TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Low is not going south of Portland. 00Z NAM... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Low is not going south of Portland. 00Z NAM... Also shows a snow shadow for the sound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Hmmm the NAM wants to stall tomorrow evenings low in the puget sound at 1002 mb.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Also shows a snow shadow for the soundECMWF showed that as well. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Low is not going south of Portland. 00Z NAM... Wrong low. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Low is not going south of Portland. 00Z NAM... The models have made the trends quite clear. Agree, it will not go south of Portland and that is why that 18z ECMWF snowmap will be completely wrong for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 You can clearly see the warm front developing quickly on Monday morning... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Low is not going south of Portland. 00Z NAM... Booooooo! (but thank you for all your hard work with these maps lately, even though they have been quite a rollercoaster ride. You've put a lot of time into this one, enjoy the snow!) 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 The models have made the trends quite clear. Agree, it will not go south of Portland and that is why that 18z ECMWF snowmap will be completely wrong for here.The 18z Euro increased snowfall from the second low. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 ECMWF showed that as well.I'm trying to learn here but what's causing the snow shadow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Could this be decent for the West Hills/Mt. Tabor/Coucil Crest/Chehalem Mountain (anywhere above 500 ft) even in the metro area? Maybe an inch or two of snow? I could see places at a 1000ft or maybe lower getting some initial accumulations but the SW flow will eventually raise the snow level to 3000ft for at least some time if we are to believe the 18z GFS. GFS has 925mb temps going above freezing for a considerable period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Monday system has a little flavor of 12/20/2008 to it. Heavy snow, possible warming like in 2008, but in 2008 it went from snow to freezing rain, back to snow and cold. I remember it clearly as I drove up to Seattle on 12/20 while it was dumping for the Seahawks game the next day against the Jets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 At least we were able to get some slightly below normal temps in the south valley. Would like to add to the humongous 0.2” that Springfield has had so far but I have my doubts. Never move to the south valley if you like snow. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Low is not going south of Portland. 00Z NAM... Glad you found a mission. Been a few days! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Monday system has a little flavor of 12/20/2008 to it. Heavy snow, possible warming like in 2008, but in 2008 it went from snow to freezing rain, back to snow and cold. I remember it clearly as I drove up to Seattle on 12/20 while it was dumping for the Seahawks game the next day against the Jets. 12/20/2008 was absolutely beautiful for Portland too, and was far more region-wide. This is a Puget Sound special (and SW Washington too, I guess). "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 12/20/2008 was absolutely beautiful for Portland too, and was far more region-wide. This is a Puget Sound special (and SW Washington too, I guess).I was only speaking for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 I'm trying to learn here but what's causing the snow shadow?Olympics. Much like traditional rain storms around here with their trajectory shadowing Sequim. Based on that trajectory of the low that was shown, the sound would be shadowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 I was only speaking for my area. Sorry, this one still stings. Yeah, for your area it'll probably be good. Do you get freezing rain often out there? "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Sorry, this one still stings. Yeah, for your area it'll probably be good. Do you get freezing rain often out there?Only in these borderline setups and usually just briefly, thats why I said it only had a little 2008 flair to it, it's nowhere near exact but the feel of the situation is similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Hoping this next system pulls through for Whatcom Co! It's still cold as here in Bham and plenty of ice and snow from last week caked on some surfaces. Another couple inches would be great. I was up at Mount Baker this afternoon and it wasn't nearly as gusty as it was in town. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just had the offshore flow finally kick in! Winds kicked out of the north about 20mph with a heavy snow shower. Picked up another 1.8" of snow in about 45 minutes. Up to 7.8" total with this event. 5.3" since midnight. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 12/20/2008 was absolutely beautiful for Portland too, and was far more region-wide. This is a Puget Sound special (and SW Washington too, I guess).Only place that missed out on that was EUG. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Another beautiful snowy evening on the ranch. wowow. beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Looks like a band of snow is developing in Central Marion County on a Silverton/Keizer line. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 I see the 18z euro is as drunk as the 18z gfs for valley snow the next couple of days. I'd be shocked if any significant snow fell south of Battle Ground. 2 inches tops before the week long 37 degree rain. 2 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 I think some are putting a little emphasis, imagined or not - that the warm nose on this will be a bit much.Agreed, but there is alot of variables in place which will cause anxiety for some, I am currently very pleased with things, anymore fun will be a bonus for my particular locale at this point. Still gonna root for the frozen precip!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 NAM so far looking pretty similar to the RGEM with the low placement. Good news for us south islanders It's about as perfect a track as we could hope for with such a system. It's small though so tiny shifts could have a big impact on snowfall. That said, this looks like a more traditional snow maker in this area than what happened on Friday (the low coming ashore rather than racing offshore). I'm also feeling pretty optimistic about the Monday system. Those north moving warm front/overrunners almost always bring a good snowfall here. That one could easily produce 4-6" and has way more room for error. The difference is that this time there likely won't a major warmup/changeover once it passes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 I-5 turning white in North Salem per cams. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Confirmed with my Dad he's getting sticking snow down in Silverton now. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 00Z NAM agrees well with the 12Z ECMWF through Tuesday. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Go 18z EURO. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 00Z NAM agrees well with the 12Z ECMWF through Tuesday. Northern areas certainly gain some ground on this one: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Looks like heavy snow falling in North Salem and Keizer now per cams. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Yeah driving south thru Salem was def starting to get snowy. Boring in the s valley as usual now. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 00z 3km NAM is a VI and Whatcom special for tomorrow night's system. By 7AM Monday... Victoria still gets screwed over on this one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silverfin Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 00z 3km NAM is a VI and Whatcom special for tomorrow night's system. By 7AM Monday... I'll have the Whatcom special please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 Anyone have any predictions on what the deformation band up north will do? 12z euro had it making it down here but the HRRR and NAM took it away. Band is still there and seems to be rotating slowly SW. We'll see if it survives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 My Dad says its stopped at his house for now He got 1", completely covered even the roads. He said he had to go into Silverton and it looked like 2"+ there. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 My Dad says its stopped at his house for now He got 1", completely covered even the roads. He said he had to go into Silverton and it looked like 2"+ there. Is he low elevation or on some kind of a hill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 10, 2019 Report Share Posted February 10, 2019 I wonder if it’s snowing silverton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts