SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 22, 2023 Report Share Posted October 22, 2023 Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said: End of season harvest! Blessings. We’ve been mired in gloom for 3 days here. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2023 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Blessings. We’ve been mired in gloom for 3 days here. Same here. At least it’s not as hot as the summer. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 22, 2023 Report Share Posted October 22, 2023 PNW trough trended stronger on 18z GFS compared to 12z GFS This also has implications for my location as well 7 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 22, 2023 Report Share Posted October 22, 2023 5 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Looks like it's going to get nippy. Past history says this type of pattern coming up is the kiss of death for the winter when it happens in a Nino October, but December could be in play for something good. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 22, 2023 Report Share Posted October 22, 2023 3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Wow Noticed it hinting at January troughing earlier this week. Worth keeping an eye on. Would be funny if it took a Nino for us to hit in January. 2 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted October 22, 2023 Report Share Posted October 22, 2023 44 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: Noticed it hinting at January troughing earlier this week. Worth keeping an eye on. Would be funny if it took a Nino for us to hit in January. I honestly have a feeling that if there’s a year where we are going to break the January curse it’s going to be during an El Niño. I feel like Mother Nature is trying to troll us. 5 2 3 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Dark skies 5 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Got some garden beds cleaned out today, I figured even my warm spot in Seattle will get a decent frost this week. Looks wet on the back side of this cold wave. November is such a fun month for weather watching around here…except for the yawner last November. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Nws going with a high of 41 here on Wednesday. 1 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 I thought this was very funny considering the upcoming weather 1 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 3 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Ken in Wood Village said: I thought this was very funny considering the upcoming weather Christmas movies are already on Hallmark! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Mowed again! Possibly the last mow of 2023? Also did some landscape trim up and blowing as well. 8 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Just now, MossMan said: Mowed again! Possibly the last mow of 2023? Also did some landscape trim up and blowing as well. Looking good. Far too wet to mow here. I'm hoping for a 3-5 day dry streak which this time of year would likely be accompanied by offshore flow. 00z GFS in 1 hour 40 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Here comes the low pressure system 🌧🌨 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 23, 2023 Author Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Rob you got QB tonight? I’m busy RN. Gonna peek at it as I can. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Rob you got QB tonight? I’m busy RN. Gonna peek at it as I can. No worries. I should be here for the 00z GFS, but the Euro I am not 100% sure. 00z GEM in 50 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 00z GFS Day 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 2 - Dang, that's pretty. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 3 wow (4-run trend) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Mowed again! Possibly the last mow of 2023? Also did some landscape trim up and blowing as well. I got what I assume is my last mow in and pulled up my irrigation hoses, and took down the sliding shade over our deck. My trees have not shed their leaves yet (they are just starting) so I might run the mower over the lawn one more time to pick up the leaves. Down to 44 so far this evening. I was foggy until mid morning, and stayed very cloudy up until just after sunset. 4 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 4 - Interesting shift to the west with the block. (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 5 (4-run trend) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 6 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 7 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 00z GFS 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temperatures, 1000-500mb Thickness/Precip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 00z GDPS(GEM) 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Looks good for @Port Angeles Foothiller 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 HRRR through Tuesday evening (10:1) 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 On 10/9/2023 at 3:19 PM, Phil said: Yes during the middle of winter. +PNA/+WPO increases WAFz thru NPAC, triggering top-down W1 response in the SPV. Scand/Eurasia ridge in tandem opens door to upward propagating W2. In 2018/19 they occurred in tandem, which is how that SSW evolved and overpowered the El Nino inflluence. In fact you could argue that *extreme* blocking during El Nino has a higher ceiling to produce anomalous outcomes in the PNW given the southward shift in the NPAC jet & augmented STJ. There's a reason 1968/69 was one of the greatest winter up there. Do you think the PNW will ever see a repeat of the 1968/69 winter? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 Blueberry fields in the Fraser Valley were putting on a show today. 9 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 12 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Do you think the PNW will ever see a repeat of the 1968/69 winter? Yup. It could be a while though. In the 20th century 1915-16 and 1949-50 were on par with that one. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 33 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GDPS(GEM) 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly It will be interesting to see if the duration of the block gets extended in the coming days. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 GFS says I get a few flakes IMBY. Alas, it's the GFS and it stands alone. But it's really looking good for @Port Angeles Foothiller. Most models now show him getting something. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It will be interesting to see if the duration of the block gets extended in the coming days. Yeah, I hope so instead of it slowly drifting over us. 00z ECMWF in 17 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 23, 2023 Report Share Posted October 23, 2023 3 hours ago, Ken in Wood Village said: I thought this was very funny considering the upcoming weather I was listening to ESPN Radio for the ALCS tonight and there is an obnoxious Christmas carol themed ad that kept playing on commercial breaks. Like it's not even Halloween yet. This is someone who decorates for Halloween and Thanksgiving and doesn't do Xmas until Black Friday. 2 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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