TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 At very least, I'm definitely F5ing more often the last couple of days than I had been lately 2 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 At very least, I'm definitely F5ing more often the last couple of days than I had been lately It's days like this that I wish we could somehow pair this topic with a Discord. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 The models aren’t placing “really” cold air over us. Looks to bottom out around -8 to -10c 850mb temps. The really cold stuff doesn’t really make it here.Plenty cold for lowland snow. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Plenty cold for lowland snow. totally agree. I was refuting his statement that models are overdoing cold due to lack of amplification. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Plenty cold for lowland snow.I'm definitely liking my chances of at the least some CZ snow sometime between January 3rd and 8th. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 totally agree. I was refuting his statement that models are overdoing cold due to lack of amplification.Gotcha. EPS moves the timing up nicely as well. Cold air is already moving in at day 7. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Plenty cold for lowland snow. Looks like marginal cold at the moment. Kind of like Feb 2018...not really super cold but enough to deliver 35 degree wet snow in the day and accumulating snow at night time possibly...that's how it was here locally anyways. Really too early to speculate specific info since it'll change several times likely over the next few days. Hopeful that it'll lead to something interesting though. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I'm only seeing chilly onshore flow on the EPS. Boring. Until we see heights build into southern Alaska as the 12z EURO Op showed there is nothing I'm excited about. I hope to see models/ensembles trend that way over the next 3-4 days. The block can't be further west than 160 W, period. We need amplification and better tilt at least have the block standing upright not leaning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Looks like marginal cold at the moment. Kind of like Feb 2018...not really super cold but enough to deliver 35 degree wet snow in the day and accumulating snow at night time possibly...that's how it was here locally anyways. Really too early to speculate specific info since it'll change several times likely over the next few days. Hopeful that it'll lead to something interesting though.Glad this is showing up in January, and not the end of the season. Of course still a week away but I’m encouraged. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Still plenty of time for improvements. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I'm only seeing chilly onshore flow on the EPS. Boring. Until we see heights build into southern Alaska as the 12z EURO Op showed there is nothing I'm excited about. I hope to see models/ensembles trend that way over the next 3-4 days. The block can't be further west than 160 W, period. We need amplification and better tilt at least have the block standing upright not leaning.Everything within 10 days is trending better in the models (comparing previous model runs by the same model) and the pattern development is moving up in timing. About all you can ask for at this point. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Glad this is showing up in January, and not the end of the season. Of course still a week away but I’m encouraged.Yeah, this pattern at this time of year compared to 6 weeks from now makes a big difference. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I organized my snow monster making gear in the garage. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Still pretty early but feel like we may be headed somewhere interesting finally after being boring for awhile. Feels like the build up to something fun.I’m also enjoying the model runs and the positive possibilities of some winter fun! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Yeah, this pattern at this time of year compared to 6 weeks from now makes a big difference.Big time. It takes a fairly extreme pattern to deliver worthwhile snow once we get well into February. In the heart of January all it takes is a decent trough, offshore flow with an approaching low, or a low to your South. Arctic air is obviously a nice bonus, but it's far from a requirement this time of year. 2 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Anyone get a Peloton shovel for Christmas? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Anyone get a Peloton shovel for Christmas? got my wife one 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Again...nobody say a goddam thing. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I'm definitely liking my chances of at the least some CZ snow sometime between January 3rd and 8th.I would be too...but I'll be in Boise Jan 1-5. Should definitely be nice and cold there, but I still prefer it when it happens in our neck of the woods. 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I already broke the flatscreen monitor practicing with it for next month. You must be planning to do some heavy duty frontloading. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 You must be planning to do some heavy duty frontloading.I wouldn’t count your trolls until they hatch, big guy... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I stand corrected. I just saw a EPS 10-15 day map. It looked real good and very close to exceptional. Slight tinkering of the pattern mainly with tilt/amplification and we would see favorable heights over southern Alaska to drive the arctic air further south. Very encouraging. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I stand corrected. I just saw a EPS 10-15 day map. It looked real good and very close to exceptional. Slight tinkering of the pattern mainly with tilt/amplification and we would see favorable heights over southern Alaska to drive the arctic air further south. Very encouraging. Should be an interesting few days of model riding. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Best looking EURO/ensembles run since January 2004? 2008? It has been years for sure since we've seen anything close to this and setting up inside Day 7. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Again...nobody say a goddam thing.Weather apps have kinda screwed you if you are really superstation about that. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I wouldn’t count your trolls until they hatch, big guy...Very true! It would be foolish to frontload all of my trolling into the first month of winter (minus two days for Thanksgiving!) before seeing how the rest of it even pans out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Very true! It would be foolish to frontload all of my trolling into the first month of winter (minus two days for Thanksgiving!) before seeing how the rest of it even pans out.Thanksgiving (MLK) Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Best looking EURO/ensembles run since January 2004? 2008? It has been years for sure since we've seen anything close to this and setting up inside Day 7.Three years ago right now we were being treated to some of the coldest/snowiest/consistentest model runs thus far in the millennia. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Thanksgiving (MLK)2004-05 11/20 Holy . Maybe she’s born with it (maybe it’s maybeline). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Weather apps have kinda screwed you if you are really superstation about that.No high-of-41 snowflakes on mine just yet, but I'll be alerted to them as soon as they pop up by my MIL. Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 2004-05 11/20 Holy s**t. Maybe she’s born with it (maybe it’s maybeline).Models were starting to go hog wild about now in 2004. Hmmmmm... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Models were starting to go hog wild about now in 2004. Hmmmmm... Fingers crossed! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Fingers crossed!Think +IOD!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Think +IOD!!! Whatever leads to a nice early spring and makes Jim deeply unhappy, count me in! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Whatever leads to a nice early spring and makes Jim deeply unhappy, count me in!That’s enough, big guy. Go look somewhere else for a little post-xmas tussle. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 That’s enough, big guy. Go look somewhere else for a little post-xmas tussle. Settle down, just playing around/channeling my inner Fred. #timrulezjimdrulez Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Big time. It takes a fairly extreme pattern to deliver worthwhile snow once we get well into February. In the heart of January all it takes is a decent trough, offshore flow with an approaching low, or a low to your South. Arctic air is obviously a nice bonus, but it's far from a requirement this time of year.Heh. So strange how this stuff works..literally the opposite out here despite being farther south. We often struggle to see much of anything until the second week of Jan but can stumble into snow in Feb with the most mediocre of patterns. Doesn’t compute. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 You’d think with the thermal intertia of the Pacific your region would have peak winter much later than most areas. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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