TT-SEA Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 12Z EPS keeps the cold going over the Midwest and NE in the long range... maybe an old school spring out there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 12Z EPS keeps the cold going over the Midwest and NE in the long range... maybe an old school spring out there. Old school? As in, every April since 2013 with the exception of last year before we inevitably flip to blowtorching a month later? Yeah, that’s real old school. At least it’s not a +TNH/Baffin Vortex driven pattern. Those tend to flip warm real quick in May across the middle latitudes when wavelengths shorten just enough. More wave activity this year by a significant margin given our starting point w/ the NAM and the IPWP attempting to re-center over the IO. Not your +PMM regime of recent years, that’s for sure. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 Old school? As in, every April since 2013 with the exception of last year before we inevitably flip to blowtorching a month later? Yeah, that’s real old school. At least it’s not a +TNH/Baffin Vortex driven pattern. Those tend to flip warm real quick in May across the middle latitudes when wavelengths shorten just enough. More wave activity this year by a significant margin given our starting point w/ the NAM and the IPWP attempting to re-center over the IO. Not your +PMM regime of recent years, that’s for sure .So...old school? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 Really nice day. Mostly sunny and 54 currently with a cool WNW breeze. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 So...old school?Or a little less new agey. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 12Z EPS keeps the cold going over the Midwest and NE in the long range... maybe an old school spring out there. 12Z GEFS is similar, strong signal that far out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 The sun! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 The sun!People are out mowing their grass in it! Crazy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted April 7, 2020 Report Share Posted April 7, 2020 55* Two fir trees released from whisky barrels and planted in yard today. They are now free range firs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Looking like a decent continental cold front coming through this weekend. That should really freshen up the cold mins. So far this month I've been below 35 every day except for one. I really like this pattern this time of year. This is the kind of year we will probably see frost deep into the spring. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Any bets on high temps at PDX the next few days? Seems like they could make a run at 75 if things line up right. Probably the best bet on Thursday since they will have to overcome a fairly cool start tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Nice day here. 59/37 with some scattered morning clouds and a clear afternoon and evening. Caught a great moonrise from Rocky Butte earlier. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Any bets on high temps at PDX the next few days? Seems like they could make a run at 75 if things line up right. Probably the best bet on Thursday since they will have to overcome a fairly cool start tomorrow.69, 75 Could today have been any nicer!? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 69, 75Could today have been any nicer!?It was aight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Any bets on high temps at PDX the next few days? Seems like they could make a run at 75 if things line up right. Probably the best bet on Thursday since they will have to overcome a fairly cool start tomorrow.69, 73 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 OT, but check out this brutal beating Pittsburgh International Airport is taking tonight. This QLCS is a machine. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 00z ensembles look improved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 69, 73I’ll say 71, 75. “Coolish” east wind could be a bit of a mitigating factor tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 I was thinking that this pattern has to be similar to April 1951... which was one of the most remarkable Aprils in local history (and the beginning of a truly remarkable warm season). Top on the CPC analog list tonight is 1951. Probably won't last, but it was nice to get a little taste. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Clear skies and some light frost this morning. Low of 34. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Operational Euro tried to undercut the ridge in the 6-10 day range last night, but the EPS was in disagreement and kept it in its spot. The 06z GFS had 0” of rain for the Portland area through hour 384 and the GFS ensembles have turned warmer and drier in the mid to long range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Been quite a -PNA run! Anyway had a low of 33 degrees, currently up to 43 and sunny! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Looks like quite a bit of winter east of the Rockies. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 I was thinking that this pattern has to be similar to April 1951... which was one of the most remarkable Aprils in local history (and the beginning of a truly remarkable warm season). Top on the CPC analog list tonight is 1951. Probably won't last, but it was nice to get a little taste.I know Analogs don't work this way but please let us experience another 1951-1952 winter here in the Sierra for next season. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Looks like quite a bit of winter east of the Rockies.12Z GFS was that bad huh? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 12Z GEFS is a little warmer (farther east) with the weekend trough and then is warm through the rest of the run and does not show undercutting either. Here is the 10-15 day mean: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Cold spring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 12Z ECMWF abandoned the idea of undercutting that the 00Z run showed. The 00Z run was actually still fairly dry and warm though... all the action was to the south. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 12Z EPS is also slightly east with the trough over the weekend... and then warm through day 15. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 12Z GEFS is a little warmer (farther east) with the weekend trough and then is warm through the rest of the run and does not show undercutting either. Here is the 10-15 day mean: 12Z EPS in surprisingly good agreement... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Careful, don’t unjinx your jinx! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Careful, don’t unjinx your jinx!Don’t count your chicken’s weenies quite yet... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 PDX and HIO have both hit 70. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 8, 2020 Report Share Posted April 8, 2020 Don’t count your chicken’s weenies quite yet...Cool down and a wet up after a several week warm up and dry down?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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