PNW April 2023 Weather Discussion

[MossMan]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

How about them Kraken... first home playoff win in their history and in OT! 

Was a fantastic game! 

[the_convergence_zone]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

How about them Kraken... first home playoff win in their history and in OT! 

That was incredible. I was worried they were going to fold in the 3rd again but they played fantastic defense. 

I’m in a season ticket group and I get to go to game 6 on Friday night…hoping they are up 3-2 but we will see! 

[ShawniganLake]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Crashes are inevitable at this time of year.    Nice thing right now is all the models are showing a return to some more warm weather a couple days later.    It would be nice to get into a variable pattern that includes recurring warm periods rather than just all cold/troughing all the time.   

Looks beautiful and warm by after day 8 again.  

 

[Omegaraptor]

14 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Looks beautiful and warm by after day 8 again.  

 

Possible 90 in Abbotsford at Day 9. Wasn't expecting that.

[ShawniganLake]

Double barrel heat spike showing up on the EPS now too. 
 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

53 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Double barrel heat spike showing up on the EPS now too. 
 

 

The nightmare begins. 2018 redux?  

Edited April 25, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The nightmare begins. 2018 redux?  

May 2018 was the perfect time to move into our then new place! We were just a day into living here when I took this picture, I had a mountain of yard work in front of me and the weather cooperated. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

Double barrel heat spike showing up on the EPS now too. 
 

 

Rex Block is coming. 

[Omegaraptor]

1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Rex Block is coming. 

Book a trip to the Northwest for some sun and warmth!

[TT-SEA]

12Z GEM abandoned the idea of a second warm spike.   ECMWF might follow suit if history is a guide.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Seriously though, at this point we are definitely due for an above average month or most likely many more. If you look at the last five years, PDX has had no more than 3-4 below average months in a year. We may have already reached our quota. Even if we squeeze out one or two more below average years we will be looking at the coldest calendar year since 2012... Not likely, but possible. 

[RentonHill]

Greening up fast @TT-SEA. Last two days have been gorgeous over there and warmer than home. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, RentonHill said:

Greening up fast @TT-SEA. Last two days have been gorgeous over there and warmer than home. 

Much better for late April!  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

21 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Greening up fast @TT-SEA. Last two days have been gorgeous over there and warmer than home. 

Interesting plot of land. I bet this spot gets great aurora views

[TigerWoodsLibido]

52F and partly cloudy. Gonna try and finally get the yard taken care of in the next couple days.

[Front Ranger]

47 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Greening up fast @TT-SEA. Last two days have been gorgeous over there and warmer than home. 

You've probably shared this in the past, but what do you use this land for? Just a getaway spot?

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is still on board with second warm spike... strange set up though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is still on board with second warm spike... strange set up though.

Looks like a bastard version of the 2021 June heat dome. Can’t wait. 

[RentonHill]

40 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

You've probably shared this in the past, but what do you use this land for? Just a getaway spot?

My fathers retirement getaway/project. We’ve been slowly putting in orchards and vineyard plots the last couple years. 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like a bastard version of the 2021 June heat dome. Can’t wait. 

[TT-SEA]

Pretty good set up for convection at the end of the 12Z ECMWF... particularly for Oregon.

[RentonHill]

[T-Town]

Spring has sprung here in God’s country. 

[MossMan]

Slow but steady color wise! About 2-3 weeks behind the last 5 years of being here. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, RentonHill said:

California goes back to February next week.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Slow but steady color wise! About 2-3 weeks behind the last 5 years of being here. 

No photos to share right now, but same here. Suspect the plants will be doing a lot of catch-up this week and by the time Monday rolls around won’t be nearly so delayed compared to last year.

[TT-SEA]

24 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

No photos to share right now, but same here. Suspect the plants will be doing a lot of catch-up this week and by the time Monday rolls around won’t be nearly so delayed compared to last year.

Well eventually it will catch up of course.   But this will be another year with leaves on the trees late into fall.

[the_convergence_zone]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Well eventually it will catch up of course.   But this will be another year with leaves on the trees late into fall.

Why would spring have anything to do with what happens in the fall? The trees have no memory of spring. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

6 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Why would spring have anything to do with what happens in the fall? The trees have no memory of spring. 

Deciduous trees retained their foliage abnormally late last year (caused significant damage here during the first significant snowfall of the season), and the theory was that this was caused by them leafing out abnormally late as well.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Why would spring have anything to do with what happens in the fall? The trees have no memory of spring. 

Apparently they do.    I remember the same thing happened in 2008 and 2011 with the trees holding onto their leaves late into the fall.   And of course last year after the very late and stunted start.     The complete opposite happened in 2016.   The trees were strikingly bare by early October that year.   They started changing colors in August... after leafing out in March.

My guess is that they have a built in time period requirement that they need to be fully leafed out each year.   But that is just a guess.   We can check back on this topic in late November.    I am willing to bet there will be lots of trees with leaves at Thanksgiving... way more than usual.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Apparently they do.    I remember the same thing happened in 2008 and 2011 with the trees holding onto their leaves late into the fall.   And of course last year after the very late and stunted start.     The complete opposite happened in 2016.   The trees were strikingly bare by early October that year.   They started changing colors in August... after leafing out in March.

My guess is that they have a built in time period requirement that they need to be fully leafed out each year.   But that is just a guess.   We can check back on this topic in late November.    I am willing to bet there will be lots of trees with leaves at Thanksgiving... way more than usual.

I'm pretty sure they have an internal clock. Required time to be dormant and fully leafed. Will be interesting to see if this Fall confirms this. 

[TT-SEA]

Putting out patio furniture today.   I am pretty sure this is the latest ever.   Just not motivated to deal with it until today.

[T-Town]

33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Apparently they do.    I remember the same thing happened in 2008 and 2011 with the trees holding onto their leaves late into the fall.   And of course last year after the very late and stunted start.     The complete opposite happened in 2016.   The trees were strikingly bare by early October that year.   They started changing colors in August... after leafing out in March.

My guess is that they have a built in time period requirement that they need to be fully leafed out each year.   But that is just a guess.   We can check back on this topic in late November.    I am willing to bet there will be lots of trees with leaves at Thanksgiving... way more than usual.

There is unrest in the forest?  Trouble with the trees?

[GHweatherChris]

Interesting set up on Friday, legitimately could be warmer at KHQM right on the water than here, doesn't happen often, but it can happen.

[TT-SEA]

Enjoying an IPA on deck right now.    Low 60s and sunny and completely calm feels like 80.

[T-Town]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Putting out patio furniture today.   I am pretty sure this is the latest ever.   Just not motivated to deal with it until today.

I’ve had the cushions on the stuff that’s under cover for a while now. Might be time to put out the stuff that sits in the weather. 

[TT-SEA]

Trees finally filling out in North Bend.

[T-Town]

Bella says bring on spring. 

[MossMan]

53 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Enjoying an IPA on deck right now.    Low 60s and sunny and completely calm feels like 80.

At soccer practice which is featuring very muddy fields! 

[Anti Marine Layer]

6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is still on board with second warm spike... strange set up though.

That ... will ... be .... quite ... the ... Rex .... Block. 

Big Bear could get snow while people in Seattle die from heat stroke.