El_Nina Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Just give me a jet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChilliwackBCwx Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Wow I couldn't believe I just came across Steve Pool is retiring, growing up in Vancouver here I would alway's tune into Seattle forecasters just because they were more professional then what we had on t.v. up here. I mostly watched Harry Wappler later his son, and Ray Ramsey, KING t.v. a bit but not as much mostly Jeff Renner, I remember when Steve was interning with Ray Ramsay. Man I'm getting old will have to watch his final forecast next week as well as the special on Dec. 1st. "happy retirement Steve from an avid Canadian watcher". 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 No night shift I see...6z must have been bad. Currently 32 and smoky. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 No night shift I see...6z must have been bad. Currently 32 and smoky. It was okay. Nothing special. The 2nd wave of cold air drops a few hundred miles east. Ensembles essentially unchanged. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 PDX just joined the 32 family. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 6z GFS Ensembles 6z GEFS came in colder. In fact, the best ensembles yet. These are really quite chilly and now are back to supporting a significant backdoor cold shot. PDX Mean temp down to -7c and holds at below -5c from November 26th - 30th. We do not reach 0c until December 4th. Seattle mean temp down to -8c. Yakima down to -12c with a large cluster to -14c. 850s for the Columbia Basin remain at -5c or colder through December 3rd. Impressive. This means there is support for modified arctic air to lock in Gorge/east and a prolonged cold spell with a hefty cold pool and strong, icy east wind blasting through the Gorge. What changed overnight? In my analysis yesterday I mentioned how the ridge of high pressure we are watching was over Japan and that models were still trying to initialized how to handle it, where it merges with our offshore ridge, and that exactly where the block sets up along with the degree of tilt/amplification would not be known for another 1-2 days. This morning's 6z GFS/GEFS shows this and sets the block up further a bit east along with a touch more amplification. Thus there is better support for colder air to be pulled down over WA/OR. IF that trend continues we could possibly see models turn even a bit colder than this. We'll see.... C'MON!!!! Portland http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png Seattle http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png Yakima http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Yakima_USA_ens.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 No night shift I see...6z must have been bad. Currently 32 and smoky.Nah. I was exhausted went to sleep before 11:30 PM. 12z GFS in 41 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 I'm happy for Farmboy.It's just gonna be some 52° - 53° showers down here, nothing really exciting. Refreshing though after the brutal last 2 weeks of September through October period... 1 Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 28 degrees and crystal clear. This pouring rain is starting to bum me out. Looking forward to the next model runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 6z GEFS The DallesTemperatures well below freezing in the Gorge for over a week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 6z GFS Ensembles 6z GEFS came in colder. In fact, the best ensembles yet. These are really quite chilly and now are back to supporting a significant backdoor cold shot. PDX Mean temp down to -7c and holds at below -5c from November 26th - 30th. We do not reach 0c until December 4th. Seattle mean temp down to -8c. Yakima down to -12c with a large cluster to -14c. 850s for the Columbia Basin remain at -5c or colder through December 3rd. Impressive. This means there is support for modified arctic air to lock in Gorge/east and a prolonged cold spell with a hefty cold pool and strong, icy east wind blasting through the Gorge. What changed overnight? In my analysis yesterday I mentioned how the ridge of high pressure we are watching was over Japan and that models were still trying to initialized how to handle it, where it merges with our offshore ridge, and that exactly where the block sets up along with the degree of tilt/amplification would not be known for another 1-2 days. This morning's 6z GFS/GEFS shows this and sets the block up further a bit east along with a touch more amplification. Thus there is better support for colder air to be pulled down over WA/OR. IF that trend continues we could possibly see models turn even a bit colder than this. We'll see.... C'MON!!!! Portlandhttp://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png Seattlehttp://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png Yakima http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Yakima_USA_ens.pngSure would be nice if that straggler at the end came into fruition. -23C 850’s? Wouldn’t that be a record by far? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 A frosty 29F this morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 00z GEFS Teleconnections Indices forecast -PNA mega tanking and -EPO is projected to flip strongly negative Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Sure would be nice if that straggler at the end came into fruition. -23C 850’s? Wouldn’t that be a record by far?I could be mistaken, but I think for PDX the record for 850s is -20c during December 1990? Someone feel free to correct me if that is not accurate. 12z ECMWF in 2 hours 29 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Less leaf blower exhaust and more of a start of a hydroplane rooster tail in the extended. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 I could be mistaken, but I think for PDX the record for 850s is -20c during December 1990? Someone feel free to correct me if that is not accurate. 12z ECMWF in 2 hours 29 minutes -22.1C over Salem. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 -22.1C over Salem. Was it December 1990? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 27 so far this morning at EUG and SLE. 29 up here. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Was it December 1990? Yes 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 12z! 12/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 YesThanks. WRF maps would have been fun during that! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 11/20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Another frosty 30˚F morning in north Bellingham. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Ah, 1990, the year I bought my first home. In Shoreline, right in the heart of PSCZ country. I said to myself, "Self, this is a mild climate. You won't need to buy a snow shovel here." Then Dec. 18th happened. I measured 14" in my front lawn. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Ah, 1990, the year I bought my first home. In Shoreline, right in the heart of PSCZ country. I said to myself, "Self, this is a mild climate. You won't need to buy a snow shovel here." Then Dec. 18th happened. I measured 14" in my front lawn. At one point here... I think we were getting 14 inches every 3 hours way back in February of 2019. The 1 year anniversary is less than 3 months away now! Its been so long ago... seems like yesterday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 It actually shows a little bit of snow for the Puget Sound area. No doubt the surface pressure gradients look utterly perfect for maximizing the cold potential.Yeah, wouldn't surprise me if we see some deformation band setup somewhere north of where the low tracks as it makes its way inland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 12z GFS Day 2 ridge merger beginning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Yeah, wouldn't surprise me if we see some deformation band setup somewhere north of where the low tracks as it makes its way inland.Right around the OR/CA border would be just about right. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 The low is so far south the deformation band, if there is one, wil probably set up right over me in Redmond Oregon. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Looks juicier so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Block a touch stronger the past 4 tuns now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Day 5 A touch colder than 6z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Anyone have a 12z precip map for Tuesday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Eh, 522 line never gets here. We’ll get ‘em next time. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted November 22, 2019 Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Los Angeles is going to go into a frenzy. 3 days of rain and it wont get out of the 50s. Everyone panic!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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