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August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW


Omegaraptor

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Evening out from the favorable timing earlier this warm season.

 

 

I thought the favorable timing earlier this warm season was nature trying to be kind during the period when it was basically completely cloudy here for 24 out of 30 days... I did not know that was a debt that had to be re-paid.    :unsure:

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I think we can all use a nice evening out once in a while. Perhaps a nice dinner at Applebee’s followed by standing outside Domebuster’s bedroom window while he has coitus.

 

 

Feelin' good in the neighborhood!  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Here is Saturday at 5 p.m. per the ECMWF... low clouds hang tough all day except for the usual spots around Victoria and south of Portland where all-day low clouds are virtually unknown in the warm season and they don't even know what we are talking about.   ;)

 

ecmwf-washington-total-cloud-6086400.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Guest CulverJosh

I think we can all use a nice evening out once in a while. Perhaps a nice dinner at Applebee’s followed by standing outside Domebuster’s bedroom window while he has coitus.

Be waiting a while. According to Phil Im a virgin, lol.

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ECMWF is trending a little warmer for Tuesday again... it once showed 100 for Portland and then down to 84 on the next run and now back into the low 90s.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12Z ECMWF also shows a decent band of rain on Wednesday morning up north and on Vancouver Island which falls apart as it moves inland that day... but it knocks the temps way down.

 

Then it quickly turns warm again.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Doubt it. Been horrific and it sadly looks to continue. Not our year.

 

 

Unless we are mimicking Scotland or southern Iceland... its pretty horrific.     The weather in the summer in Portland is usually exactly like Scotland.

 

Untitled.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Smoke to the south of the Eugene/Springfield metro area. Is is still the Canyonville fire?

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Guest CulverJosh

He’s had to go a little more Victorian since he was trespassed from just about every highway rest stop in the tri-state area.

I went to the movies with Pee Wee Herman back in the 90s as well.

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Been a few days since I’ve seen the gfs. Looks pretty wet for coastal BC through day 10. Rain on day 7 for western WA too.

We could use some rain I guess. The main stations on southern Vancouver Island have less than 0.2” so far in August. Shawnigan Lake scored a heavy shower one night and is close to 0.5”. Cowichan Lake is about to drop below the outflow level for the river, which would be a first. The plan is to pump water from the lake into the river to keep it flowing and save the ecosystem.

 

1071BC55-208C-4CA9-A35D-EC9D899F4D59.png

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We could use some rain I guess. The main stations on southern Vancouver Island have less than 0.2” so far in August. Shawnigan Lake scored a heavy shower one night and is close to 0.5”. Cowichan Lake is about to drop below the outflow level for the river, which would be a first. The plan is to pump water from the lake into the river to keep it flowing and save the ecosystem.

 

1071BC55-208C-4CA9-A35D-EC9D899F4D59.png

wow I’m surprised that the lake is that low. I don’t follow the exact rain totals of BC normally, I assumed BC and Vancouver island were doing alright with recent rains.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Nice to be back at home in Tacoma. Sunny and 73 degrees here. Was pretty cloudy most of the drive back from the goat rocks, sun seemed to start to break through here about when I arrived.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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The weather this time of year is so freaking boring. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Yet another drier than normal warm season is virtually assured at this point.

 

120dPNormWRCC-NW.png

People I know and talk to keep saying this has been a wet cool summer. Kind of hard to explain actual weather information to people who don’t understand and follow it as closely as I do lol. Definitely not wet at all. The normal astronomical summer has been a bit below average to average, but in terms of the warm season May-September it’s been pretty dry.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Yet another drier than normal warm season is virtually assured at this point. 

 

attachicon.gif120dPNormWRCC-NW.png

 

 

And yet... most of King County has managed to be significantly wetter than normal through the heart of summer which helps offset the effects of a dry spring.  

 

anomimage.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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18z GFS shows a little thinner cloud cover on Sunday than the 12z did. Temps a few degrees warmer.

 

It is the 18z though, so...

 

 

It looks almost exactly like the 12Z ECMWF for Sunday... might be a little afternoon sun that day.    Not much hope for Saturday... and I suspect tomorrow might be the same.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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And yet... most of King County has managed to be significantly wetter than normal through the heart of summer which helps offset the effects of a dry spring.

 

anomimage.gif

Sure. But the overall late spring through summer period that has been so dry in recent years? That hasn't changed this year.

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