TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 I am not sure if it will actually verify... but its really interesting how the models seem to be going towards a classic Nino pattern so quickly given that the Nino is just developing. 4 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said: My area of the peninsula will for sure be in a drought by August. I only have 4.78" of rain this year and only 3.5" in Nov-Dec of last year. My pond never filled and is already receding. It is going to be a rough summer for all my native saplings I planted. Unreal. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Unreal. Given the setup for the last 6 months it really is wild. Shadow worked in overdrive. Maybe we get some showers this summer and I get to see my first August rain. Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Unreal. Its pretty challenging to solve the western drought situation and keep western WA wet. Nature decided to focus the action to the south this year which was desperately needed. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I am not sure if it will actually verify... but its really interesting how the models seem to be going towards a classic Nino pattern so quickly given that the Nino is just developing. It's been a Nino-like pattern all winter, despite the 3-peat La Nina. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said: It's been a Nino-like pattern all winter, despite the 3-peat La Nina. Good point. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 been dry in Spokane too. snow decent, but still below average on moisture 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 46 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Rough. Could definitely be drought building into the north part of Washington. Meanwhile the rich get richer further south. We definitely needed some type of pattern change to bring some rain to the BC interior. Upper level lows with some SE flow could do the trick if they aren’t too far south. Kamloops has had just 0.13” of precip in the past 8+ weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 I need to tabulate our precip, but my feeling is it is slightly below average, but not a dire situation around here. April will end up a bit over 8” which is about 2” above normal. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 @Cascadia_Wx 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 A rainy start to the day here in Vancouver, but the overcast is starting to break up now. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 12Z ECMWF just dents the warm air mass on Sunday and it's coming back already again on Monday. Warmer and faster than it's 00Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: A rainy start to the day here in Vancouver, but the overcast is starting to break up now. Had some mid level clouds move through here this morning... but sunny and up to 60 now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 Warmth comes back with a vengeance by Tuesday on the 12Z ECMWF. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Fill the basin! Was there about 6 years ago and it was sad how low the water levels were. Would be nice to get a good refill. Pity that part of the world is so far away. Would be nice to visit when the basin is green and lush. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Warmth comes back with a vengeance by Tuesday on the 12Z ECMWF. Here comes the complaints about a perma ridge. I hope we get some thunderstorms out of wrap around flow. Still possible. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Here comes the complaints about a perma ridge. I hope we get some thunderstorms out of wrap around flow. Still possible. No idea if it will work out this way... but May tends to be warm during developing Ninos. Doesn't mean much for the heart of summer though. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: No idea if it will work out this way... but May tends to be warm during developing Ninos. Doesn't mean much for the heart of summer though. Ensembles certainly don’t look like the Euro Op. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Ensembles certainly don’t look like the Euro Op. The 00Z EPS actually had the same general placement of the major features as the new 12Z ECMWF. The operational is not too different other than the ridge is stronger but that could just be because the EPS is a smoothed mean. 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 It’s becoming clear that the good fight against weather evil has turned…and a more satanic weather regime is taking hold. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 Get the boats ready! 1 2 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: It’s becoming clear that the good fight against weather evil has turned…and a more satanic weather regime is taking hold. Yeah it was inevitable. We held back the heathens as long as possible. A great winter and first half of spring. 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 28 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Ensembles certainly don’t look like the Euro Op. 12Z EPS and control run both show the warmth coming back quickly as well. Pretty good agreement at least so far with the ECMWF. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah it was inevitable. We held back the heathens as long as possible. A great winter and first half of spring. The negative anomaly stats will soon be replaced by the inevitable tide of lake sammamish boat pics 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Get the boats ready! Scorcho de Mayo. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: It’s becoming clear that the good fight against weather evil has turned…and a more satanic weather regime is taking hold. As @Meatyorologist has said... this is well earned. After months of colder than normal weather and one of the latest leaf outs possible. Finally something different. That being said... I hope summer plays out differently this year. And that seems more likely at this point since we are now solidly breaking away from the progression of last spring. 4 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 1 minute ago, TacomaWx said: The negative anomaly stats will soon be replaced by the inevitable tide of lake sammamish boat pics Yep. Tim will rub the warm weather in our faces while privilege flexing his status as a member of the 1%. I promise you I will never forget the 99% and where I come from. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: As @Meatyorologist has said... this is well earned. After months of colder than normal weather and one of the latest leaf outs possible. Finally something different. That being said... I hope summer plays out differently this year. And that seems more likely now since we are now solidly breaking away from the progression of last spring. Yeah it couldn’t stay cold forever. Nice timing for a warm spell on the weekend! 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: As @Meatyorologist has said... this is well earned. After months of colder than normal weather and one of the latest leaf outs possible. Finally something different. That being said... I hope summer plays out differently this year. And that seems more likely at this point since we are now solidly breaking away from the progression of last spring. Looking forward to wearing shorts and a tank top again. It’s been a long time coming. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 Enjoying a break between meetings on the deck and it actually feels hot out here. Much warmer than it actually is... with full sun and not even a whisper of a breeze. Not sure I could sit here for a long time. But that won't be a problem since I have more meetings starting at 1. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yep. Tim will rub the warm weather in our faces while privilege flexing his status as a member of the 1%. I promise you I will never forget the 99% and where I come from. You can be on the lake in a $100 kayak or paddle board. Or on a $5 inflatable raft you got at a garage sale. Lake Sammamish is a public jewel for everyone to enjoy. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 Very nice day up to 61 after a low of 42. We’re probably done with low temps in the 30s until fall. Might end up close to or the warmest day of the year today. Max temp so far is 64 for 2023. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Enjoying a break between meetings on the deck and it actually feels hot out here. Much warmer than it actually is... with full sun and not even a whisper of a breeze. Not sure I could sit here for a long time. But that won't be a problem since I have more meetings starting at 1. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 Just now, Deweydog said: Mid 60s on a sheltered deck with no air movement begs for a sun umbrella. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS and control run both show the warmth coming back quickly as well. Pretty good agreement at least so far with the ECMWF. Looks like I was somewhat wrong. Though GEFS and GEPS are different. Could be back to back warm spells. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: The negative anomaly stats will soon be replaced by the inevitable tide of lake sammamish boat pics Current sea temps in the Caribbean look to be around 79-82F at the big resorts. Let's see if Sammamish can break that by next week. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Current sea temps in the Caribbean look to be around 79-82F at the big resorts. Let's see if Sammamish can break that by next week. Probably by Friday! But 75-80 is pretty much normal for mid to late summer there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 Oh man, Chris is on one… Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted April 26, 2023 Report Share Posted April 26, 2023 my tan will be spectacular this summer I will head back east for late summer if smoke gets bad it is what it is Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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