PNW April 2023 Weather Discussion

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Meanwhile Friday is starting to look quite warm across all guidance with models picking up on some offshore flow under a warm airmass. Wouldn’t surprise me to see PDX make a run at or even surpass 85 that day.

On the Facebook they are saying all time April record possible!

[Meatyorologist]

22 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Meanwhile Friday is starting to look quite warm across all guidance with models picking up on some offshore flow under a warm airmass. Wouldn’t surprise me to see PDX make a run at or even surpass 85 that day.

Looks like a nice marine crash into the workweek as well. The heat is nice when it's earned and it doesn't overstay its welcome.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah looks like ULL s forever after the weekend 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Aurora IMBY, 4:00 am

 

[MossMan]

14 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Aurora IMBY, 4:00 am

 

Amazing! It was raining here at 4am.

[Eugene-5SW]

Well, looks like I'm a newbie again. I was "Eujunga," and apparently it was my account that was hacked.

I have no clue what Fred was referring to when he said to "make sure your password isn't something I can Google search for." I thought my password was pretty secure, and it was unique to this forum. I sent him an e-mail through the "contact" function to ask what he meant, but didn't hear back. If anyone has an idea, please let me know.

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

59 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

On the Facebook they are saying all time April record possible!

Bshmidt and IBRChris are probably FREAKING OUT.

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Meanwhile Friday is starting to look quite warm across all guidance with models picking up on some offshore flow under a warm airmass. Wouldn’t surprise me to see PDX make a run at or even surpass 85 that day.

 

[the_convergence_zone]

Hot and windy in Oregon on Friday for sure. The ridge doesn't look to build far enough north for widespread 80s in western WA. A one day heatwave for most. Saturday might be warm but the onshore flow will ramp up in the afternoon and push in strong overnight Saturday into Sunday. 

[Omegaraptor]

20 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

 

 

Fun weather coming up for SOCAL next week.

[MossMan]

Getting brighter by the moment! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

35 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Bshmidt and IBRChris are probably FREAKING OUT.

Oh yeah. They are jizzing over this.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

11 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Hot and windy in Oregon on Friday for sure. The ridge doesn't look to build far enough north for widespread 80s in western WA. A one day heatwave for most. Saturday might be warm but the onshore flow will ramp up in the afternoon and push in strong overnight Saturday into Sunday. 

Hopefully we don’t see wildfire related issues. 

[Thunder98]

15 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

 

Fun weather coming up for SOCAL next week.

We are about to get invaded by a giant blueberry!

[Phil]

CA gets 5 days of warmth then it’s back to below average.

There’s even purples showing up D8-10. Pretty crazy for an ensemble mean at that that latitude & location.

[Phil]

You know the warm season is taking over when 850mb temps are -5°C but it’s in the 60s at the surface.

Mid-August sun angles now. Can really feel it.

[Phil]

Very impressive +AAM projected across guidance 5/5-5/10. Could actually break records for highest AAM integral ever observed for that time of year.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Just now, Phil said:

Very impressive +AAM projected across guidance 5/5-5/10. Could actually break records for highest AAM integral ever observed for that time of year.

What's that?

[Phil]

Wow.

 

[Deweydog]

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Very impressive +AAM projected across guidance 5/5-5/10. Could actually break records for highest AAM integral ever observed for that time of year.

Glaamorous!

[Omegaraptor]

17 minutes ago, Phil said:

Wow.

 

Greta?

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

CA gets 5 days of warmth then it’s back to below average.

There’s even purples showing up D8-10. Pretty crazy for an ensemble mean at that that latitude & location.

 

And with southerly flow/convective opportunities and deformation zone potential, that's probably a wetter pattern by this time of the year for WA/OR than it would be if that thing was parked over us. Win/win in my book, sacrifice some colder stuff for a little warmer and funner volatility. 

[BLI snowman]

27 minutes ago, Phil said:

Wow.

 

April is currently tracking as the 7th coldest on record for them. You'll possibly recall how crazy March/April 2013 was, that was about the last time we saw really historic cold in interior AK.

