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Don't have an ENSO thread and thought I'd kick one off. However I'll admit, I haven't done my research much this year as I have in years past. Hoping this one (the thread+current snow on the ground) will motivate me a bit. Also, finally seeing what appears to be an overall (and long awaited) N. Hem climate-scale shift. If not both hemispheres or globally. Just thought it'd be nice to start following.

Currently....

 

ssta.daily.current.png

cdas-sflux_ssta_global_1.png

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10 hours ago, OKwx2k4 said:

Don't have an ENSO thread and thought I'd kick one off. However I'll admit, I haven't done my research much this year as I have in years past. Hoping this one (the thread+current snow on the ground) will motivate me a bit. Also, finally seeing what appears to be an overall (and long awaited) N. Hem climate-scale shift. If not both hemispheres or globally. Just thought it'd be nice to start following.

Currently....

 

ssta.daily.current.png

cdas-sflux_ssta_global_1.png

Glad you did start a thread in regards to ENSO.  It'll be a big year and a big test to see what nature has in store for the PAC ocean and global temps.  I've been watching these trends over the past few weeks and I'm leaning towards a moderate Nina, similar in strength to what we just experienced.  Some moderation this summer but then I think the PAC reloads the cooling as we head deeper into next Autumn/Winter.

Feb IRI/CPC Forecast...

 

 

figure4.png

 

 

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3 hours ago, gimmesnow said:

So what's this mean? There's more hope of having a good winter again in 21/22, right? Was this winter just an outlier or was it a shift towards actually having winters again?

I think time will obviously be the thing to tell us, in the long run, but my thoughts say that it's the long awaited shift towards good solid cold winters in the interior US. I've been waiting on the changes for 5 years. Climate moves slow, but the pattern and pendulum is there.

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