March 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Phil said:

It was also amazing to watch how they overwhelmed predators by sheer numbers.

The first day they started emerging there were birds and squirrels everywhere eating them like candy and I was thinking how hell do they survive such predation.

But the number emerging kept increasing each night, until those crunchy crawling sounds filled the night air, and every tree was encased in cicada husks. It was an onslaught, almost beyond comprehension. They just kept coming. Predation was overwhelmed within a week.

Just imagine all the predators they probably evolved with though. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, Mercurial said:

so glad we don't have cicadas out West.  

Some parts of the West (such as New Mexico) have them.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 hours ago, T-Town said:

Enjoying some chicken fish tonight. The 12 years of Catholic school obviously didn’t take. 

Looks delicious ! I’ll be having chicken and steak BBQ after Easter Mass on Sunday with family. But tonight it’s grilled salmon!  

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Yep. And not only are they annoying, apparently they let out enough piss that you can feel it, so this year everybody in the east is going to be getting constantly pissed on by the cicadas.

I can confirm this is true.

The annual ones are bad enough. The 13/17yr swarms..lmao.

[Front Ranger]

11 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Who the hell would've guessed after you've insulted me multiple times. What a miserable person you are Jessie. 

It's Jessei.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

I can confirm this is true.

The annual ones are bad enough. The 13/17yr swarms..lmao.

So there will be the typical annual ones, the 13yr ones, and the 17yr ones, that will be LOUD! Enjoy!

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

34 currently, 43/23 day and .12" of rain. Really nice day of skiing!

[Phil]

46 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Can't wait for the daily updates from Phil. Fortunately, profuse perspiration quickly clears the cicada pee from one's pores.

Nah, these are broods XIII and XIX. Weak emergence here compared to the monster that is brood-X.

In fact many of these broods likely split from brood-X hundreds if not thousands of years ago. It’s likely brood-X was the first/original brood following the end of the last ice age.

[Phil]

59 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

The days do get shorter but summer still lags behind. The average peak of summer here in the continental USA is July 24. So more than a month after the Summer Solstice. Out here west of the Cascades we usually peak the first week of August. Some areas on the Coast are even later.

Can see the influence of the SW monsoon, and GOM SSTs/Bermuda High clearly in those averages.

FWIW the reason high temps begin to decline here in mid/late July is because humidity is increasing. Dews can peak a month later than temps in strong BH summers.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

[Phil]

48 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I think there is but they’re not the periodical type - they don’t mass breed in the same cyclical fashion.

There are 3 species in Oregon. “Okanagana Bella”, “Okanagana Canadensis”, and “Okanagana Rimosa”. All annuals.

https://www.cicadamania.com/cicadas/common-cicadas-of-north-america/

[Cascadia_Wx]

15 minutes ago, Phil said:

There are 3 species in Oregon. “Okanagana Bella”, “Okanagana Canadensis”, and “Okanagana Rimosa”. All annuals.

https://www.cicadamania.com/cicadas/common-cicadas-of-north-america/

Yeah. I’ve definitely heard them on warm summer nights before.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Nice to see the GFS sticking to its guns with a quick cool down the middle of next week.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I feel like we have at least 1 species of cicada cuz they're loud for like 4 weeks in late July into August.

Starting to have tingly feelings in my limbs and regular partial seizures. Here's to hoping the insurance approves the medication by tomorrow or I'm pretty worried.

[RaleighHillsRunner]

25 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Nice to see the GFS sticking to its guns with a quick cool down the middle of next week.

14 day looking fairly solid; some rain, some sun and basically climo-ish temps. Thunderstorms and hail yesterday were pretty sweet, maybe we can get a couple more in April.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

00Z CMC, LETS F-ING GO!!!! A WHOLE DAY OF DEPRESSING TRENDS ON THE MODELS UNTIL NOW!! ITS COMING!!!

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

32 currently and it just started snowing 10~15 minutes ago! Hopefully there's some decent accumulation when I wake up, but I'm sure there won't be. Just a trace currently which is not sticking to concrete yet..

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Some of the models are darn chilly with that trough later next week. Something to watch. 

Enough of the cicada talk. Amazing how someone from 3000 miles away hijacks the conversation and makes it about an insect that doesn't live within 1500 miles of here. Ridiculous. 

[T-Town]

Low of 42 here. My lows have been between 42 and 46 for the last two weeks. 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some of the models are darn chilly with that trough later next week. Something to watch. 

