August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TT-SEA]

With the ULL out of the way late this week it looks like there could be enough northwesterly flow to give us at least a few partial marine layer days.

 

 

Indeed... just in the time for the weekend.

 

 

 

And for those who missed it before... ignore day 10 on the 12Z run (that is the high through 5 a.m.)

[Deweydog]

Nah, I’m not enough of a pu$$y that I need one just for forum relations.

 

There isn’t anyone who constantly fights my battles for me, and that’s just fine.

If you were a pu$$y I’d grab you by it.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Indeed.

 

 

 

And for those who missed it before... ignore day 10 on the 12Z run (that is the high through 5 a.m.)

 

Blast furnace...

[Omegaraptor]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Thanks! Loved it, what a treat!

A few years ago I kayaked the Salmon river down below. I wanted to kayak towards the sea but was a bit nervous of the tides. Didn’t want to get sucked out to sea so I kayaked inland. Next time going to kayak west...just looks so inviting

Will plan it this time so tide can carry me out then when the tide pushes in begin the journey back. May need to throw a fishing poll in and just chill!

I've never kayaked down there but that would sound fun, kayaking downstream towards the Pacific. Bring a bobber and some cured eggs too and catch one of those Fall Chinook hogs they have out there!

[El_Nina]

Do you have one of the UHI tracker apps? Free at the App Store, just like the several apps for tracking King County foothill summer cloud cover.

Jeez, he didn't even complain or say anything negative broski.

[Deweydog]

Jeez, he didn't even complain or say anything negative broski.

I know, right? He’s got it rough.

[El_Nina]

I know, right? He’s got it rough.

I was just surprised that in particular got so much of your attention.

[Jesse]

I was just surprised that in particular got so much of your attention.

Matt’s been in a fight picking mood the last few days. Maybe Tim isn’t paying him enough.

[MossMan]

[Jesse]

[Phil]

Indeed... just in the time for the weekend.

 

 

 

And for those who missed it before... ignore day 10 on the 12Z run (that is the high through 5 a.m.)

Another week-2 heatwave?

 

I wonder how much it’ll be watered down this time, lol. Over/under on 20 degrees?

[Jesse]

Another week-2 heatwave?

 

I wonder how much it’ll be watered down this time, lol. Over/under on 20 degrees?

PNW heat events LOVE crushing this sort of hubris. Trust me I’ve invoked their wrath many times before.

[Jesse]

EPS definitely looks troughier than the operational days 6-10. Mainly due to the fact that it’s a lot less aggressive with that piece of cutoff energy that splits away from the main trough around day 6.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Picture1.png

 

It appears that the Seattle-area, Portland-area, and most importantly, the majority of the Cascades, have been subject to less substantial warming since the Industrial Revolution than the rest of the Western US. The high desert in eastern Oregon appears to have undergone one of the most substantial changes. Since our snowpack is often from snow that falls just at or just below the melting point, small temp increases could have large impacts out this way.

 

Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/the-energy-202/2019/08/13/the-energy-202-here-s-where-the-u-s-is-warming-the-fastest/5d51956f602ff1306728b15d/?noredirect=on

Thanks for sharing. So over a 100 years ago, parts of the Southeast were warmer than they are today. That's pretty incredible to see. Maybe the SE ridge was more common and stronger back in the 19th century.

[Jesse]

Thanks for sharing. So over a 100 years ago, parts of the Southeast were warmer than they are today. That's pretty incredible to see. Maybe the SE ridge was more common and stronger back in the 19th century.

I think a suppressed but strong SE ridge/Bermuda high generally correlates pretty well with periods of cooler global temperatures.

[Jesse]

Surprise 90 in the cards today?

 

85 at PDX as of 2pm.

 

We are about to get on the road to Deer Park. Meeting my dad up there who already got a spot. Weather should be about perfect the next two days.

[Phil]

I think a suppressed but strong SE ridge/Bermuda high generally correlates pretty well with periods of cooler global temperatures.

Yes, parts of the NATL and NPAC were warmer as well thanks to intensified anticyclones/subsidence.

 

All kinds of chicken/egg/hatchling stuff going on.

[jakeinthevalley]

Can't believe someone free solo'd this chunk of rock.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Surprise 90 in the cards today?

 

85 at PDX as of 2pm.

 

We are about to get on the road to Deer Park. Meeting my dad up there who already got a spot. Weather should be about perfect the next two days.

 

Surprise 90 in the cards today?

 

85 at PDX as of 2pm.

 

We are about to get on the road to Deer Park. Meeting my dad up there who already got a spot. Weather should be about perfect the next two days.

 

Brian Schmidt called it.

[Jesse]

Brian Schmidt called it.

WOW

[jakeinthevalley]

Just finished the front yard after several days of neglect. (I may have a problem)

[Deweydog]

Just finished the front yard after several days of neglect. (I may have a problem)

That’s dead sexy.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just finished the front yard after several days of neglect. (I may have a problem)

Makes my mowing look bush league. Well done!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Whether or not we have a warm end of August, I still feel good about October - January 20th.

[Phil]

FWIW, here is how it's discussed in the article: "For all the rising temperatures, there is one part of the country that has not warmed significantly since 1895. It's the Deep South, especially Mississippi and Alabama. A combination of atmospheric cycles driven by the Pacific and Atlantic oceans and particle pollution from cars and factories have contributed to modest cooling in some counties in the already balmy region."

Eh anthropogenic aerosol production has declined substantially in that region since the turn of the 20th century, and it was relatively mediocre to begin with. Impossible for that to have outweighed the urbanization and deforestation/landscape changes that would have added to warming there.

[jakeinthevalley]

Crappy pic, but earlier in the year. It's my hobby

[TT-SEA]

Crappy pic, but earlier in the year. It's my hobby

 

 

I wish more people took pride in their yard like this.    

[Guest CulverJosh]

Boring pattern setting up. I put the over/under on fights at 25 for the next 10 days.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

FWIW, here is how it's discussed in the article: "For all the rising temperatures, there is one part of the country that has not warmed significantly since 1895. It's the Deep South, especially Mississippi and Alabama. A combination of atmospheric cycles driven by the Pacific and Atlantic oceans and particle pollution from cars and factories have contributed to modest cooling in some counties in the already balmy region."

I see, I missed that part. Air pollution out here can cap high temperatures in the summer so that makes sense for them.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Can't believe someone free solo'd this chunk of rock.

Where is that? That's insane but you only live once on Earth!

[jakeinthevalley]

Where is that? That's insane but you only live once on Earth!

El Capitan in the Yosemite Valley. Taken on Sunday during our visit.

 

3000' of vertical granite off the valley floor. You can stand at the base and look straight up. Amazing!!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Just finished the front yard after several days of neglect. (I may have a problem)

Looks like a baseball field. Love the lawn stripe pattern. I'm particularly fond of the checkerboard pattern.

[Guest CulverJosh]

Hey Mat. Prediction for first snow in Bend/Redmond?

[High Desert Mat?]

Hey Mat. Prediction for first snow in Bend/Redmond?

November 18th for Bend, and Thanksgiving for Redmond.

[Guest CulverJosh]

And never for Culver. Lol.

[High Desert Mat?]

Culver will be on Presidents’ Day.

[Guest CulverJosh]

As long as we dont get donut holed.

[Guest CulverJosh]

You need an avatar, Mat.

[Omegaraptor]

 

 

About 70 here with a light breeze. How’s the weather inland?