jcmcgaffey Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 3 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I feel pretty confident everywhere from BLI to EUG will hit 70 next week. It’s not hard to do at all at this point with even a little ridging. Ya especially at SEA which usually tends to over-perform in those situations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said: Ya especially at SEA which usually tends to over-perform in those situations. Yup. Often wildly. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 00Z GFS a little more crashy late next weekend... 00Z GEM much less so compared to its 12Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 9 hours ago, Front Ranger said: Important to remember, however, that Canada only has 15 cities. Still in the top 2/3rds. Not bad! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Nice night at the airport. Love watching the planes take off and land. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 5 hours ago, GHweatherChris said: I take my leafs off anytime I want. I thought that was Jim in the fall. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 4 hours ago, MossMan said: Think I see a dead branch…I will send you my emotional support hat to borrow. Looool Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Already seeing the El Niño flavor on the LR GEFS. Tight ITCZ/retracted HC, less subsidence/4CH. Been awhile! 6 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 21 minutes ago, Phil said: Already seeing the El Niño flavor on the LR GEFS. Tight ITCZ/retracted HC, less subsidence/4CH. Been awhile! Beautiful. 1 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Awakened by rolling thunder and the sound of heavy rain on our patio. 00Z ECMWF and EPS look nice... more stable warmth as opposed to spike and huge crash. 5 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Low of 45 this morning…think that’s the warmest low so far this month! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 57 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Low of 45 this morning…think that’s the warmest low so far this month! Love how the 12Z GFS is showing early morning temps close to 60 later in the week. Tree leafing friendly weather 24 hours a day coming up. This might be one of the fastest transformations possible given that everything is so delayed and just waiting to explode. Just 2 or 3 warm days should do the trick. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 12Z GFS completely abandons the ULL scenario and brings a trough in Sunday with a big crash. 00Z EPS was not even close that idea so will need to see more consistency to believe it but it would make sense in terms of climo. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Love how the 12Z GFS is showing early morning temps close to 60 later in the week. Tree leafing friendly weather 24 hours a day coming up. This might be one of the fastest transformations possible given that everything is so delayed and just waiting to explode. I am also getting sexually excited about tree leafing. 2 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Just now, FroYoBro said: I am also getting sexually excited about tree leafing. Some people on here get pretty excited about leaves turning in the fall too. Trees seems to drive lots of preferences on here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Drizzly. 0.06” this morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 In terms of quick landscape transformations... this coming week is probably second only to a major snowstorm. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 9 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Awakened by rolling thunder and the sound of heavy rain on our patio. 00Z ECMWF and EPS look nice... more stable warmth as opposed to spike and huge crash. Vacation ruined? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Vacation ruined? It was pretty cool. And now it's a gorgeous day again. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 You can still see the back side of the front moving off to the NE. 1 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 This cloud is making lots of noise. ️ 5 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Loving the pattern progression on the 12z GFS 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 50 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Some people on here get pretty excited about leaves turning in the fall too. Trees seems to drive lots of preferences on here. I just can't help it 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Mostly cloudy and 51 here after a mild low of 47. One of the warmest lows of the year to date. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 GEM looks fairly crashing following the ridge now too. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Big time spike in AAM on the EPS weeklies. Should be a much more zonal pattern once that westerly momentum gets transported poleward/off the equator next month. 5 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 12 minutes ago, Phil said: Big time spike in AAM on the EPS weeklies. Should be a much more zonal pattern once that westerly momentum gets transported poleward/off the equator next month. Interestingly the jet stream comes back into the picture and crashes the ridge party pretty early on the latest Euro run. 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Really nice progression on the Euro overall. I expect more wild swings going forward though. Seems like a pretty volatile pattern that the models are having some issues handling. The 12z Euro shows PDX hitting 80 or higher next Friday, before the crash. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 (edited) Finally time to admit winter is over. Should be a lovely spring. Edited April 22, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew 3 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Finally time to admit winter is over. Should be a lovely spring. I would buy a whole calendar full of these. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Just now, BLI snowman said: I would buy a whole calendar full of these. I think summer starts right around now on the Nelsen calendar. Runs until Columbus Day or so. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Getting mild out there. Already up to 57. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 61 in Corvallis with a DP of 54. You can almost hear the plants singing. Really nice out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: 61 in Corvallis with a DP of 54. You can almost hear the plants singing. Really nice out. The green fog advisory must have been extended to the central Willamette valley. 1 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Secondary line of storms forming to the west here. Might get crazy after 6 or 7 p.m. This could be fun. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Secondary line of storms forming to the west here. Might get crazy after 6 or 7 p.m. This could be fun. It was decent here. Did not meet severe criteria locally, but probably ~ 45mph winds and nice lightning. Oh, and windblown sheets of #blessings. Badly needed. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Secondary line of storms forming to the west here. Might get crazy after 6 or 7 p.m. This could be fun. There is a sea breeze boundary evident on radar. Will be interesting to see what happens if/when those storms interact with it. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Very mild day. Btw the property next to me is being divided into 6 lots 5-11 acres. Go on sale in July for about $300k. Apparently the development was approved in 2005 and they are finally getting around to it. If anyone wants to live at 1600’… 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 Absolutely fantastic weather in the forecast next weekend. FINALLY! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted April 22, 2023 Report Share Posted April 22, 2023 61 here with filtered sunshine. Was not expecting that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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