Enough of the cicada talk. Amazing how someone from 3000 miles away hijacks the conversation and makes it about an insect that doesn't live within 1500 miles of here. Ridiculous. 

Actually I started the whole thing yesterday, I found it quite fascinating since I had recently heard a podcast about the 1874 Locust apocalypse in Kansas…That one sounded like a great time to be living in that area! 

[MossMan]

8 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

32 currently and it just started snowing 10~15 minutes ago! Hopefully there's some decent accumulation when I wake up, but I'm sure there won't be. Just a trace currently which is not sticking to concrete yet..

I have frozen moisture as well! On my roof! Winter is back! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Beautiful morning. Clear and 43 after a low of 39.

[Anti Marine Layer]

53 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I have frozen moisture as well! On my roof! Winter is back! 

As usual, right in time for Easter

[MWG]

I honestly haven't been paying attention  but what the heck is this 

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, MWG said:

I honestly haven't been paying attention  but what the heck is this 

Spring

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

9 minutes ago, MWG said:

I honestly haven't been paying attention  but what the heck is this 

Enjoy both! 

[T-Town]

A couple sunset shots from last night. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Nice to see a more sustained cool down on the GEFS.

Eclipse is also getting within somewhat reliable forecasting range so might be time to start tracking that.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, MWG said:

I honestly haven't been paying attention  but what the heck is this 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice day

[Phil]

4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some of the models are darn chilly with that trough later next week. Something to watch. 

Enough of the cicada talk. Amazing how someone from 3000 miles away hijacks the conversation and makes it about an insect that doesn't live within 1500 miles of here. Ridiculous. 

I didn’t start the conversation, shepherd boy. I joined one that was already ongoing.

[Phil]

12z Euro looks decent overall for eclipse viewing. Some of those cloud cover maps are way overdone, counting super-thin high cirrus as 100% cloud cover.

Big question is how soon that next system ejects out of the Rockies.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

53 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Nice to see a more sustained cool down on the GEFS.

Eclipse is also getting within somewhat reliable forecasting range so might be time to start tracking that.

Yeah now it's 9 days. So far it's not looking good for me and you who originally planned to view it in Texas. 

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF doesn't show any all day rain days... partly cloudy Wednesday through next weekend with some showers at times.   I also think the next sunny spell is coming into view later next week on the EPS and control run.  It's been a fairly balanced lately with alternating ridgy and troughy periods but even the troughy periods have had a decent amount of sun.  At least up here its been decently sunny... primarily because the action has been focused to the west and south.   Storms aren't moving inland through the PNW.

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Yeah now it's 9 days. So far it's not looking good for me and you who originally planned to view it in Texas. 

ECMWF keeps showing precip focused on Texas on eclipse day.

[Phil]

EPS weeklies suggest this is the last niño-like MJO transit before a lower frequency signal for IPWP/dateline subsidence takes over in May.

Sad.  Haven’t we had enough niñas lately? Blech.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF keeps showing precip focused on Texas on eclipse day.

That looks like it follows the path of totality all the way to Indiana. That would be TERRIBLE if it verified 

[Phil]

If anything the axisymmetric components of this niña transition are worse for North America in terms of heat/drought than early the 2020s. Don’t think there will be any “blue” colors anywhere on JJA CONUS temperature maps this summer, not even in the PNW.

People living in the Midwest and Plains should be in panic mode. That area looks like ground zero for hellfire (shifted a bit from 2021 & 2022 but same general theme).

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

If anything the axisymmetric components of this niña transition are worse for North America in terms of heat/drought than early the 2020s. Don’t think there will be any “blue” colors anywhere on JJA CONUS temperature maps this summer, not even in the PNW.

People living in the Midwest and Plains should be in panic mode. That area looks like ground zero for hellfire (shifted a bit from 2021 & 2022 but same general theme).

So we shouldn't root for what makes us PNW'ers cold and wet in the winter, because we might be anlittle warmer and dryer in the summer?

 

Wet in the winter and dry in the summer will cause much less drought here than avg in winter, avg in summer.

[ShawniganLake]

17 minutes ago, Phil said:

If anything the axisymmetric components of this niña transition are worse for North America in terms of heat/drought than early the 2020s. Don’t think there will be any “blue” colors anywhere on JJA CONUS temperature maps this summer, not even in the PNW.

People living in the Midwest and Plains should be in panic mode. That area looks like ground zero for hellfire (shifted a bit from 2021 & 2022 but same general theme).