Phil Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 It’s early, but given the evolution of the pattern since mid/late August, I think the progression through the first third of winter has become clearer than it would have been otherwise. Been experimenting with a multitude of potential evolutions but there’s one in particular that the system appears to be following, almost to a tee. I think I’m about ready to make a prediction for N/D/J. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 It’s early, but given the evolution of the pattern since mid/late August, I think the progression through the first third of winter has become clearer than it would have been otherwise. Been experimenting with all sorts of potential evolutions but there’s one in particular this the system appears to be following to a tee. I think I’m about ready to make a prediction for N/D/J. Oh god...this is worse than a cliffhanger at the end of an episode of Stranger Things! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks pretty chilly. Would be another shot of lows in the 30s with that pattern. Nice to see the gfs sticking with the same pattern the last several days. Has been consistent. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Oh god...this is worse than a cliffhanger at the end of an episode of Stranger Things!Ha. I just want to make sure I’m not missing anything obvious. Give a few hours. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Was cooler than I expected this morning. Hit 34 at SLE again. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 -10 departures at SLE and EUG yesterday. SCORE. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Low of 36 here this morning. Third consecutive low in the 30s. Ditto for EUG and Springfield both got down to 36F with 33F dewpoints. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Why have I never heard of half of these? I would of thought cheese curds in Wisconsin but the slices are probably cheaper to sell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Fried alligator is good!I want to try this. Does it taste like chicken? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 The story of October could be cool nights... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks like I will be going to Spokane in November. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 The story of October could be cool nights... So far, this a GREAT call. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks like I will be going to Spokane in November.Moving or just a trip? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks like I will be going to Spokane in November.Hopefully there will still be some snow left in the shade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Sea tac had an average temp of 52 degrees over the last 4 days. This is the coolest stretch of weather recorded there since late September 1983. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks like I will be going to Spokane in November. IF everything works out, I am moving over there this coming spring early summer. #Spokane2020orbust Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Moving or just a trip? Just for work. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Another low of 24 today, after having a low of 25 yesterday. I'll be watching the average low this week and compare it to other years in the beginning of October. These mid-20's some years only come in singles and go right back up to around or near freezing. 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks like I will be going to Spokane in November. We have been looking at property over in Spokane last month or so, not 100% certain yet but sometime next year may be moving there. I was curious how their winters compare to here. 3 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 We have been looking at property over in Spokane last month or so, not 100% certain yet but sometime next year may be moving there. I was curious how their winters compare to here.They are actually a little colder I think. I think the average temp in Spokane mid-winter is 34/22 compared to 40/20 for K-Falls. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 They are actually a little colder I think. I think the average temp in Spokane mid-winter is 34/22 compared to 40/20 for K-Falls. I see that they average roughly the same or slightly more snowfall, but the number I came up with was "yearly" which usually means Jan-Dec. I can't find a seasonal snowfall avg. Anyhow, they should still have Spring and Fall right, their elevation is a lot lower. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Had a meeting in downtown Tacoma yesterday. And for the record... downtown Tacoma is actually quite nice. But when I came out out to my car... the driver side window was smashed in with glass everywhere. And they hit at least 5 more cars in the same row. They cleaned out my console and got about $10 in change. Hope that was worth the effort! And hope they cut themselves up on all the glass which was all over the entire interior. They also left me with a $350 repair bill. <_> Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 I see that they average roughly the same or slightly more snowfall, but the number I came up with was "yearly" which usually means Jan-Dec. I can't find a seasonal snowfall avg. Anyhow, they should still have Spring and Fall right, their elevation is a lot lower. https://wrcc.dri.edu/cgi-bin/cliMAIN.pl?wa7938 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Had a meeting in downtown Tacoma yesterday. And for the record... downtown Tacoma is actually quite nice. But when I came out out to my car... the driver side window was smashed in with glass everywhere. And they hit at least 5 more cars in the same row. They cleaned out my console and got about $10 in change. Hope that was worth the effort! And hope they cut themselves up on all the glass which was all over the entire interior. They also left me with a $350 repair bill. <_> Overall it does not surprise me this happened in Tacoma. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 https://wrcc.dri.edu/cgi-bin/cliMAIN.pl?wa7938 Nice, doesn't seem like too much of a change of weather overall. Dec/Jan is about the same snowfall plus maybe an inch. July average high is the same as KLMT even. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Had a meeting in downtown Tacoma yesterday. And for the record... downtown Tacoma is actually quite nice. But when I came out out to my car... the driver side window was smashed in with glass everywhere. And they hit at least 5 more cars in the same row. They cleaned out my console and got about $10 in change. Hope that was worth the effort! And hope they cut themselves up on all the glass which was all over the entire interior. They also left me with a $350 repair bill. <_> I assume you were either downtown or on the south side of town. Never see that stuff in my nieghboorhood but all the time south of 6th ave. Sorry to hear that! Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Didn’t see the “I was in downtown Tacoma” part of that, lol. There’s been a lot of money going into making hilltop and downtown safer and more high end, but there’s obviously still plenty of problems. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Didn’t see the “I was in downtown Tacoma” part of that, lol. There’s been a lot of money going into making hilltop and downtown safer and more high end, but there’s obviously still plenty of problems. It can happen anywhere. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Had a meeting in downtown Tacoma yesterday. And for the record... downtown Tacoma is actually quite nice. But when I came out out to my car... the driver side window was smashed in with glass everywhere. And they hit at least 5 more cars in the same row. They cleaned out my console and got about $10 in change. Hope that was worth the effort! And hope they cut themselves up on all the glass which was all over the entire interior. They also left me with a $350 repair bill. <_>Another victim of low solar... 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks like the Euro is slowly caving to the GFS for next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks like the Euro is slowly caving to the GFS for next week. It was only a matter of time. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Still the 12Z ECMWF only shows a quick shot of rain on Tuesday afternoon for about 3 hours and then back to dry and sunny. A much drier pattern has emerged now... more normal for this time of year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 It was only a matter of time.Looks like another trough getting ready to move in at hour 216. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 62 and sunny here with a little breeze picking up. Very nice day. The ECMWF had shown lots of rain for today on the runs this past weekend... but it turned out much nicer. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Also looks like a really nice weekend ahead... that is a big improvement compared to the runs late last week and over this past weekend. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Had a meeting in downtown Tacoma yesterday. And for the record... downtown Tacoma is actually quite nice. But when I came out out to my car... the driver side window was smashed in with glass everywhere. And they hit at least 5 more cars in the same row. They cleaned out my console and got about $10 in change. Hope that was worth the effort! And hope they cut themselves up on all the glass which was all over the entire interior. They also left me with a $350 repair bill. <_>Oh man that sucks. My car was broken into before in downtown Portland. Only had a bunch of pennies in there and they took it all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 It can happen anywhere.I was gonna say, we had a bunch of break ins in our neighbourhood 2 nights ago. People breaking into garages and stealing things like dirt bikes and tools. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Oh man that sucks. My car was broken into before in downtown Portland. Only had a bunch of pennies in there and they took it all.Desperate for drug money I am sure. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Desperate for drug money I am sure. Carhoppers, they hit all the change in your car specifically and then go cash in at Safeway at the coin star machines. Amazing how desperate drugs makes people. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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