 

[Cold Snap]

Trees are still pretty bare in my neighborhood though some have slightly started leading out. Going to look a lot different in a week.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Looking forward to this weekend.  Can't wait for the sunshine. Feels like we haven't had a sunny warm day in awhile.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

April is currently tracking as the 7th coldest on record for them. You'll possibly recall how crazy March/April 2013 was, that was about the last time we saw really historic cold in interior AK.

 

Interesting, I didn't remember that about 2013. And AK looks to remain in a generally cooler than average pattern for the remainder of the month, so shouldn't lose much ground if any over the next week.

Also see 2002 has eeked its way into yet another analog pool.  Am not particularly impressed with it as a seasonal/low frequency analog, but it has been popping up consistently, even when I'm not looking for it.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

27 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Looking forward to this weekend.  Can't wait for the sunshine. Feels like we haven't had a sunny warm day in awhile.

We haven’t. It’s just that it’s still a little early for the first 80-burger of the year. But I guess spring and fall are now passé and we just lurch from summer to winter and back.

[Doinko]

I didn't realize how hot Friday is looking. KPTV is forecasting 87 degrees

 

[Deweydog]

15 minutes ago, Doinko said:

I didn't realize how hot Friday is looking. KPTV is forecasting 87 degrees

 

The progs for Friday look really impressive by late April standards. 570dm with 850’s around 18-19c is essentially top tier.

4/30/98 is a decent analog although it came in a bit cooler in the mid and upper levels than what is currently modeled. Offshore flow on Friday looks a bit stronger than that day as well and could stall late afternoon warming.

[Gummy]

So stoked for Saturday. Mid 70s shirts and shorts weather. Almost warm enough to take a dip in Lake Washington.

[lowlandsnow]

3 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

April is currently tracking as the 7th coldest on record for them. You'll possibly recall how crazy March/April 2013 was, that was about the last time we saw really historic cold in interior AK.

 

Very cold but colder relative to average on the coast of the Bering Sea Kotzebue is -16 for the month and Nome is -18 (plus tied all time April record min). Fairbanks is only -13 for the month.

[The Cats Meow]

Look at that massive crash.  Wowwweeeee.  Crash crash crash.

Gonna be a nice three or four days though.  Looking forward to some nice warm sunshine.  Oh the blessings.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

3 hours ago, Doinko said:

I didn't realize how hot Friday is looking. KPTV is forecasting 87 degrees

 

New blog post from Mark!

 

[LowerGarfield]

11 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It’s late April, the branches of the dogwood trees are still mostly bare, and the skunk cabbage in Stanley Park (normally a March flower) is just now entering full bloom. And now it looks as if we are about to lurch directly to summer, much like we lurched into winter last October. 27˚C (80˚F) by this Saturday? Whatever happened to the FOUR seasons?

 

I just told me wife that Saturday might be the first AC day of the season for us. 80F at my location that day. We were looking at going for a hike, but given that will be the warmest day of the year so far, might go to the river state park instead. Not that 80F or 85F (hike location) is terrible but not when we're not acclimated yet.

[Doinko]

Nice rainbow this evening

 

 

 

[Omegaraptor]

2 hours ago, The Cats Meow said:

Look at that massive crash.  Wowwweeeee.  Crash crash crash.

Gonna be a nice three or four days though.  Looking forward to some nice warm sunshine.  Oh the blessings.

D**n. Was hoping it would stay at least in the high 80s and keep going up from there as far as the ensembles go out.

[TT-SEA]

27 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

D**n. Was hoping it would stay at least in the high 80s and keep going up from there as far as the ensembles go out.

Crashes are inevitable at this time of year.    Nice thing right now is all the models are showing a return to some more warm weather a couple days later.    It would be nice to get into a variable pattern that includes recurring warm periods rather than just all cold/troughing all the time.   

[TT-SEA]

@SilverFallsAndrew how was that a troll post?   

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

58/46 day so far here. Partly to mostly sunny a good chunk of this afternoon, with some passing areas of dark clouds but only light rain at times. Some clearing now, so could see a sub-40 low by morning before the heat starts to crank up.

[TT-SEA]

How about them Kraken... first home playoff win in their history and in OT!