Pacific Northwest Weather -June 2023

[Tyler Mode]

8 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

I thought it was NYC

Exactly.

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

EPS looks like a brief break in the warmth with marine influence, 1-2 days around the 16th. Then back to warmth. I’ve never experienced this much sun this early in Summer. Usually there is week or two of clouds or drizzle.

As I mentioned earlier this reminds me of 2015.   

I agree on your EPS take... maybe end up close to normal for 5 days and it will likely still be mostly sunny in that period based on the trajectory of the troughing.  

[Front Ranger]

Nobody wants 2015, Tim. Plus Phil has already explained why it's a sh*tty analog.

[Phil]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

As I mentioned earlier this reminds me of 2015.   

I agree on your EPS take... maybe end up close to normal for 5 days and it will likely still be mostly sunny in that period based on the trajectory of the troughing.  

The pattern progression will not resemble 2015.

[SnowWillarrive]

On 6/6/2023 at 11:11 AM, SnowWillarrive said:

I thought Michael recently interviewed Cliff. Maybe he’s getting a bit jealous. But he was just stating a fact. 

Just to follow up on this. I saw that Micheal Snyder addressed this on YouTube today. He addressed his credentials and professional history.

I do feel bad that Cliff took a swipe at him.. I hope Cliff will apologize. 

[TT-SEA]

27 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Nobody wants 2015, Tim. Plus Phil has already explained why it's a sh*tty analog.

Never said it was analog for the pattern progression going forward.    I only said the local weather for the last month has reminded me of 2015.    And it really has.

[Cold Snap]

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Never said it was analog for the pattern progression going forward.    I only said the local weather for the last month has reminded of 2015.    And it really has.

Oh, I thought you were referring to the next 2 weeks. In that case I agree, definitely some overlap with 2015 in the West (at least w/rt the 500mb pattern).

Very different out here, though. May/June 2015 were hot/humid, which is definitely not the case this year!

[iFred]

On 6/6/2023 at 10:10 AM, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Cliff is 100% spot on here. 

Cliff can at least say he isn't an amateur shit stirrer.

[Slushy Inch]

56 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

As I mentioned earlier this reminds me of 2015.   

I agree on your EPS take... maybe end up close to normal for 5 days and it will likely still be mostly sunny in that period based on the trajectory of the troughing.  

Thanks. I couldn’t post the rest because I’m cheap. 

[Slushy Inch]

5 minutes ago, iFred said:

Cliff can at least say he isn't an amateur stirrer.

I was shocked when I read that.

[Blizzard777]

3 hours ago, Phil said:

Today is literally “clean air day” in Canada.  

How it’s going:

Just OUCH!

[Omegaraptor]

Not sneezing and sniffling nearly as much today. Looks like grass pollen is only 759 now.

[TacomaWx]

Getting kinda warm out…83 here. 

[Phil]

El Niño conditions w/ high amplitude +AMO/+IOD/-NPMM, in tandem w/ downwelling easterly shear/-QBO.

[Phil]

Clean MJO continues.

Funny how EPS/GEFS are roughly in lockstep in terms of VP200 anomalies, but the GEFS seemingly flubs the U850 response, yet opposite of its typical bias.

 

[YahRaEl]

87° so far for high in Spanaway, currently 86°. 

[TT-SEA]

19 minutes ago, Phil said:

Clean MJO continues.

Funny how EPS/GEFS are roughly in lockstep in terms of VP200 anomalies, but the GEFS seemingly flubs the U850 response, yet opposite of its typical bias.

 

Not sure what that means?  

[MWG]

The past few days have been the most muggy weather I have experienced since I move here.

At least my allergies are gone. 

[Phil]

Princeton NJ exceeded 630μg/m^3 in PM2.5 concentrations during the last hour. That’s just ridiculous.

[TacomaWx]

85 now 3rd +85 of the year and it’s only the first week of June. 

[T-Town]

87 here. Toasty. 

[TT-SEA]

86/56 day at SEA.

Only 82 at PDX?   Seems low considering the high clouds mostly cleared out early in the afternoon. 

[YahRaEl]

48/88° for the day today in Spanaway. 

[T-Town]

94 in Friday Harbor today. That’s crazy. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

56 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

86/56 day at SEA.

Only 82 at PDX?   Seems low considering the high clouds mostly cleared out early in the afternoon. 

God forbid they don’t overachieve every single day! Only 81 at SLE 77 at EUG.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Rainbow over vegas

[TacomaWx]

28 minutes ago, T-Town said:

94 in Friday Harbor today. That’s crazy. 

I’m guessing that’s an overexposed sensor issue based on the temp readings across the area up in the San Juan’s and BC. Was still a warm one today waiting for the marine push. 

[TT-SEA]

27 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

God forbid they don’t overachieve every single day! Only 81 at SLE 77 at EUG.

I see the reason why... the really warm air is getting pushed out from south to north today and being replaced by just moderately warm air.   Hope northern Alberta enjoys it!

Edited June 8, 2023 by TT-SEA

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I see the reason why... the really warm air is getting pushed out from south to north today and being replaced by just moderately warm air.   Hope northern Alberta enjoys it!

Jesse gonna b happy 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Saw 2015 getting thrown around earlier. Good LORD. 2018 seems a better match IMO. 

[MossMan]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Saw 2015 getting thrown around earlier. Good LORD. 2018 seems a better match IMO. 

Coming soon…February-March 2024!! 

[TT-SEA]

19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Saw 2015 getting thrown around earlier. Good LORD. 2018 seems a better match IMO. 

Good Lord!  

I simply said the mid-May through mid-June period was quite similar in terms of our local weather.   There was no rain in that period in 2015 and no rain this year either.   And it was consistently warm.   Quite unusual to have no rain in the second half of May and the first half of June in the Seattle area.   And also unusual for it to be so consistently sunny.  This has reminded me of the same period in 2015.

But that is in no way claiming to be a predictor of the future.   It was simply an observation based on tangible weather recently experienced here.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Good Lord!  

I simply said the mid-May through mid-June period was quite similar in terms of our local weather.   There was no rain in that period in 2015 and no rain this year either.   And it was consistently warm.   Quite unusual to have no rain in the second half of May and the first half of June in the Seattle area.   And also unusual for it to be so consistently sunny.  This has reminded me of the same period in 2015.

But that is in no way claiming to be a predictor of the future though.   It was simply an observation based on tangible weather recently experienced here.   

May 2018 is probably a better analog. 

[Phil]

 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

May 2018 is probably a better analog. 

Parts of 2023 also reminded me of 2011.   Good Lord!    That is not analog for this summer.  Is it???   

But there indeed was a period this year that was quite 2011-esque.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Parts of 2023 also reminded me of 2011.   Good Lord!    That is not analog for this summer.  Is it???   

But there indeed was a period this year that was quite 2011-esque.   

Some very very broad similarities. Overall this March was much colder than March 2011 and obviously April was warmer this year. 2018 was coming off a multi-year Nina and saw a May that was about as dry as it gets around here. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

 

I will probably be in the nursing home with my dad that day... that is how we do holidays now.     

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some very very broad similarities. Overall this March was much colder than March 2011 and obviously April was warmer this year. 2018 was coming off a multi-year Nina and saw a May that was about as dry as it gets around here. 

Good Lord!   So many analogs!   Or maybe just periods of any year that remind us of other years?   Good Lord!   I am "throwing" 2015 around.    

Mid-May through mid-June has reminded me of 2015.   Unusually sunny, warm, and dry.   You will just have to accept that it reminded of 2015, Andrew.  

[MossMan]

Lordy Gordy Andrews 40