean is cold enough for snow. Didn't have to wait for the Arctic front. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Our best dynamics with the deformation zone may be after that. That map ends at 1pm tomorrow. That being said, more than an inch looks exceedingly improbable. Time to enjoy what look to be may days of negative temperature anomalies. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Time to enjoy what look to be may days of negative temperature anomalies. Cold without the snow, I guess. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Our best dynamics with the deformation zone may be after that. That map ends at 1pm tomorrow. That being said, more than an inch looks exceedingly improbable. Yep, the new target is trying to get just enough snow to coat things and make it look wintry. Might have a shot at that one still. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Received about an inch of slop, but now fine, powdery snow is falling. Working on that second inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dairyd Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Cliff Mass is going with his WRF and said the ECMWF was an extreme outlier. He is going to be eating crow tomorrow. https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/02/cold-and-snow-enter-western-washington.html The big problem is lack of precipitation...this is NOT a wet system for us, partially because the upper trough and low center is too far offshore. Temperatures will cool below freezing tonight in Puget Sound and even cooler Monday night/Tuesday morning. Snow amounts will vary greatly, but generally will be light. Seattle will get perhaps .5 to 1 inch of snowfall, but accumulation will be hampered by our generally warm roadway surfaces. But don't be shocked if central Puget Sound gets very little or a bit more....there is substantial uncertainty in this kind of forecast.not the first nw met to be burned by an upper level trough, won't be the last Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 Test Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dairyd Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 That's because the air coming off the ocean is cold enough for snow. Didn't have to wait for the Arctic front. that's the beauty of these cold-core sliders Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2019 Report Share Posted February 4, 2019 not the first nw met to be burned by an upper level trough, won't be the last Don't doubt the ECMWF within close range... you are asking to be burned otherwise. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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