Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 31 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Probably best to give model posts a break for the next 4.75 days. Even me? .... I'm not sure I could pull that off. Maybe .75 days. That's a BIG maybe. 6z GFS in 3 hours 45 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Even me? .... I'm not sure I could pull that off. Maybe .75 days. That's a BIG maybe. 6z GFS in 3 hours 45 minutes Posting weather model runs in a weather forum… well, I never… Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 19 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Even me? .... I'm not sure I could pull that off. Maybe .75 days. That's a BIG maybe. 6z GFS in 3 hours 45 minutes It could help.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 00z WRF-GFS Tuesday night-Wednesday - Strong east wind 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 7 That block/ridge is INSANE! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 00z GEFS Day 11-16 GIF. Not far enough west, but similar retrogression signal as previous runs. C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 This pattern is more canonical el niño than anything we saw in 2018/19 or 2019/20. It’s transient/intraseasonal, but still interesting. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GEFS Day 11-16 GIF. Not far enough west, but similar retrogression signal as previous runs. C'MON!!!! Nothing cold to tap in to anyways. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Just now, GHweatherChris said: Nothing cold to tap in to anyways. Not yet, nope. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, Phil said: This pattern is more canonical el niño than anything we saw in 2018/19 or 2019/20. It’s transient/intraseasonal, but still interesting. Still thinking 2nd week or so of December? If so, the models should be showing it in about a week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Nothing cold to tap in to anyways. The good stuff is on Putin’s side of the pole for now. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Still thinking 2nd week or so of December? If so, the models should be showing it in about a week. Third week of December. Probably going to be +PNA until the middle of the month. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 30 minutes ago, Phil said: The good stuff is on Putin’s side of the pole for now. Wrong thread. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 2008 dullness? 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 EC Ensemble 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 32 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Wrong thread. RIGHT THREAD. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Happy Thanksgiving everybody!!! 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, Phil said: RIGHT THREAD. Putin=politics 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Happy Thanksgiving! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 54 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: 2008 dullness? It sure has that feel to it. Models drastically flipped around December 4th if I remember correctly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Phil said: RIGHT THREAD. About as right as a childhood growing up at Stampede Pass. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 2 hours ago, Phil said: This pattern is more canonical el niño than anything we saw in 2018/19 or 2019/20. It’s transient/intraseasonal, but still interesting. IDK man. 2019-20 sucked to a pretty historical level in December and January (South of Seattle in January). 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Much better signal for troughiness/blockiness in the very long range on the GEFS than Tuesday 00z. It's a solid first step. 1 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Wow... That is pretty. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 20 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Wow... That is pretty. Looks amazing! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 31 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Wow... That is pretty. I can hear Phil screaming from here 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Here we go! Ya gotta believe! C'MON!!!! 12z GFS in 4 hours 27 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Happy Thanksgiving you goddamn savages. 2 4 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, Jbolin said: Happy Thanksgiving you goddamn savages. Thanks brotha 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Thanks brotha Back atcha man, give those girls a good hug today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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