MossMan Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 24 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 18z GEFS Day 8-16 GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, Snowfall totals I’m in the grey! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iFred Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Just a couple days away from a few people starting to complain about the evil sun and blinding brightness. A Christmas present for myself might be placing you on Mod Preview until our protons decay. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Todays Extended GEFS going in on sw much more than last few runs 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 32 minutes ago, iFred said: A Christmas present for myself might be placing you on Mod Preview until our protons decay. I am out of control. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, MossMan said: The last powerless Christmas (or Eve can’t remember now) for me was 2005 We had an ice storm related power outage last year on Christmas Eve. That week leading up to Christmas was pretty wild. Windstorm, snowstorm, and then ice storm. This was Christmas Eve morning... could not walk on the driveway. The most slippery surface possible. Never seen anything like it. 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Just a heads up. I don't think I'll be home until later tonight, so won't be here to run the 00z GFS/ECMWF. Alrighty then 00z GFS in 58 minutes 00z ECMWF in 3 hours 8 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We had no power on Christmas 2021... Of course it was snow that knocked it out, so that was OKAY! Only instance that it's OK. White Christmas trumps loss of Christmas lights. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, MossMan said: The last powerless Christmas (or Eve can’t remember now) for me was 2005 We had a foot of snow fall on Christmas eve /day in 08. Only time I've ever woken up with no power on Christmas. Was worth it and my parents had a generator so we still got to enjoy Christmas lights buried under the fresh snow. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I am out of control. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Light east wind has surfaced here now. Clear skies and temp holding at 41. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Very interesting weather discussion: 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: We had an ice storm related power outage last year on Christmas Eve. That week leading up to Christmas was pretty wild. Windstorm, snowstorm, and then ice storm. This was Christmas Eve morning... could not walk on the driveway. The most slippery surface possible. Never seen anything like it. The most ice I have ever seen up here which wasn’t much but still fun on 12/23 of last year! IMG_0808.mov 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Just now, MossMan said: The most ice I have ever seen up here which wasn’t much but still fun on 12/23 of last year! IMG_0808.mov Just checked and my pic was actually the afternoon of 12/23. Power was out at the time if I remember correctly. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 The GFS ensemble control still shows an off the charts SSW by the end of the month. Doubt it will verify at that intensity though. That said, it's still fun to look at for entertainment purposes. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 14 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: The GFS ensemble control still shows an off the charts SSW by the end of the month. Doubt it will verify at that intensity though. That said, it's still fun to look at for entertainment purposes. Going to be an epic January! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 19 minutes ago, MossMan said: Going to be an epic January! that would line up for an epic february 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 “Only” got up to 50 today despite starting out the morning in the mid-upper 40s. Lots of morning drizzle then overcast stratus. Good news is it cleared out quickly after sunset and is down to 40 already. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 If we get a epic SSW at the end of the month, February will produce again MGB. 2 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Well that’s…… interesting… 1 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 13 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Well that’s…… interesting… Finally gets CA in on the action. And lots of east wind up here of course. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 hours ago, DeepFriedEgg said: Very interesting weather discussion: I would have never thought I'd see this masterpiece of a clip on the weather forums but here we are. 1 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 46F currently. Finished 1 of 2 finals for this week, ugh. Let's gooo. 3 1 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, HuskyMaestro said: 46F currently. Finished 1 of 2 finals for this week, ugh. Let's gooo. I'm at 1/2 as well! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 I just got home. East wind is quite breezy. Did anyone want a 00z GFS, ECMWF re-cap? If not, that's fine with me honestly. 6z GFS in 2 hours 3 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: I just got home. East wind is quite breezy. Did anyone want a 00z GFS, ECMWF re-cap? If not, that's fine with me honestly. 6z GFS in 2 hours 3 minutes No need for at least a few days 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: I just got home. East wind is quite breezy. Did anyone want a 00z GFS, ECMWF re-cap? If not, that's fine with me honestly. 6z GFS in 2 hours 3 minutes Of course, let's have the recap pls! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 Nay, 1 Yay.... We need a tie-breaker.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 13 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 1 Nay, 1 Yay.... We need a tie-breaker.... Nah, let's regroup next October. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Hmmm, 00z GEFS and CMCE are both very Cascade friendly.... That doesn't look like a Nino pattern at all. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Somehow posted this in the sports thread. Torpedoed the mic drop. January deadline in a little over three days! 10 hours ago, Phil said: Maybe they’ll employ me when I graduate? 6 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Phil said: Somehow posted this in the sports thread. Torpedoed the mic drop. January deadline in a little over three days! Friggin pimp stuff right there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Friggin pimp stuff right there. Thx! My bad on deleting, I’m a typoing mistake making train wreck tonight Lesson: don’t take 20mg Zaleplon then try to post on a weather forum. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Thx! My bad on deleting, I’m a typoing mistake making train wreck tonight Lesson: don’t take 20mg Zaleplon then try to post on a weather forum. Wait. I think I deleted my reply on the wrong post of yours? Lol. I don't know. Congratulations though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1994 keeps popping up w/ late December dates. That pattern was ripe for bombing a southern wave just as this upcoming period is. Result in 1994 was a subtropical-storm-nor’easter that did a fujiwara dance w/ a training cyclone, flinging it back in towards the coast. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christmas_1994_nor'easter#:~:text=The Christmas 1994 nor'easter,across the state of Florida. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 This pretty much sums up model riding tonight. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 4 hours ago, Phil said: Somehow posted this in the sports thread. Torpedoed the mic drop. January deadline in a little over three days! Proud of you 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 4 hours ago, Phil said: 1994 keeps popping up w/ late December dates. That pattern was ripe for bombing a southern wave just as this upcoming period is. Result in 1994 was a subtropical-storm-nor’easter that did a fujiwara dance w/ a training cyclone, flinging it back in towards the coast. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christmas_1994_nor'easter#:~:text=The Christmas 1994 nor'easter,across the state of Florida. We had some decent fake cold around new Years. Then torching for a bit. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Clear and 41 here this morning... light east wind. Look like most of the Seattle area is foggy though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 True color satellite image shows the entire east side of the Cascades in WA and OR is socked in with low clouds from the crest eastward. The fog on the west side must be quite shallow because it doesn't show up to well here. And running the loop you can see the low clouds moving west on this side of the mountains through the Chehalis Gap and the Strait. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 This morning is the first time in my life I’ve seen frost form on the trees. Almost looked like snow! I’m sure in the PNW it’s a weekly thing, but it’s a completely new vibe for me. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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