February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Weiner Warrior]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

HEAVY snow Friday evening in the WV. 

[LowerGarfield]

Rooting for Eugene and maybe even Medford.

[TT-SEA]

12Z RGEM not really biting on any of the lowland snow chances through Saturday... even less than the ICON.

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z RGEM not really biting on any of the lowland snow chances through Saturday... even less than the ICON.

I’m almost in the blue! 

[MossMan]

February’s rock! 

[umadbro]

12z GFS going nuclear for the WV

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Now starts the gfs games where every run is different by 400 miles of any low placement lol. It is at that period where it always looses what little consistency it has.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

OH

MY 

GOSHNESS

[Weiner Warrior]

It'll trend North...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Now starts the gfs games where every run is different by 400 miles of any low placement lol. It is at that period where it always looses what little consistency it has.

The EURO has had the more suppressed look too. GFS getting on board with a locked in final solution. OMG this is nuts. March 1951?!?!?!?!

[MossMan]

My dog has the packed her bags and will be moving to Alaska if we don’t get to double digit snow totals for the season. We have 6” to go to hit that mark. I told her it will happen! 

Edited February 28 by MossMan

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The EURO has had the more suppressed look too. GFS getting on board with a locked in final solution. OMG this is nuts. March 1951?!?!?!?!

I dont trust it, in one run it moved that low 1 entire state. Icon stayed same. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Weiner Warrior said:

It'll trend North...

If it trends north it will be warmer for everyone and likely just some cold rain. The stronger push of cold air from the north is causing the suppression along the base of the arctic trough. Plz enjoy your sloppy rain Friday night.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I dont trust it, in one run it moved that low 1 entire state. Icon stayed same. 

It always amazes me how you guys will trade days of cold weather for a few hours of slushy snow. 

Either way the Thursday-Sunday period is LOCKED IN and looking great for all. Early next week could be OK for some folks up north or great for everyone if things get suppressed. Think about it. FROZEN GROUND IN MARCH. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Sorry i'm having a hard time trusting anything this model spits out even when it looks great and i would love it. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

OMG

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It always amazes me how you guys will trade days of cold weather for a few hours of slushy snow. 

Either way the Thursday-Sunday period is LOCKED IN and looking great for all. Early next week could be OK for some folks up north or great for everyone if things get suppressed. Think about it. FROZEN GROUND IN MARCH. 

Has nothing to do with that, there will be plenty of snow here that is a lock, just saying i do not trust this model. How can you when it makes changes like this at only 120hrs? that is huge HUGE.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Sorry i'm having a hard time trusting anything this model spits out even when it looks great and i would love it. 

The low on this run is much weaker, the cold air shoves it south. Not saying that's what will happen, but that's why its so much more suppressed on this run. 

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It always amazes me how you guys will trade days of cold weather for a few hours of slushy snow. 

Either way the Thursday-Sunday period is LOCKED IN and looking great for all. Early next week could be OK for some folks up north or great for everyone if things get suppressed. Think about it. FROZEN GROUND IN MARCH. 

Well too far south and there will be no moisture…Just like last months disaster. 

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

OMG

Looks amazing for western Wa!!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think EUG is getting some terrain bleed. Just a hunch. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, MossMan said:

Looks amazing for western Wa!!!

COLD

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This run has highs Monday in the mid-30s south of PDX. Only around 40 in the Puget Sound area under sunny skies. 

[Weiner Warrior]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It always amazes me how you guys will trade days of cold weather for a few hours of slushy snow. 

Either way the Thursday-Sunday period is LOCKED IN and looking great for all. Early next week could be OK for some folks up north or great for everyone if things get suppressed. Think about it. FROZEN GROUND IN MARCH. 

I'd rather have a 10 inch overrunning event than cold weather and no snow. Much more interesting to me

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Even next Thursday highs only in the low to mid 40s. 

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

COLD

Jim will be thrilled!!!! 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The low on this run is much weaker, the cold air shoves it south. Not saying that's what will happen, but that's why its so much more suppressed on this run. 

I'm 100% with you, it would be better to be suppressed. I was trying to say i do not trust it because of how it moved so much.  

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Even next Thursday highs only in the low to mid 40s. 

I’m enjoying this run 100x more than I’d ever actually enjoy that day

[ShawniganLake]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It always amazes me how you guys will trade days of cold weather for a few hours of slushy snow. 

Either way the Thursday-Sunday period is LOCKED IN and looking great for all. Early next week could be OK for some folks up north or great for everyone if things get suppressed. Think about it. FROZEN GROUND IN MARCH. 

Yea.  Some morning frost in March would be mind blowing.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

I’m enjoying this run 100x more than I’d ever actually enjoy that day

100% home dogg. Seriously, this is about as cold a run as you will ever see for the first week of MARCH. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

100% home dogg. Seriously, this is about as cold a run as you will ever see for the first week of MARCH. 

I’ll see if I have time to check it out today

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Something interesting, the low placement is very near just spinning where it was in feb 19 when i got 18 inches with a forecast of 1-3. About same temps also. The placement is perfect to wrap around the olympics and not get blocked.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

100% home dogg. Seriously, this is about as cold a run as you will ever see for the first week of MARCH. 

We are also running out of time to get snow so yes a suppressed pattern is better for cold, we don't have much time to say oh well we will get the snow next time.

[Cascadia_Wx]

[Slushy Inch]

9 hours ago, iFred said:

This might be the strongest signal I’ve ever seen this far out on CanSips

We might be entering a period of anomalous west coast troughing. This current period of troughing is quite extensive.

[Slushy Inch]

33 minutes ago, umadbro said:

12z GFS going nuclear for the WV

It will trend north

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Wow what a beast

[the_convergence_zone]

The advantage to this pattern is the abundant moisture, the disadvantages are the lack of truly cold near-surface air in a southwesterly onshore flow regime and a lack of any widespread organized precipitation until early next week.

 Past experience suggests that snow will pile up in the mountains above 2,000 ft, below that it's going to be patchy. If I had to guess, I think Sea-Tac gets an inch or two either Friday or Saturday AM (or both) and avoids the dreaded zero snow winter. Downtown Seattle probably stays all rain (or mix in any heavier showers) unless one of those little baby vortices happens to take the right track (Sat AM perhaps). 

 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Holy SHITT! Lock the 12z GFS in, I couldn't ask for a better run. Absolutely nails mid and south valley, gives me 35" of snow and dumps on the cascades. LOCK IT IN! Tahoe guy will love this one too!